Will the 49ers Ground and Pound the Eagles into Submission?

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I've had two Eagles content creators on Ted Talks Ball this week, as well as several 49ers content creators, and we all agreed that the 49ers and the Eagles are the two best teams in the NFC and that this will be a hard fought win for whichever team emerges victorious from this Championship Game on Sunday at Lincoln Financial Field.
The Eagles have the advantage at quarterback. Jalen Hurts is more talented and more productive than Brock Purdy. They also have the advantage at offensive line, if Lane Johnson can continue to play and play productively despite a torn muscle in his groin/abdomen that will require offseason surgery. They had the No. 1 run game in 2022. AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith had better seasons than Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk. The Eagles defensive line led the league in sacks with 70. They have arguably the best cornerback duo in football with Darius Slay and James Bradberry.
So, why am I picking the 49ers to win?
The 49ers have the best group of weapons in football. They also have the No. 1 defense in the NFL. Kyle Shanahan is 6-2 in the playoffs, reaching the NFCCG three times and the Super Bowl once in the past four seasons. Nick Sirianni is 1-1 in the playoffs with his only win being over the anemic Giants. The Eagles defense is is ranked 21st vs the run - that's bottom 11 in the league for the 2022 season:
Philadelphia's key weakness vs. the 49ers, especially in relation to the Cowboys....
— David Lombardi (@LombardiHimself) January 23, 2023
Run defense DVOA....
Cowboys: #5
Eagles: #21
The 49ers have the No. 5 run game since week 8, and the Eagles have the No. 20 run defense since week eight.
DVOA comp since Week 8 (CMC)...
— David Lombardi (@LombardiHimself) January 26, 2023
PASS
SF OFFENSE : 64.1% (#1)
PHI DEFENSE: -10.0% (#7)
PHI OFFENSE: 21.6% (#5)
SF DEFENSE: -24.1% (#5)
RUN
SF OFFENSE: 9.3% (#3)
PHI DEFENSE: -4.0% (#20)
PHI OFFENSE: 23.4% (#1)
SF DEFENSE -24.1% (#5)
SPECIAL TEAMS
SF: 4.0% (#5)
PHI: 3.3% (#8)
Eagles fans have argued that run defense suffered due to their offense jumping all over teams early in games to establish 2-3 score leads. After that, the Eagles defense softened to shell coverage to limit big passing plays. This allowed easier running lanes, but did this also lead to an inflated sack total for their defense as well?
The Eagles defense is really good against No. 1 and No. 2 wide receivers, but the are weak against No. 3 and No. 4 receivers (Jauan Jennings and Ray-Ray McCloud) and running backs catching the ball out of the backfield (Christian McCaffrey, Kyle Juszczyk and Deebo Samuel). They are also very good against average tight ends for 2022 season, but George Kittle is about as far from an average tight end as you can get. Brandon Aiyuk is a filthy route runner, who can get separation on any cornerback, my only question is can Purdy get Aiyuk the ball before the secondary recovers to make a pass break up or an interception?
Philadelphia's defensive DVOA ranks vs various receivers...
— David Lombardi (@LombardiHimself) January 23, 2023
vs. #1 WR: #2
vs. #2 WR: #4
vs. other WR: #22
vs. TE: #6
vs. RB: #24 pic.twitter.com/ASSHLFxwuc
As good as the Eagles offensive line is, their left tackle Jordan Mailata is ranked No. 41 out of just 56 tackles, which is bottom third:
Philly O-line is #2 overall in pass-blocking efficiency, but there's an outlier in individual ranks....
— David Lombardi (@LombardiHimself) January 24, 2023
LT Jordan Mailata: #41
LG Landon Dickerson: #7
C Jason Kelce: #2
RG Isaac Seumalo: #10
RT Lane Johnson: #2
Very good across the board except for Mailata, #41 of 56 tackles
Against common opponents this season (Cowboys, Commanders, Bears, Saints and Cards), the 49ers were much better, 95 points differential better. Yes, Jalen Hurts missed a couple of games, but 49ers defense held the Saints plus the Cowboys to just 12 points, while those two teams scored 60 vs the Eagles defense:
PSA: the Philadelphia Eagles aren't the indestructible juggernaut the National media continues to make them out to be. Argue with the facts.
— Nick Newman (@NinerNick_22) January 26, 2023
Keep writing-off the #49ers tho 📝 pic.twitter.com/CSxDi1n8mS
Ultimately, the Eagles haven't played a defense as good the 49ers, considering there is none and they haven't faced a group of weapons this great either. They have barely faced any offensive lines that rival or surpass the 49ers offensive line. My prediction that I've been saying all week is 49ers 27, Eagles 24, but I will wait to replay to this article with official prediction about an hour before kickoff, once we know exactly who will play and who won't.

Ted Hazelrig grew up on the mid peninsula in the '70s and '80s and is a life-long, rabid 49ers fan from prior to Eddie DeBartlolo Jr., Joe Montana and Bill Walsh, all the way through to the present. He is a graduate of Santa Clara University, who enjoys golf, biking, hiking, tennis and water/snow skiing. He was a 49ers season ticket holder at Candlestick Park and still attends several games every season at Levi's Stadium. His career has been as a tech recruiter, but he would like nothing more than to pivot into covering the 49ers on a full-time basis. He loves to read, watch and listen to all the brilliant 49ers content creators. To take his knowledge to the ultimate extreme, he has found that arguing with passionate and knowledgeable fans of both the 49ers and opposing teams really puts his knowledge over the top. Right now, his most hated team is the Seattle Seahawks. For many years it was the Troy Aikman led Dallas Cowboys and for a while the Brett Favre led Packers. The Patrick Mahomes led Chiefs are his most-hated AFC team. Ted's second-favorite team is the Josh Allen led Buffalo Bills. While he may like other teams, Ted is passionate about the 49ers. He endeavors to always be honest, polite, not profane and never get personal. He got his break covering the 49ers for @49ersHive and also has written some articles for @49ersCap. You can find him at @TedH6 on twitter, or Ted Talks Ball on YouTube and other platforms. Ted is thrilled to join Grant Cohn and his extremely talented team at @All49ersFN.
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