MLB Best Bets: Plus-Money Player Props for Wednesday (D-backs, Guardians Bring Value)

Grab these player props with good value Wednesday afternoon
Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte (4)
Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte (4) / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Happy Hump Day!

We have a full day of baseball, and there are endless ways to get in on the action. 

We’ve been on a roll with our plus-money player props this season, so let’s try to cash a few more today. All odds according to DraftKings Sportsbook.

1. Carlos Carrasco under 3.5 strikeouts (+120)

Carrasco is striking hitters out at a rate of just 6.92 per nine innings this season, and he has thrown three or fewer strikeouts in four of his eight starts. The Rangers are striking out at a rate of about five per nine innings when facing right-handed pitching, and if Texas is hitting like they should, there’s a strong possibility Carrasco won’t go deep enough into this game to get to four. Carrasco has an ERA of 5.36 this season, his fastball isn’t fast, and he doesn’t induce many whiffs. Striking out more than 3.5 hitters in a game should be within reach of any major league starter, but for a plus-money payout, I like our odds.

2. Ketel Marte over 2.5 hits + runs + RBI (+110)

No team is better against left-handed pitching than the Arizona Diamondbacks, and no qualified starter has a higher flyball rate than Andrew Abbott (53.2%). Abbot has an 85.8% strand rate, which has kept his ERA low, but we should expect the Diamondbacks to get in a few knocks. I like hitting props for both Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel, Jr.

No hitter has more extra-base hits than Marte (13) when facing southpaws. He’s batting .367 with six home runs and 13 RBI against lefties. You could bet the over on his 1.5 total bases prop (-130), 0.5 runs scored (-130), 0.5 RBI (+130), or homerun (+300), and all would be solid bets. I’m going to take Marte for over 2.5 hits+runs+RBI (+110). When facing left-handed pitching, Marte has exceeded this prop in 11 out of 16 games played this year.

3. Lourdes Gurriel, Jr. to score a run (+105)

Gurriel also has strong splits against lefties, batting .373 and slugging .588. against southpaws as opposed to batting.171 and slugging only .279 against righties. Gurriel should bat third while Marte leads off tomorrow. Gurriel has scored a run in 10 of 16 games against lefty starters this year. He has an RBI (+130) in eight of 16 this season.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Jennifer Piacenti


In addition to being a fantasy sports and betting analyst at Sports Illustrated, Jennifer is a radio host for Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio, and she hosts her own podcast, “Waiver Wired” on the Extra Points podcast network. Jennifer has been nominated for multiple FSWA awards for her NFL DFS video series. She’s a Scott Fish Bowl Finalist, and she finished third overall in the 2021 NFFC post-season mini. Jennifer is also a featured expert on MLB Network’s “Bettor’s Eye,” and a member of the esteemed Tout Wars, the fantasy baseball battle of the experts.