2016 Australian Open men's seed report

Sports Illustrated's Jon Wertheim breaks down the men's seeds at the 2016 Australian Open. Read on for the dark horses, top first-round matchups and predictions, and find the women's seed report here .

1. Novak Djokovic

Right now, it’s his gated community. And no one else is getting in. It’s at the point where you would take him against the field. He’s playing well. He rested in the off-season. He has won five titles in Melbourne. A heavy favorite. Tough first rounder against up-and-comer Hyeon Chung but then the draw opens a bit.

2. Andy Murray

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Distracted—understandably—by impending fatherhood, this event might be a wash for him. Four Australian Open finals (including 2015), no titles. An overarching question for 2016: can Murray make inroads against Djokovic?

3. Roger Federer

Still hanging in there, still capable of beating Djokovic on hardcourts—a feat he pulled off three times in 2015. Coming off a Melbourne disappointment (a loss to Seppi) and a cold. Has the misfortune of being of Djokovic’s half but otherwise, should harbor no complaints about his draw.

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Djokovic d. Wawrinka