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Notre Dame vs. Navy Prediction, Odds and Key Players to Watch for College Football Week 9

Notre Dame is favored against Navy in Week 8 of the college football season.
Notre Dame is favored against Navy in Week 8 of the college football season. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The Notre Dame suffered their first loss of the season in Week 7, losing to BYU by a score of 28-24. The Fighting Irish are now coming off their BYE week and are hoping to bounce back in a big way in Week 8 when they take on the Navy Midshipmen.

Navy has struggled this season, sporting a 2-5 record, which includes back-to-back losses ahead of this week.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this game.

Notre Dame vs. Navy Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

  • Notre Dame -30.5 (-110)
  • Navy +30.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Notre Dame -6500
  • Navy +2000

Total

  • OVER 56.5 (-112)
  • UNDER 56.5 (-108)

Notre Dame vs. Navy How to Watch

  • Date: Saturday, October 31
  • Time: Noon ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): ABC
  • Notre Dame record: 6-1
  • Navy record: 2-5

Notre Dame vs. Navy Betting Trends

  • Notre Dame is 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 meetings between these two teams
  • The OVER is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams
  • Notre Dame is 4-3 against the spread this season
  • The OVER is 5-2 in Notre Dame games this season
  • Navy is 2-5 against the spread this season
  • The OVER is 5-2 in Navy games this season

Notre Dame vs. Navy Key Player to Watch

  • C.J. Carr, QB - Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame quarterback C.J. Carr didn't have his best stuff in their loss to BYU. He completed just 55.1% of passes for 261 yards and no touchdowns. I have no doubt he'll have a strong performance on Sunday, but if Notre Dame wants to compete for a national title, they need Carr to play better next time they play an elite team like BYU.

Notre Dame vs. Navy Prediction and Best Bet

I'm going to trust Notre Dame to bounce back in a big way on Saturday. Their underlying metrics are still extremely strong, so I'm willing to look past their loss to BYU. They enter the week ranking second in net adjusted EPA per play and first in net success rate. Now they face a Navy team that's 73rd and 47th in those two metrics.

The No. 1 most important metric will be whether or not a defense can slow down the Navy rushing attack, and Notre Dame is up for the challenge, ranking 16th in opponent EPA per rush and fourth in defensive rush success rate.

I'll lay the big number on the Fighting Irish.

Pick: Notre Dame -30.5 (-110) via FanDuel


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Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.

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