Arrowhead Report

Adams: AFC Odds for Chiefs Are Irreverent, Irresponsible

Oddsmakers are doubting the Kansas City Chiefs as they enter another season following Super Bowl loss.
Feb 11, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass against San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) in the fourth quarter in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Feb 11, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass against San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) in the fourth quarter in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

In this story:


The Super Bowl hangover is real. Just ask the San Francisco 49ers.

But history has proven that Super Bowl hangovers are different for most other teams, including Kansas City. That’s why Kay Adams went scorched earth on the latest odds by FanDuel Sportsbook, listing the Chiefs with the third-best chance to win another AFC Championship Game.

“Are we insane? Like, are we really going to do this, everybody?” Adams said on Tuesday’s edition of the Up & Adams Show. “Sportsbook-algorithm people, analysts, people much smarter than us … what are we doing? Like, are we not going to talk about the fact that they have a guy named Patrick Mahomes?”

That guy led the Chiefs back from their last Super Bowl loss, a 31-9 setback to Tampa Bay, and fell a field goal shy of returning to the big game in 2021. In fact, in 14 of the past 17 seasons, the team that lost the Super Bowl rebounded with a winning record the following year.

Super Bowl losers have returned to the playoffs in 12 of the last 17 seasons. One of the teams that missed the playoffs was the 2008 New England Patriots, who lost Tom Brady to a season-ending knee injury in the first quarter of the season-opener against Kansas City (after a hit from Bernard Pollard). Matt Cassel replaced Brady and still led the Patriots to an 11-5 record.

While San Francisco has finished last in its division each season after losing its last two Super Bowls, the rest of the league has largely enjoyed success. The only teams during that 17-season stretch (2008-24) that failed to return to the playoffs were those 2008 Patriots, the 2016 Carolina Panthers (6-10), the 2019 Los Angeles Rams (9-7) and the 49ers in 2020 (6-10) and ’24 (6-11).

Adams said the key for Kansas City to return to the AFC Championship game is health on offense, especially consistently available Patrick Mahomes targets, something the Chiefs didn’t have last year.

“Are we going to just forget and neutralize, or 5,000 Men in Black this, and say that they don't have the deepest, most well-rounded group of pass-catchers that he has ever had in his career, assuming everybody's healthy?” Adams asked. “I'm not saying that the Ravens aren’t built, or the Bengals can’t do it. All of them can do it, and I think they've all gotten better this offseason.

“But the Chiefs are going to be the favorite, and they should be. And this is, quite frankly, irreverent. It's a little, probably irresponsible, and I also think it's stupid.”

Here's a look at how Super Bowl losers have fared over the last 17 seasons:

Lost Super Bowl

Following season

Club

Result

2023

2024

San Francisco

6-11, last place

2022

2023

Philadelphia

11-6, 0-1 in playoffs

2021

2022

Cincinnati

12-4, 2-1 in playoffs

2020

2021

Kansas City

12-5, 2-1 in playoffs

2019

2020

San Francisco

6-10, last place

2018

2019

L.A. Rams

9-7, missed playoffs

2017

2018

New England

11-5, won Super Bowl

2016

2017

Atlanta

10-6, 1-1 in playoffs

2015

2016

Carolina

6-10, last place

2014

2015

Seattle

10-6, 1-1 in playoffs

2013

2014

Denver

12-4, 0-1 in playoffs

2012

2013

San Francisco

12-4, 2-1 in playoffs

2011

2012

New England

12-4, 1-1 in playoffs

2010

2011

Pittsburgh

12-4, 0-1 in playoffs

2009

2010

Indianapolis

10-6, 0-1 in playoffs

2008

2009

Arizona

10-6, 1-1 in playoffs

2007

2008

New England

11-5, missed playoffs

Shoot us a follow on X (Twitter) @KCChiefsOnSI and @Domminchella to never miss another breaking news story again.

Click here to let us know your thoughts when you like our Facebook page WHEN YOU CLICK RIGHT HERE.


Published
Zak Gilbert
ZAK GILBERT

Since his freshman year at the University of Colorado, Zak Gilbert has worked 30 years in sports, including 18 NFL seasons. He's spent time with four NFL teams, serving as head of communications for both the Raiders and Browns. A veteran of nine Super Bowls, he most recently worked six seasons in the NFL's New York league office. He now serves as the Kansas City Chiefs Beat Writer On SI

Share on XFollow zaksgilbert