Scoring undervalued assets in drafts and auctions separates the fantasy players who can sit back, relax and wait for the season to start after draft day from the ones who feel a need to start dealing after the last pick is made. Year after year, one of the best groups to target for undervalued assets is last year's bums. These guys all entered the previous season with high hopes. They could be a veteran who had established a track record or a young up-and-comer who appeared poised for a breakout season, but for one reason or another, they never got it going. Last year's bums come in all shapes in sizes and play all positions. Fantasy busts are equal opportunity busts.
Of course, that information alone won't be of a ton of use on draft day. After all, any experienced player knows he can mine last year's bums and come up with gold. The key is knowing for which guys last year was just an anomaly, and for which it was an accurate picture of who they are. Separating the accidental bums from the true bums will help you separate from the pack once the season starts.
Tomlinson showed the signs of age as the season wore on, and all signs point to Greene serving as the lead back for the Jets this season. With one of the better offensive lines in the league and a passing attack that should be, at least, as good as it was a year ago, Greene is a solid bet to approach the numbers expected of him last year. He's currently the 25th-ranked back by ADP, behind such luminaries as Felix Jones and Ryan Torain. I will be shocked if he isn't a top-20 back, and could see him in the top-15.