Fresh off a bye, Denver heads east to meet Minnesota at U.S. Bank Stadium. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 17, 2019. The Vikings trail Green Bay by one game in the NFC North while the Broncos are last overall in the AFC West.
Spread: Vikings -10.5 (-110), Broncos +10.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Vikings (-600), Broncos (+450)
Total: OVER 40.5 (-110), UNDER 40.5 (-110)
Broncos’ Season to Date
Heading out of its bye week, Denver (3-6) looks to build on its 24-19 Week 9 home win over Cleveland. QB Brandon Allen made his first career start in that contest and tossed two TD passes. That’s an upgrade after Joe Flacco tossed just six TDs in the Broncos’ first eight games. This is a tough second start for Allen.
Broncos’ Betting Record: ATS 5-4-0 OVER/UNDER 3-6-0
Broncos’ Leaders on Offense
*QB Brandon Allen: 193 pass yards with 2 TD and 0 INT
RB Phillip Lindsay: 744 total yards with 5 TD
WR Courtland Sutton: 692 receiving yards with 4 TD
TE: Noah Fant: 300 receiving yards with 2 TD
* Brandon Allen makes his second career start replacing injured QB Joe Flacco
Vikings’ Season to Date
Following two road games, where they lost 26-23 to Kansas City and won 28-24 versus Dallas, the Vikings (7-3) are back at home. The Vikings are 4-0 (3-1 ATS) at U.S. Bank Stadium and have outscored their opponents by a 119-55 combined count. RB Dalvin Cook leads the NFL with 1,415 all-purpose yards.
Vikings’ Betting Record: ATS 5-4-0 OVER/UNDER 4-5-0
Vikings’ Leaders on Offense
QB Kirk Cousins: 2,437 pass yards with 18 TD and 3 INT
RB Dalvin Cook: 1,415 total yards with 10 TD
WR Stefon Diggs: 759 receiving yards with 4 TD
TE Kyle Rudolph: 184 receiving yards with 4 TD
Broncos vs. Vikings Recent History – First Meeting since 2015
Meeting for the first time since 2015, recent history doesn’t help bettors pick a side here. Against same opponents this season, both teams have losses to the Chiefs, Packers and Bears. Minnesota defeated Oakland 34-14 at home in Week 3, while Denver lost 24-16 on the road to the Raiders in their season opener.
Vikings vs. Broncos Final Thoughts and Pick
Apart from a 20-13 win over the Chargers in Los Angeles, the Broncos have not been very good on the road. Denver has losses to Oakland (24-16), Green Bay (27-16) and Indianapolis (15-13) as visitors. Minnesota backers need to consider that Denver is No. 4 in the league on defense, allowing just 309.7 yards per game.
With its bye week up next, Minnesota will keep the pedal to the metal as it can move to within a half game of the Packers who are on a bye this week. Minnesota has 29 sacks and defensive-minded HC Mike Zimmer will throw the kitchen sink at the Broncos’ backup QB Allen. We can’t see Denver scoring much here.
Pick: Vikings -10.5
Season Record: 1-12