Bear Digest

Caleb Williams’ 2025 stats, projected—O.G. fantasy sports giant sees QB rewrite Bears' record book

Will Caleb Williams be historical in 2025? Fantasy sports giant Strat-O-Matic gives it a cautious yes.
Will Caleb Williams be historical in 2025? Fantasy sports giant Strat-O-Matic gives it a cautious yes. | Mike Dinovo-Imagn Images

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Don’t you wish you had a functional NFL crystal ball?

Don’t you wish you knew how your favorite player will perform in the upcoming season?

Don’t you wish you could know his week-by-week stats before Opening Bay?

Of course you do. But NFL crystal balls aren’t a thing.

Fortunately, Strat-O-Matic is.

Early Returns

In partnership with Chicago Sports Stuff, the old-school fantasy sports giant Strat-O-Matic gamed out Caleb Williams’ 2025 season, projecting his numbers for each of the Bears’ 17 games. And it looked a little something like this:

Caleb Williams' 2025 weekly statistics, projected
Caleb Williams' 2025 weekly statistics, projected | Strat-O-Matic and Alan Goldsher (Click image for link to full size view. Scroll down on linked webpage.)

A few notes:

  • The two digits that jump out are 4,069 and 5, digits that would have Williams breaking the Bears’ record in passing yards (the four-grand), and likely leading the NFL in interception percentage (the five-spot).
  • SOM’s algorithms have Williams topping 300 passing yards just once, that being a magnificent performance against the Green Bay Packers. (Suck it, cheeseheads.).
  • SOM also tells us that Williams will rack up a passing tuddie in 15 of Chicago’s 17 games, and he’ll top 54% in completion percentage in each of his contests.

Would this be considered a successful season for the former Heisman Trophy winner? Yes and no. There aren’t too many explosive, Mahomes-esque numbers here—the six sub-225-yard passing games is concerning—but if this all comes to pass, Williams will be respected as an efficient game manager, which isn’t a terrible thing for a quarterback in year two in the league (and year one in his third NFL offensive system). I mean, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl, amirite?

Sure, SOM's projection doesn't add up to a Jayden Daniels-level performance, but if head coach Ben Johnson does the kind of Ben Johnson things our theoretical NFL crystal ball tells us he'll do, a reliable game manager might be just good enough to give Bears Nation a ten-win season.


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Alan Goldsher
ALAN GOLDSHER

Alan Goldsher has written about sports for Sports Illustrated, ESPN, Apple, Playboy, NFL.com, and NBA.com, and he’s the creator of the Chicago Sports Stuff Substack. He’s the bestselling author of 15 books, and the founder/CEO of Gold Note Records. Alan lives in Chicago, where he writes, makes music, and consumes and creates way too much Bears content. You can visit him at http://www.AlanGoldsher.com and http://x.com/AlanGoldsher.

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