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Inside The Royals

Royals Boss Sounds Off on Carlos Estévez Amid Velocity Concerns

The GM doesn't seem to be overly concerned...
Sep 27, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Kansas City Royals pitcher Carlos Estevez (53) throws a pitch against the Athletics during the ninth inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Lee-Imagn Images
Sep 27, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Kansas City Royals pitcher Carlos Estevez (53) throws a pitch against the Athletics during the ninth inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Lee-Imagn Images | Dennis Lee-Imagn Images

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Perhaps no position is more volatile in Major League Baseball than the closer role, so Kansas City Royals fans understandably have their guard up.

For the second-straight season since he signed with the Royals as a free agent, Carlos Estévez came into camp posting significantly slower fastball velocities than he averaged during the previous regular season. The good news was that he bounced back to his norm last offseason, but that's not a guarantee that it happens again with another season of wear and tear.

As the reigning major league saves leader enters his age-33 season, his organization still seems exceptionally confident in his ability to get the job done, which probably involves him rediscovering that velocity once again.

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Royals not sounding alarm on Estévez

Carlos Estévez
Sep 10, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Kansas City Royals relief pitcher Carlos Estevez (53) celebrates a win over the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images | David Richard-Imagn Images

Though Estévez was sitting between 88-90 mph with his fastball during Wednesday's spring training outing, general manager J.J. Picollo indicated the next day that he wasn't ready to hit the panic button, suggesting this was the norm with the two-time All-Star.

“It’s hard not to notice it but we also had the experience of last year, and we went through the same thing,” Picollo told Pete Grathoff of the Kansas City Star. “And I think last year we were a little bit more nervous about it, because we hadn’t been with him before.

“But not only did he tell us that this is how he always starts in spring training, but the other clubs he had been with, our coaches called their coaches and asked, ‘Is this normal?’ And they confirmed it for us. So while you would like to see him more in the 91-92 range right now, this is exactly where he was last year."

During the regular season last year, Estévez averaged 95.9 mph with his four-seam fastball, which ranked in the 76th percentile of all pitchers tracked by Baseball Savant. While he doesn't necessarily need to be at that number from day one, it would raise some red flags if he's not sitting close to that number within a couple of months.

To make it back to the playoffs this year, the Royals definitely need similar consistency from the closer role that Estévez provided in 2025. Velocity will remain a talking point for the time being, but as Picollo hinted, there's not yet reason for panic.

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Jackson Roberts
JACKSON ROBERTS

Jackson Roberts is a former Division III All-Region DH who now writes and talks about sports for a living. A Bay Area native and a graduate of Swarthmore College and the Newhouse School at Syracuse University, Jackson makes his home in North Jersey. He grew up rooting for the Red Sox, Patriots, and Warriors, and he recently added the Devils to his sports fandom mosaic. For all business/marketing inquiries regarding "Kansas City Royals On SI," please reach out to Scott Neville: scott@moreviewsmedia

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