2026 U.S. Open Hole in One Odds (Will Anyone Record an Ace at Shinnecock?)

It's time for the 2026 U.S. Open, and with this week being the toughest test in golf, getting a hole in one is going to be a massive momentum swing for any golfer who can manage to do it.

Let's take a look at the history of holes in one at the U.S. Open throughout the years, and then we'll dive into the odds of one taking place in this year's event.

U.S. Open Hole in One history

There have been 54 holes in one at the U.S. Open:

Victor Perez, Oakmont - 2025
Francesco Molinari, Pinehurst No. 2 - 2024
Sepp Straka, Pinehurst No. 2 - 2024
Matt Fitzpatrick, The Los Angeles C.C. - 2023
Sam Burns, The Los Angeles C.C. - 2023
Matthieu Pavon, The Los Angeles C.C. - 2023
Cameron Young, The Country Club - 2022
WIll Zalatoris, Winged Foot G.C. - 2020
Patrick Reed, Winged Foot G.C. - 2020
Rory Sabbatini, Pebble Beach - 2019
Zach Johnson, Pinehurst No. 2 - 2014
Shawn Stefani, Merion G.C. - 2013
John Peterson, The Olympic Club - 2012
Thongchai Jaidee, Pebble Beach - 2010
Peter Hedblom, Winged Foot G.C. - 2006
Peter Jacobsen, Pinehurst No. 2 - 2005
Spencer Levin, Shinnecock Hills G.C. - 2004
Scott Hoch, Bethpage Black - 2002
Andy Miller, Bethpage Black - 2002
Shigeki Maruyama, Bethpage Black - 2002
Olin Browne, Southern Hills C.C. - 2001
Phil Mickelson, Southern Hills C.C. - 2001
Todd Fischer, Pebble Beach - 2000
Chris Perry, The Olympic Club - 1998
Gary Hallberg, Shinnecock Hills G.C. - 1995
Sandy Lyle, Baltusrol G.C. - 1993
Mike Hulbert, Baltusrol G.C. - 1993
Fuzzy Zoeller, Hazeltine National G.C. - 1991
John Inman, Hazeltine National G.C. - 1991
Jay Don Blake, Medinah C.C. - 1990
Nick Price, Oak Hill C.C. - 1989
Jerry Pate, Oak Hill C.C. - 1989
Mark Wiebe, Oak Hill C.C. - 1989
Doug Weaver, Oak Hill C.C. - 1989
Ben Crenshaw, Oakland Hills C.C. - 1985
Mark McCumber, Winged Foot G.C. - 1984
Scott Simpson, Oakmont C.C. - 1983
Tom Wieskopf, Pebble Beach - 1982
Bill Brodell, Pebble Beach - 1982
Johnny Miller, Pebble Beach - 1982
Tom Watson, Baltusrol G.V. - 1980
Gary Player, Inverness Club - 1979
Tom Weiskopf, Cherry Hills C.C. - 1978
Bobby Wadkins, Cherry Hills C.C. - 1978
Pat Fitzsimmons, Medinah C.C. - 1975
Bobby Mitchell, Pebble Beach - 1972
Jerry McGee, Pebble Beach - 1972
Billy Kuntz, Oak Hill C.C. - 1956
Johnny Weitzel, Baltusrol G.C. - 1954
Dick Chapman, Baltusrol G.C. - 1954
Zell Eaton, Baltusrol G.C. - 1936
Leo Diegel, Inverness - 1931
Eddie Towns, Glencoe - 1922
Jack Hobens, Philadelphia Cricket Club - 1907

Shinnecock has hosted the U.S. Open five times, and there have been two holes in one. One was recorded by Gary Hallberg in 1995, and one was recorded by Spencer Levin in 2004.

U.S. Open Hole in One Odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Yes +110
No -138

With odds of +110, there's an implied probability of 47.62% that a golfer will record a hole in one this week.

U.S. Open Hole in One Prediction

In my Best U.S. Open Prop Bets article, I broke down why I'm betting that there won't be a hole in one this week:

I think this is one of the best bets on the board this week. Shinnecock is one of the most difficult courses on the U.S. Open rotation, and the Par 3s at this event aren't any different. In the four most recent U.S. Opens hosted at this course, there have been only two holes in one, and neither of them took place in the 2018 edition of the tournament.

Hole No. 2 is 252 yards long, so we can disregard that one as a possibility for an ace. Hole No. 7 is probably the best chance for a hole in one, but even with that being said, the dangers on both sides of the green are going to leave golfers having to aim for the safe side of the green instead of going pin-hunting. Hole No. 11 is the shortest, at 157 yards, but it's also the most dangerous. Finally, there's the 176-yard 17th hole, which is home to one of the two hole in ones so far. Wind and sun are going to play a role at this hole, once again leading to players likely trying to play it as safely as possible.

The "no" side of this bet should be much shorter than -138.

Pick: NO Hole in One -138 via FanDuel

Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code offer to get $350 in bonus bets if you bet $5 for seven days. Simply sign up, make a deposit, and bet $5. If that first bet wins, you get $250 in bonus bets.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

Add us as a preferred source on Google