2021 John Deere Classic: Latest Betting Odds, Favorites and Sleeper Picks For TPC Deere Run

Daniel Berger is the clear favorite, but history shows the John Deere Classic is ripe for a first-time winner.

Another playoff, another what-could-have-been for the picks and Joaquin Niemann.

Our favorite, Niemann, did not record a single bogey the entire week until the first playoff hole. That lone blemish did not allow the Chilean to continue and opened the door for Australian Cam Davis to ultimately outlast Troy Merritt in five playoff holes and win the Rocket Mortgage Classic, Davis' first on the PGA Tour. For Niemann, he notched his third runner-up finish on the season and second heartbreak in a playoff.

Elsewhere, Doc Redman and Chez Reavie both missed the cut for us after promising first-round starts.

Now, after a one-year absence, we finally head back to the Midwest’s most beloved stop on Tour, the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Ill. What started as the Quad Cities Open, the John Deere Classic is celebrating its 50th anniversary this year. The field only includes five of the world's top-50 players as many are preparing for next week’s British Open at Royal St. George’s. So, like many years prior, the John Deere will offer a great chance for lesser name players to clinch their first victory on Tour.

According to William Hill, American Daniel Berger is the clear favorite at 10-1. He is making his first start since his top-10 U.S. Open finish. Next up is 2014 champion Brian Harman at 14-1. Right behind is Korean Sungjae Im at 16-1 after his top-10 finish last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Right behind is Russell Henley (18-1 odds) — after two straight top-20 finishes — and Kevin Streelman (22-1) closes out the field's top notables.

For our favorite, we’re going with the value in Streelman, who narrowly missed the cut at a course he loves — TPC River Highlands, host site for the Travelers Championship. However, let’s not forget the form he was in prior to that missed cut — four straight top-20 finishes. The Illinois native owns three top-10 finishes at the John Deere Classic, so look for Streelman to right the ship against a weaker field.

For a midrange pick, we’re going with an in-form Hank Lebioda at 40-1. Lebioda just recorded consecutive top-5 finishes at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. His price is certainly a bit high now, but on this shorter and gettable track, putting will be key. Lebioda is currently fourth in strokes gained: putting in his last 24 rounds. Over that same timeframe, he is first in total strokes gained, so Lebioda should be able to ride the momentum for another week.

For a deep sleeper, Satoshi Kodaira at 125-1 could make some noise. His previous four results prior to a missed cut last week at the Rocket Mortgage Classic were 36-19-13-11. Those results have certainly gone a bit further down the leaderboard each week, but in Kodaira’s last 16 competitive rounds, he’s broken 70 nine times. We would not be shocked if Kodaira is a factor this week at the John Deere Classic.

2021 Picks Scoreboard:

Winners: 3
Top 10s: 14
Top 20s: 11
Misses: 45

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Daniel Berger 10-1

Brian Harman 14-1

Sungjae Im 16-1

Russell Henley 18-1

Kevin Streelman 22-1

Cameron Davis 28-1

Alex Noren 30-1

Seamus Power 33-1

Si-Woo Kim 33-1

Troy Merritt 40-1

Maverick McNealy 40-1

Ryan Moore 40-1

Hank Lebioda 40-1

Zach Johnson 40-1

Patton Kizzire 40-1

Steve Stricker 40-1

Aaron Wise 40-1

Kevin Na 40-1

Lucas Glover 50-1

Doug Ghim 50-1

Jhonattan Vegas 50-1

Doc Redman 50-1

Kyle Stanley 50-1

Harold Varner 55-1

Chez Reavie 60-1

Sepp Straka 60-1

Sebastian Munoz 60-1

Tom Lewis 66-1

Dylan Frittelli 66-1

Charles Howell 66-1

Beau Hossler 66-1

Richy Werenski 66-1

J.T. Poston 66-1

Pat Perez 70-1

Erik Van Rooyen 70-1

Patrick Rodgers 70-1

Mito Pereira 80-1

C.T. Pan 80-1

Keith Mitchell 80-1

Luke List 80-1

Kramer Hickok 80-1

Scott Stallings 80-1

Henrik Norlander 90-1

Mark Hubbard 90-1

Brice Garnett 100-1

Roger Sloan 100-1

Brian Stuard 125-1

Hudson Swafford 125-1

Nick Taylor 125-1

Byeong Hun An 125-1

Bo Hoag 125-1

Satoshi Kodaira 125-1

Denny McCarthy 125-1

Ryan Armour 125-1

Matthew NeSmith 125-1

Michael Thompson 125-1

Andrew Putnam 125-1

Robert Streb 125-1

Scott Piercy 125-1

Jim Herman 125-1

Chesson Hadley 125-1

Cameron Champ 125-1

Tyler Duncan 125-1

Vaughn Taylor 125-1

Brandon Hagy 125-1

Harry Higgs 150-1

John Huh 150-1

Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1

Andrew Landry 150-1

Vincent Whaley 150-1

Martin Laird 150-1

Will Gordon 150-1

Mark Anderson 150-1

Rory Sabbatini 150-1

Ben Martin 150-1

Adam Schenk 150-1

Danny Lee 150-1

Adam Long 150-1

Joseph Bramlett 150-1

Sam Ryder 150-1

Bronson Burgoon 175-1

Richard S. Johnson 200-1

Johnson Wagner 200-1

Camilo Villegas 200-1

Wes Roach 200-1

Anirban Lahiri 200-1

Fabian Gomez 200-1

Cameron Percy 200-1

Peter Malnati 200-1

J.J. Spaun 200-1

Kevin Tway 200-1

Jason Dufner 200-1

Sean O'Hair 200-1

Scott Brown 200-1

J.B. Holmes 200-1