Big Bets Wagered on Shocking Ja’Marr Chase Player Prop
The best rookie wide receiver many NFL fans have ever witnessed will end his first season on the biggest stage when Ja'Marr Chase and the Bengals play in Super Bowl LVI.
Last Thursday, Super Bowl proposition markets began to be released and with every passing year, it becomes more evident that sportsbooks will receive significantly more handle on props than they will on game and side wagering.
I will provide a series all week of the players/markets that respected money is either fading or backing as we lead up to the biggest game of the year both in Vegas as well as at SI Sportsbook.
We are only days away from Super Bowl LVI and the entire SI Betting team is here with some great wagering and DFS information you need to have ahead of the Big Game!
Let’s dive right in!
Respected money is investing in Ja’Marr Chase, but it's likely not among any of the offerings you would immediately think of. The market? Chase’s total rushing yards!
The former LSU standout, who set a new benchmark for rookie receiving yards in a single game with 266 in Week 17, also broke the modern-day rookie mark for receiving yards in a season with 1,455 -- surpassing the record set last year by his former college teammate, Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson.
In the three playoff victories, Chase has hauled in a team high 20 receptions for 279 yards and a touchdown. In the AFC Championship, Chase posted his lowest receiving yards total (54) of the postseason, but more importantly he hauled in his first career playoff touchdown.
Ed Zurga/AP
In Super Bowl LVI, oddsmakers opened Chase’s receiving yard market at 79.5 juiced to the over at odds of -120. With the expected matchup with Rams cornerback Jalen Ramsey, the line has dropped one yard to 78.5. Including the playoffs, Chase has surpassed the 100-yard receiving mark seven times. However, a deeper dive reveals that the stud wideout has only surpassed this demand of 78.5 receiving yards in eight of 20 games. Only going beyond this projection at a 40% clip, Chase is far from a "sure thing" to cash the over in this market.
This uncertainty, combined with the matchup against Ramsey, has led respected money in another direction to exploit for Chase -- his rushing yards. The projection on his rushing market opened at only 2.5 yards but as of Wednesday morning, the market demand is up a full yard to 3.5 juiced to the over at odds of -118.
Chase, who only had seven rushing attempts in the regular season, has become more involved in the rushing attack in the playoffs. The Bengals have utilized their rookie talent in the backfield to the tune of five rushes for 28 yards in the postseason. Chase has seen at least one carry in every playoff win by the club and respected money is betting on that trend to continue in Super Bowl LVI. In fact, Chase is tied with quarterback Joe Burrow as the team’s second-leading rusher in the playoffs behind only Joe Mixon.
Deebo Samuel set the single-game Super Bowl rushing record (53 yards) for a wide receiver in Super Bowl LIV against Kansas City, breaking the previous mark held by Seattle’s Percy Harvin (45) posted in Super Bowl XLVIII.
Chase has the talent and speed to break Samuel’s record -- but for this wager, he will only need to rush for three yards to cash this investment!
SI NFL BET REVIEW
For the third consecutive week, respected plays on NFL Playoff wagering did not get off to a good start. Championship weekend commenced with Kansas City blowing a second half lead and losing to the Bengals at home as 7-point favorites. The outright loss by the Chiefs killed our teaser before we could even have the opportunity to get to the second leg of the 49ers at +10.5. However, the weekend closed out strong as the Rams and 49ers stayed under 46 total points enabling a solid cash. Our receiving yards parlay, hooking up Deebo Samuel over 51.5 rec yds with Travis Kelce over 76.5 rec yds came through at odds of +249. Our final wager involving an Anytime Touchdown Parlay of Travis Kelce combined with Cooper Kupp also cashed at odds of +194. Overall, we had our best weekend of the playoffs up 4.3 units on the two title games.
2021 SI Betting Monday Night Football: 9-8 ATS / Props 16-12 +5.75 Units
2021 SI Betting Playoffs: 8-6-1 ATS & Prop Wagers +5.00 Units
2021 SI Betting NFL Football Overall YTD: 53-43-1 ATS & Props +15.22 Units
2020 SI Betting NFL Football: 72-58-1 ATS (55%)
Frankie Taddeo is a successful high-stakes fantasy football player who created the first-ever DFS program ever offered in a Las Vegas sportsbook. Frankie is SI Betting's Senior Analyst who provides his significant experience and resources in the sports betting scene. You can follow Frankie on Twitter @Frankie_Fantasy for his latest betting and fantasy insights from Las Vegas.
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