New York Yankees: Yonder Alonso
Record: 57–49, .538
Standings 1 game behind in AL East, 2.5 games ahead in AL wild card,
Playoff Odds: 89.8%
Having shored up both ends of their pitching staff as well as third base during July, the Yankees still have one glaring weakness, as their first basemen—mainly the departed Chris Carter and the injured Greg Bird, but including eight other players—have combined to hit just .225/.311/.401. That line is boosted by Chase Headley's .389/.476/.500 showing, largely since being displaced at third by the arrival of Todd Frazier, but his 42-PA hot streak won't last forever, and it's best not to invest too much hope in Bird's eventual return from ankle surgery. Alonso already has obliterated his previous career high with 22 homers—three more than 2014-16 combined—and while he's hit just .228/.343/.386 in 67 PA since the All-Star break, a move to a more hitter-friendly ballpark should help, particularly given what an inviting target that short rightfield fence is for lefties.