Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet: Use Week 10 to get set for playoffs
We’re heading into the final third of the fantasy season, and that means owners who need wins to get into the playoffs should still be thinking about trading some of the biggest names in the league. The Steelers, Giants and Saints all go on bye next week, and that creates an opportunity for those who own Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham and Drew Brees. If you need wins over the final few weeks just to get into the playoffs, don’t be afraid to flip those players. At the same time, if you’re safely headed to the postseason and their owners in your league need a win or two to secure their spot, knock on their door and see what the asking price is. They could be the chip that flips leagues over the final few weeks of the season.
Having said that, there are still four weeks remaining in the typical fantasy season. Get ready for Week 10 with all the last-minute news you need in our Cheat Sheet.
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Chicago Bears at St. Louis Rams
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Bears | 23rd | 12th | 17th | 5th |
Rams | 2nd | 11th | 4th | 7th |
Vegas lines
Rams -7
Over/under 42.5
Bears o/u 18
Rams o/u 25
The Rams should be comfortable favorites in this game, but can they really get north of 25 points? Even during Todd Gurley’s remarkable run to start his career, they’ve scored more than 25 points just once, and the Bears defense is nowhere near as bad as conventional wisdom holds. This has the feeling of an under.
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Player who could surprise: Todd Gurley
Nothing Gurley does anymore is a huge surprise, but we need to use this space to celebrate an anniversary. Sunday marks the one-year anniversary of Gurley’s final college game when he tore his ACL against Auburn. What he has done in this last year, not only recovering fully but already becoming one of the best running backs in the NFL, is nothing short of incredible. We have a feeling he’s going to celebrate in grand fashion.
Player who could disappoint: Jeremy Langford
Langford did his best Matt Forte impression in his first start last week, racking up 142 total yards and a touchdown on 21 touches. That, of course, was against the Chargers and their 32nd ranked run defense by Football Outsiders’ DVOA. The Rams are fourth by the same metric. Langford has opened eyes in Chicago and could very well do enough to prove that he can take over as the permanent starter if Forte leaves in free agency, but this is a bad spot for him.
Matchup to watch: Alshon Jeffery vs. Janoris Jenkins
Jeffery has been the best receiver in the NFL over the last three weeks, catching 28 passes for 414 yards and two touchdowns. The Rams don’t use their corners to shadow receivers this season as much as they used to, but they could make an exception for Jeffery. Jenkins, who ranks 10th in coverage according to Pro Football Focus, would likely draw that assignment.
Injury report
Alshon Jeffery (groin): Questionable
Matt Forte (knee): Questionable
Pernell McPhee (knee): Questionable
Jermon Bushrod (shoulder): Questionable
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Jaguars | 24th | 25th | 13th | 16th |
Ravens | 31st | 10th | 31st | 3rd |
Vegas lines
Ravens -5.5
Over/under 48
Jaguars o/u 21.5
Ravens o/u 27
We seem to talk about this every week, but it’s hard to understand why the Ravens are such big favorites against a team that can really throw the ball. The Ravens may very well win, but the bet here is that the Jaguars are able to keep it close, thanks primarily to the way the passing game is performing.
Player who could surprise: Crockett Gillmore
Gillmore has receded back out of the spotlight since a two-touchdown game against the Raiders back in Week 2, but the Ravens are going to need all hands on deck with Steve Smith out for the year. Kamar Aiken will take over as the No.1 receiver, but they’ll need more from Gillmore in the middle of the field.
Player who could disappoint: Justin Forsett
The Jaguars have allowed the eighth-most points per game to running backs, but it has been a bit fluky. They’ve surrendered 11 touchdowns to backs, but they’ve also held them to the fewest yards per carry in the league. Chris Ivory, for example, had two touchdowns against the Jaguars last week, but got just 26 yards on 23 carries. Forsett’s best hope is strong game flow based on the Ravens getting a lead.
Matchup to watch: Allen Robinson vs. Lardarius Webb
Robinson has been one of the best receivers all season and especially over the last month, catching 25 passes for 377 yards and four touchdowns, translating to an average of 15.43 points per game. Allen Hurns should be able to play despite a foot injury, but Robinson will be the key player for the Ravens to slow down.
Injury report
Allen Hurns (foot): Questinable
Julius Thomas (abdomen): Probable
Crockett Gillmore (shoulder): Probable
Jeremy Zuttah (shoulder): Questionable
• MORE: Risers/Sliders: Jags' Robinson a WR1, Browns' Barnidge falling
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Lions | 29th | 30th | 20th | 21st |
Packers | 18th | 14th | 10th | 22nd |
Vegas lines
Packers -12
Over/under 48
Lions o/u 18
Packers o/u 30
The Packers have lost two straight games with Aaron Rodgers under center for the first time since 2010. They get the perfect elixir this week, with the 1-7 Lions visiting Lambeau. Get ready for a vintage Rodgers and Packers offense game.
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Player who could surprise: Davante Adams
Adams finally got back up to speed in the Green Bay offense last week, catching seven of his 11 targets for 93 yards. He has clearly moved back ahead of James Jones on the depth chart and should take advantage of a Detroit defense that essentially hasn’t stopped anyone through the air. Starting corners Rashean Mathis and Darius Slay have allowed quarterback ratings of 108.9 and 115.9, respectively.
Player who could disappoint: Matthew Stafford
The one silver lining for Stafford in this one could be volume. The Packers are favored by 12 and have a team total of 30 points. If both of those eventualities come to fruition, Stafford is going to throw the ball 40-plus times on Sunday. He’s not going to be very efficient, however, and he could struggle against a pass defense that is 10th by Football Outsiders’ DVOA. He’s no more than a mid-tier QB2 this week.
Matchup to watch: Calvin Johnson vs. Green Bay secondary
Everyone in the Green Bay secondary, from Sam Shields and Casey Hayward to Damarious Randall and HaHa Clinton-Dix has great coverage grades this season (despite weaker performances in Green Bay's two recent losses). This is a unit that works in conjunction as well as any in the league. Johnson, who just hasn’t been as explosive as usual this season, will have his hands full this week.
Injury report
Calvin Johnson (ankle): Questionable
Eddie Lacy (groin): Questionable
Sam Shields (shoulder): Questionable
Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Dolphins | 22nd | 29th | 18th | 13th |
Eagles | 16th | 3rd | 30th | 4th |
Vegas lines
Eagles -6.5
Over/under 47.5
Dolphins o/u 20.5
Eagles o/u 27.5
Since the Eagles recommitted to running the ball four weeks ago they’ve gone 3-1, and DeMarco Murray has risen to the No. 14 running back in standard-scoring leagues. Lamar Miller, meanwhile, has looked like the RB1 everyone expected him to be since the regime change in Miami. Expect these two to go carry-for-carry on Sunday.
Player who could surprise: Ryan Mathews
Mathews isn’t getting a ton of touches as the second back in Philadelphia, but he is doing plenty of damage with his opportunities. Mathews hasn’t had more than 11 touches in any of his last four games, but he has scored at least 12.7 points in standard-scoring leagues in three of those games. The Dolphins are allowing the fourth-most points per game to running backs on the year.
• MORE: Week 10: Complete player rankings for every position
Player who could disappoint: Jordan Matthews
A lot of people in the fantasy community are ready to jump right back in on Matthews after his nine-catch, 133-yard, one-touchdown performance against the Cowboys last week. That was the first time he put up a WR2 week since the second game of the season. Is he worth starting? Yes, especially if you have even somewhat limited options. But he’s not a locked-in fantasy starter by any stretch of the imagination.
Matchup to watch: Eagles offensive line vs. Dolphins run defense
Murray and Mathews have found so much success behind the Eagles offensive line, which ranks third in run blocking according to Pro Football Focus. The Dolphins, meanwhile, rate 27th in run defense. This could get ugly for a unit that was supposed to be so much better with the addition of Ndamukong Suh.
Injury report
Jordan Cameron (hamstring): Probable
Ryan Mathews (groin): Probable
DeMarco Murray (groin): Probable
Riley Cooper (toe): Probable
Nelson Agholor (ankle): Probable
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Browns | 26th | 28th | 16th | 23rd |
Steelers | 17th | 6th | 24th | 27th |
Vegas lines
Steelers -5
Over/under 41.5
Browns o/u 18
Steelers o/u 23
The Steelers are still holding out hope for Ben Roethlisberger (foot), but it sure looks like Landry Jones will get his second start of the year. If Roethlisberger were healthy, the Steelers team total would likely be up toward 30. Even without Roethlsiberger, this remains a great matchup for the Steelers.
Player who could surprise: Duke Johnson
The Browns have, by my count, three legitimate playmakers on offense. Johnson has proven that he’s one of them. They need to get the ball in his hands more, as both a receiver and a runner, especially since they aren’t going anywhere this season and he could be their running back of the future. Pittsburgh has been tough on backs this year, but the Browns need to get the ball in his hands at least 12 times.
Player who could disappoint: Martavis Bryant
Antonio Brown could fit here as well, but you’re not benching him no matter the circumstances. Bryant slots as a WR2 when Roethlisberger is under center, and that makes him a borderline starter with Jones. We know he can make plays in space, but Bryant is at his best when he’s taking the top off the defense. That might not be in the cards with Jones starting, although it's worth noting it was Brytant—not Brown—who had a big day in Jones's first game this season.
Matchup to watch: Antonio Brown vs. Tramon Williams
Williams still has a good reputation, but he’s not exactly a lockdown corner. His job this week is made easier with Roethlisberger on the sidelines, but Brown is still going to make him work on Sunday.
Injury report
Joe Haden (concussion): Out
Donte Whitner (concussion): Out
Josh McCown (ribs): Questionable
Tashaun Gipson (illness): Questionable
Brian Hartline (concussion): Probable
Ben Roethlisberger (foot): Questionable
DeAngelo Williams (foot): Probable
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Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Cowboys | 6th | 31st | 5th | 9th |
Buccaneers | 30th | 13th | 29th | 18th |
Vegas lines
Buccaneers -1
Over/under 43.5
Cowboys o/u 21.5
Buccaneers o/u 22.5
It may come as a surprise to some that the Buccaneers are favored in this game, but the Cowboys have been just as bad, if not worse, and shouldn’t be favored against anyone on the road. Expect both teams to lean on their rushing attacks, with Doug Martin and Darren McFadden staring down great matchups.
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Player who could surprise: Matt Cassel
A healthy Dez Bryant makes a world of difference. Cassel threw for 299 yards, 7.87 yards per attempt and three touchdowns in the loss to the Eagles last week. Who cares if that third touchdown was just a prayer that Bryant answered? Cassel will have him at his disposal on Sunday against a Tampa Bay defense that has allowed the third-most points per game to quarterbacks this year.
Player who could disappoint: Jason Witten
This game sets up really well for McFadden and Martin, so Witten lands here by default. The bottom line is he just isn’t a viable TE1 without Tony Romo on the field. The pool of tight ends who could jump into the TE1 class is deep, making it even harder for Witten to crack the list. You can definitely do better this week.
Matchup to watch: Cowboys offensive line vs. Buccaneers run defense
As bad as the Cowboys have been this year, the line can still open up some of the biggest holes in the league. According to Pro Football Focus, they have the best run-blocking unit in the NFL. The Buccaneers have the fourth-worst run defense by the same metrics. Martin has an equally good matchup on the other side, and whichever run game plays better could lift its team to a victory.
Injury report
Matt Cassel (knee): Probable
Dez Bryant (foot): Probable
Nick Hayden (ankle): Questionable
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder): Questionable
Carolina Panthers at Tennessee Titans
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Panthers | 9th | 20th | 8th | 19th |
Titans | 20th | 5th | 14th | 26th |
Vegas lines
Panthers -6
Over/under 43.5
Panthers o/u 25
Titans o/u 19
This might not be the blowout you’d typically expect from an 8-0 team against a 2-6 team. The Titans’ defense has been better than you might realize this season, and it may have the horses to slow down what the Panthers have done so well on the ground this year. Still, this could be their toughest test of the season.
Player who could surprise: Dorial Green-Beckham
One of Mike Mularkey’s first edicts after taking over was that Green-Beckham would get more time on the field, as well as more targets. That change showed up right away, with Green-Beckham catching five of his 10 targets for 77 yards. The Titans offensive line will have its hands full with Carolina’s pass rush, but if Mariota gets enough time to throw, he’ll attack down the field with Green-Beckham.
Player who could disappoint: Marcus Mariota
Mariota has had a few big games this season, but they’ve come against three of the worst defenses in the league. In matchups with the Buccaneers, Browns and Saints, Mariota has thrown for 837 yards, 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. In his three other games, he has 773 yards, three touchdowns and five picks.
Matchup to watch: Dorial Green-Beckham vs. Josh Norman
There’s good reason for the optimism surrounding Green-Beckham, but he won’t have anything handed to him this week. Norman has been one of the true breakout stars of the 2015 season, ranking as the top cover corner by Pro Football Focus’ grades. This should be the best individual matchup of the game. Don’t write the rookie off simply because of the tough matchup.
Injury report
Kendall Wright (knee): Out
New Orleans Saints at Washington Redskins
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Saints | 32nd | 23rd | 28th | 31st |
Redskins | 10th | 19th | 25th | 6th |
Vegas lines
Saints -1.5
Over/under 50.5
Saints o/u 26
Redskins o/u 24.5
Why is fantasy football so great? One of the big reasons is it can take a relatively meaningless game and turns it into an exciting matchup filled with intrigue. New Orleans and Washington probably won’t go anywhere this year, but this game should weigh heavily on fantasy matchups in Week 10, evidenced by the 50.5 total.
Player who could surprise: Kirk Cousins
Washington has no hope of slowing down Drew Brees and company, but the Saints defense may not fare much better against Cousins. They’ve allowed 15 passing touchdowns in their last four games, and Cousins has already taken advantage of bad defenses this season. With DeSean Jackson fully healthy and Jordan Reed looking like one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the league, Cousins should be able to throw for a big game, especially when Brees’ fireworks force him to throw the ball 40 times.
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Player who could disappoint: Ben Watson
Fantasy owners will likely start all of Watson, Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead. No matter how well Brees is playing, though, it’s hard for all three of his primary pass catchers to show up for their owners in any situation. It’s even more of a challenge when Mark Ingram has as large a role in the offense as he does this season. If I had to bet against one of Watson, Cooks or Snead, it would be the tight end.
Matchup to watch: Saints offensive line vs. Washington run defense
The Saints’ line ranks sixth in run blocking according to Pro Football Focus, helping Mark Ingram score the second-most fantasy points among all running backs this year. Washington’s run defense got off to a strong start this season, but has faltered of late, allowing the last four starting running backs they’ve faced to all run for at least 129 yards. Ingram should thrive in this matchup.
Injury report
Willie Snead (knee): Probable
Chris Thompson (back): Probable
DeAngelo Hall (toe): Questionable
Minnesota Vikings at Oakland Raiders
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Vikings | 4th | 9th | 9th | 20th |
Raiders | 27th | 18th | 15th | 32nd |
Vegas lines
Raiders -3
Over/under 44.5
These are two of the most exciting new-blood teams in the league, and both could get back in the playoffs this year. With Oakland’s passing game clicking, and Teddy Bridgewater expected to play despite a concussion last week, the 44.5 over/under feels a little low. Keep an eye on Latavius Murray, who is also making his way through the concussion protocol.
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Player who could surprise: Michael Crabtree
No one doubts what Derek Carr and Amari Cooper can do week in and week out, but Crabtree is the one guy who is seen as a risk with the Vikings in town on Sunday. Let’s first all realize that Crabtree is 13th in total points and 20th in points per game among receivers this season. By any measure, he has been a solid WR2 this year. The Vikings have allowed the ninth-fewest points per game to receivers, but no one is scared of Xavier Rhodes or Terence Newman. I believe in this Oakland offense across the board.
Player who could disappoint: Derek Carr
For a player to disappoint, he has to come in with some expectations. Carr undoubtedly has those after three straight games as a top-six quarterback. I do like Carr in general and would start him with confidence, but the Vikings have surrendered the fourth-fewest points per game to quarterbacks this season.
Matchup to watch: Stefon Diggs vs. D.J. Hayden
Hayden ranks 108th out of 110 corners in coverage ranked by Pro Football Focus this season. After a down game against the Rams last week, you can bet Diggs is going to get back on track with a great matchup in Week 10. The Vikings will likely need it to keep pace with the Packers in the NFC North.
Injury report
Teddy Bridgewater (concussion): Questionable
Latavius Murray (concussion): Probable
Amari Cooper (quad): Probable
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Chiefs | 19th | 8th | 32nd | 1st |
Broncos | 1st | 15th | 2nd | 14th |
Vegas lines
Broncos -6
Over/under 42
Chiefs o/u 18
Broncos o/u 24.5
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Back in Week 2, the Broncos escaped with a fortunate victory, thanks to an unlikely fumble by Jamaal Charles. The Chiefs won’t have their star back this time around, and that only makes the task at hand more challenging.
Player who could surprise: Charcandrick West
Leading up to Sunday, I’ve probably received more start/sit questions on West than any other player. I understand the logic. The Broncos have a great defense, and the Chiefs could be chasing all game. The Broncos, however, are no better than league-average against the run. Moreover, this offense doesn’t have the juice to run away from too many teams. West is going to get his 20 touches in this game. Make sure he’s in your lineups.
Player who could disappoint: Emmanuel Sanders (ankle)
Sanders missed big chunks of practice time this week because of an ankle injury. He’s a true game-time decision, but early indications are that he’ll be able to play. Still, it’s hard to trust a less-than-100% Sanders with a diminished Peyton Manning under center. He’s a low-end WR2, at best.
Matchup to watch: Demaryius Thomas vs. Marcus Peters
Thomas burned the Chiefs for eight catches and 116 yards in their first meeting this season. Peters has been a revelation for Kansas City this year, but Thomas already got the better of him once. He’ll be looking for redemption on Sunday.
Injury report
Travis Kelce (groin): Probable
Emmanuel Sanders (ankle): Questionable
Peyton Manning (foot): Probable
Ronnie Hillman (quad): Probable
Owen Daniels (shoulder): Probable
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New England Patriots at New York Giants
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Patriots | 12th | 4th | 19th | 8th |
Giants | 28th | 22nd | 22nd | 30th |
Vegas lines
Patriots -7.5
Over/under 55.5
Patriots o/u 32
Giants o/u 24
This is probably the first game CBS protected from flex scheduling. It’s always appointment television when these two teams get together, and with an over/under of 55.5, all eyes in the fantasy community will be trained on this game in the late afternoon on Sunday. In short, you want almost any sort of investment you can get in this one.
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Player who could surprise: Shane Vereen
Vereen has done mostly what the Giants expected of him this year, catching 34 passes for 309 yards and three touchdowns while providing modest production on the ground. He has been more involved of late, though, scoring all his touchdowns in the last five weeks. This is the exact sort of game the Giants had in mind when they targeted Vereen in free agency. He’s going to play a big role on Sunday, possibly getting 10 or more targets. He’s a sneaky flex play in most formats.
Player who could disappoint: LeGarrette Blount
Blount has done all his damage this year in blowouts. The Patriots have played two games that were within one score with significant time remaining (they beat the Colts by seven, but the Colts scored a meaningless touchdown with seconds remaining). In those two games, wins over the Bills and Jets, Vereen had a total of five carries for one yard. The bet here is that the Giants keep this too close for Blount to register for his fantasy owners.
Matchup to watch: Odell Beckham vs. Patriots secondary
The Patriots don’t have any one defensive back who can stick with Beckham, but that’s not the way this year’s team is built. They’ll likely put Malcolm Butler on Beckham with safety help from Devin McCourty or Patrick Chung on almost every play. It’ll be a battle all afternoon long.
Injury report
Julian Edelman (knee): Probable
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Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Cardinals | 7th | 7th | 11th | 2nd |
Seahawks | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | 28th |
Vegas lines
Seahawks -3
Over/under 45
Cardinals o/u 21
Seahawks o/u 24
This should be a great real-life game, but it likely won’t create a huge boom in the fantasy world. Beware the false equivalency between these teams. The Cardinals do have a good defense, but it’s not a great one, and certainly nowhere near as good as Seattle’s. Arizona is winning with its offense. This game will be decided by who wins when the Cardinals have the ball.
Player who could surprise: Carson Palmer
This game is seen as a death sentence for Palmer. The Seahawks have allowed the third-fewest points to quarterbacks and fewest to receivers. They’ve surrendered just 6.78 yards per attempt and six passing touchdowns, second-fewest in the league. That overlooks the fact that Palmer has been one of the best quarterbacks in the league this year, alongside Tom Brady, Andy Dalton and Cam Newton. He can best any defense, Seattle’s included.
Player who could disappoint: Chris Johnson
Johnson, on the other hand, could have a ton of trouble getting going on Sunday night. While he has been nearly as productive at his craft as Palmer has been at his, Seattle is a total shutdown unit against the run. Palmer has a much better chance at making something out of nothing through the air than Johnson does on the ground.
Matchup to watch: Larry Fitzgerald vs. Richard Sherman
A pair of veterans at or near the top of their game playing in a crucial division game in primetime. Enough said.
Injury report
Larry Fitzgerald (ankle): Probable
John Brown (hamstring): Questionable
Marshawn Lynch (abdomen): Questionable
Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals
| vs. QB | vs. RB | vs. WR | vs. TE |
Texans | 25th | 27th | 12th | 17th |
Bengals | 8th | 16th | 7th | 11th |
Vegas lines
Bengals -10.5
Over/under 47.5
Texans o/u 18.5
Bengals o/u 29
This game should be as much of a blowout as the Sunday night game is tightly contested. The Bengals are in the midst of a dream season, starting 8-0 for the first time in franchise history and looking primed to bury the playoff demons of recent years. The Texans, meanwhile, are one of the more disappointing teams in the league after narrowly missing out on the playoffs last year. Expect both teams to show why they are who (we thought) they are on Monday.
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Player who could surprise: Jeremy Hill
While the Bengals have had one of the best offenses all year, Hill has been one of the biggest fantasy flops. Even in recent weeks, with at least 15 carries in each of his last three games, he hasn’t done a thing for his fantasy owners. He could finally show up this week in a game the Bengals should control against a Texans defense that has allowed the sixth-most points per game to running backs.
Player who could disappoint: Alfred Blue
Simply put, Blue should be nowhere near a starting lineup this week. He may be in the starter’s chair for the Texans, but there’s a very real chance they’re down by three scores by halftime. Brian Hoyer is likely to throw the ball 40-plus times in this game, and that would be bad news for Blue. Even if he did get 15 or more carries, he hasn’t proved himself a capable fantasy running back over the last two seasons. Why would that change against a solid Cincinnati defense?
Matchup to watch: A.J. Green vs. Kevin Johnson
Ronald Darby and Marcus Peters have hogged the rookie cornerback spotlight, but Johnson deserves some notice as well. The Wake Forest product, whom the Texans selected with the 16th overall pick, rates as Pro Football Focus’ No. 41 corner back this year, garnering a plus 1.1 grade. Green will provide him a wonderful litmus test halfway through his first season in the league.
Injury report
The official injury report for Monday night isn’t available until Sunday, but there aren’t expected to be any fantasy-relevant players unavailable.