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2021 3M Open: Latest Betting Odds, Favorites And Sleeper Picks For TPC Twin Cities

World No. 2 Dustin Johnson will garner most of the attention, but with a subdued field, there is more value elsewhere.
Tony Finau will look to carry some momentum to the 3M Open.

Tony Finau will look to carry some momentum to the 3M Open.

We may never again see the killer instinct vintage Tiger Woods had when a tournament was on the line. But there are a select few on Tour who offer flashes of that trait.

Collin Morikawa is one of those players. In just his eighth major start and first-ever Open Championship start, Morikawa took advantage of the very benign weather conditions (by Open standards) with his elite iron play to secure the Claret Jug. The Champion Golfer of the Year was not only the steadiest player throughout the weekend, but when the pressure mounted, he answered with a deft touch on the greens. The hammer was down and those chasing made too many mistakes.

One of those in pursuit was Jordan Spieth, who will regret certain stumbles on the greens, but should feel confident as he seriously contended for his first major in four years. Spieth secured us another top-10 finish on the year, Paul Casey used a steady 5-under week to tie for 15th and Jason Kokrak just missed out on the top-20 with his final-round 71.

Play now heads back to the U.S. for the PGA Tour's 3M Open in Minnesota before many top players in the world head to Japan for the Olympics. This will be just the third iteration of this event at TPC Twin Cities. Both past winners, Matthew Wolff and Michael Thompson, won at 19- and 21-under par, respectively. Coming off a major in England, only four of the top-20 golfers in the world are competing, so much of the field will begin vying for spots in the upcoming FedEx Cup Playoffs.

According to William Hill, world No. 2 Dustin Johnson is the clear favorite at 7-1 after a strong showing at Royal St. George's. Next up are Louis Ooshuizen after yet another major heartbreak and Tony Finau after a solid British Open performance at 14-1. To close out the notables is Patrick Reed at 16-1.

For our favorite, the recent success of Tony Finau looks enticing at 14-1. Coming off a T-15 showing at Royal St. George's, Finau arrives at another course that suits the long ball. Last week, Finau finished T-4 in greens in regulation and that will be key at TPC Twin Cities considering strokes gained: approach has been the differentiator for the past two champions. In his last two starts at the 3M Open, Finau has finished T-3 and T-23, so if his form continues, he should contend for his first win in five years.

For a midrange pick, Keegan Bradley looks solid at 40-1. Bradley missed the cut last week at The Open by just one stroke, so he’ll be looking to get things back on track at a layout where his talents should shine through. TPC Twin Cities favors elite ball-striking over good putting, so Bradley will be very comfortable since over the past 24 rounds, he ranks in the top-5 in strokes gained: approach, par-4s and opportunities gained.

For a sleeper, Jhonattan Vegas at 66-1 should bring immense value. Vegas has made 12 cuts in his last 13 starts. More recently, he’s finished in the top-11 in three of his last five appearances on Tour. Over the past 24 rounds, Vegas ranks first in strokes gained: off the tee and with a lot of water on the course, being long and accurate will be essential. Look for Vegas to make yet another cut and chase the leaders on the weekend.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners: 3
Top 10s: 16
Top 20s: 12
Misses: 48

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 7-1

Tony Finau 14-1

Louis Oosthuizen 14-1

Patrick Reed 18-1

Robert MacIntyre 28-1

Sergio Garcia 28-1

Cameron Tringale 28-1

Bubba Watson 30-1

Matthew Wolff 33-1

Emiliano Grillo 35-1

Cameron Davis 40-1

Maverick McNealy 40-1

Rickie Fowler 40-1

Keegan Bradley 40-1

Lucas Herbert 40-1

Hank Lebioda 40-1

Gary Woodland 50-1

Stewart Cink 50-1

Charl Schwartzel 50-1

Luke List 50-1

Dylan Frittelli 50-1

Patton Kizzire 50-1

Ryan Moore 55-1

J.T. Poston 60-1

Lanto Griffin 60-1

Brandt Snedeker 60-1

Doug Ghim 60-1

Patrick Rodgers 60-1

Jhonattan Vegas 66-1

Bo Hoag 66-1

Chris Kirk 66-1

Chez Reavie 66-1

Charles Howell 66-1

Brendon Todd 66-1

Richy Werenski 66-1

Kyle Stanley 70-1

Troy Merritt 80-1

Adam Hadwin 80-1

Mito Pereira 80-1

Adam Schenk 80-1

Michael Thompson 80-1

Joel Dahmen 80-1

Tom Lewis 90-1

Erik Van Rooyen 90-1

Steve Stricker 90-1

Matt Kuchar 90-1

Pat Perez 100-1

Sam Ryder 100-1

Brian Stuard 100-1

Mark Hubbard 100-1

Brandon Hagy 100-1

Beau Hossler 100-1

Ryan Armour 125-1

James Hahn 125-1

Tom Hoge 125-1

Cameron Percy 125-1

Scott Stallings 125-1

Cameron Champ 125-1

Matthew NeSmith 125-1

Sepp Straka 125-1

Adam Long 125-1

Russell Knox 125-1

Kevin Tway 150-1

Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1

Denny McCarthy 150-1

Brandon Stone 150-1

Byeong Hun An 150-1

Roger Sloan 150-1

Joseph Bramlett 150-1

Wyndham Clark 150-1

Scott Piercy 150-1

Brice Garnett 150-1

Satoshi Kodaira 175-1

Keith Mitchell 175-1

Robert Streb 175-1

Jason Dufner 175-1

Will Gordon 200-1

Scott Brown 200-1

Vincent Whaley 200-1

Vaughn Taylor 200-1

Nate Lashley 200-1

John Huh 200-1

Camilo Villegas 200-1

Austin Eckroat 200-1

Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1

Chesson Hadley 200-1