In his second mock draft, SI.com draft expert David Rawnsley has Vanderbilt shortstop Dansby Swanson going No. 1 to the Diamondbacks.

By David Rawnsley
June 08, 2015

The MLB draft, which starts tonight at 7 p.m. and will be broadcast on MLB Network, still does not have an obvious choice for the No. 1 pick. However, just as with our first Mock Draft on May 27, the player most expect to go 1/1 to the Diamondbacks is Vanderbilt shortstop Dansby Swanson, but he may not even wind up being the first player drafted at his position.

There will be 36 picks in the first round, nine of which are compensation picks for teams that lost free agents last offseason (there are then six competitive balance picks, which are not reflected here. For more on that, see here). In the final days before the draft, expectations as to who a team will take can become very fluid, as clubs start bearing down more on signability numbers and the advisor/front office games begin in earnest. There will always be a surprise player who sneaks into the first round, like Hunter Dozier (Royals, 2013) or Cole Tucker (Pirates, '14), just as there is sure to be a player who will fall out of the first round completely due to worries about whether he can be signed and, if so, how much it will cost.

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This Mock Draft represents the combination of industry sources, team tendencies, almost three decades of watching how drafts evolve—plus plenty of guess work.

NOTE: This mock draft covers the first round through the compensation picks. David Rawnsley is the former Assistant Scouting Director for the Houston Astros and national writer for Baseball America. For the past 13 years, he has been the National Scouting Director and is the current Vice-President, Player Personnel for Perfect Game.

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