Inside the Numbers of MLB's Expanded Postseason Proposal

If a 14-team playoff format had been in place since 2012, nearly every club would have played in October.
Inside the Numbers of MLB's Expanded Postseason Proposal
Inside the Numbers of MLB's Expanded Postseason Proposal /

What if the proposed expansion to a 14-team playoff field were in place for the past eight years (2012-2019)? We don’t know how it might have affected spending and team construction with more available postseason spots, but if you simply apply the format retroactively, here’s what you get:

• Twenty-seven of the 30 clubs would have qualified for the postseason in that eight-year period.

• Only two teams in those eight years would have qualified for the expanded postseason every year: the Dodgers and Cardinals–none in the American League.

• The 16 No. 1 seeds in those eight years would have been filled by 12 different franchises.

• The No. 7 seed (the last team to qualify in each league) posted an average of 84 wins. The high win total for a No. 7 seed was 89. The low was 79.

• Of the 112 playoff teams, only four would have qualified with a losing record (3.6%).

• The No. 1 seed would have averaged 100 wins, with a low of 95 and a high of 108.

• On Sept. 10–about three weeks left in the season–20 teams on average would be within five games of a playoff spot. Under the current system, that average is 15 teams.

• The maximum number of postseason games increases from 43 to 59. The maximum number of possible elimination games increases from 26 to 36. 


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Tom Verducci
TOM VERDUCCI

Tom Verducci is a senior writer for Sports Illustrated who has covered Major League Baseball since 1981. He also serves as an analyst for FOX Sports and the MLB Network; is a New York Times best-selling author; and cohosts The Book of Joe podcast with Joe Maddon. A five-time Emmy Award winner across three categories (studio analyst, reporter, short form writing) and nominated in a fourth (game analyst), he is a three-time National Sportswriter of the Year winner, two-time National Magazine Award finalist, and a Penn State Distinguished Alumnus Award recipient. Verducci is a member of the National Sports Media Hall of Fame, Baseball Writers Association of America (including past New York chapter chairman) and a Baseball Hall of Fame voter since 1993. He also is the only writer to be a game analyst for World Series telecasts. He lives in New Jersey with his wife, with whom he has two children.