Risky business often proves to be bad business in fantasy football
There are moments in your life when you have to exercise caution. You want to mitigate risk. You want what you pay for. Like when you buy seafood. You do your best to make sure you're buying fresh seafood, but if you buy shrimp out of some guy's trunk on the side of the road -- you're rolling the dice.
And that brings us to risk management when dealing with your high draft picks in fantasy football. (It's actually a perfect analogy. Those of you who have had some bad clams casino likely felt as sick as those that drafted Kenny Britt last season.)
So let's take this time -- before training camps begin and fantasy drafts take place -- to look over some risky players that might come across your draft board.
The following players all hold a certain amount of risk. I've listed them in order of their Average Draft Position, but their risk varies. The players are rated on a risky scale of 1 (absolutely no risk) to 10 (walking across a freeway blindfolded at rush hour).
Here's the thing about ADP you need to remember: Average Draft Position does not mean "most people would draft him at that position." It means, "at least ONE person in every league would draft him at that position." I imagine the average of everyone's true ADP for A.P. would be much lower, like mine, where I have him
Also, make sure when you look at ADP rankings on some sites, you check to see what the date ranges are that they're using. Many of these ADP sites take in mock drafts that occurred back in May, when Peterson's outlook was a little rosier.
Hopefully, you're going to weigh the risks before making some of these picks. Remember, some of these riskier guys aren't necessarily players you want to avoid altogether, but grabbing them as high as their ADP suggests just might be a bad idea. Like that jar of tartar sauce that rolled under my car seat last week.