Michigan vs. Arizona Final Score Prediction for NCAA Tournament Final Four (Wildcats Will Upset Wolverines)

Many people believe that the second of two Final Four games on Saturday night will serve as the true National Championship, as the Arizona Wildcats and Michigan Wolverines are the clear top two teams left in the NCAA Tournament.

The two teams have a combined record of 71-5 this season, while dismantling all of their opponents throughout the NCAA Tournament. So, what do we get when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? We're about to find out.

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Let's take a look at the latest odds for the game, and then I'll do my best to predict Saturday night's final score.

Michigan vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

Michigan -1.5 (-108)
Arizona +1.5 (-112)

Moneyline

Michigan -125
Arizona +105

Total

OVER 157.5 (-110)
UNDER 157.5 (-110)

Michigan vs. Arizona Final Score Prediction

There is little to separate these two teams, which is why the spread is so tight. Michigan's shooting numbers are slightly better, but Arizona's defensive numbers have the slight edge. One area in which Arizona thrives is effective possession ratio, where they rank 15th compared to Michigan at 162nd.

One thing to keep an eye on in this game is turnovers. Michigan ranks in the bottom half of the country in both turnovers per possession and opponent turnovers per possession, which has led to the Wolverines ranking 215th in the country in extra scoring chances per game at -0.6. Arizona has a significant advantage in the turnover department, ranking 30th in extra scoring chances per game at +3.4. If this game comes down to the wire, that has the potential to be the difference-maker.

If I'm going to predict the final score, I also have to have a take on the total. Both teams play at a relatively fast pace, especially the Wolverines, who rank 22nd amongst all college basketball teams in adjusted tempo, averaging 70.9 possessions per game.

You also have to price in the possibility of overtime. With how close the point spread is, there's a good chance this game comes down to the final few possessions. If it does, we could see overtime, which would help the total go OVER.

I'll bet on the Wildcats to win an overtime thriller on Saturday night.

Final score prediction: Michigan 83, Arizona 86

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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