Royals vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Thursday, June 4

Seth Lugo and the Royals are road favorites against the Twins in MLB action on Thursday night. | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

The Minnesota Twins are 29-34 and seven games behind the Cleveland Guardians for the top spot in the American League Central, which means they need to find some momentum in a hurry if they want to get back in contention for the division.

The Kansas City Royals are in an even worse situation at 24-38.

The two teams will face each other in a divisional showdown on Thursday night. Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for the series opener.

Royals vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, and Total

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Run Line

• Royals -1.5 (+135)
• Twins +1.5 (-160)

Moneyline

• Royals -120
• Twins +100

Total

• OVER 9 (-120)
• UNDER 9 (+100)

Royals vs. Twins Probable Pitchers

• Kansas City: Seth Lugo, RHP (2-4, 3.55 ERA)
• Minnesota: Andrew Morris, RHP (1-2, 4.07 ERA)

Royals vs. Twins How to Watch

• Date: Thursday, June 4
• Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Field
• How to Watch (TV): Twins.TV Presented by Progressive, Royals.TV
• Royals record: 24-38
• Twins record: 29-34

Royals vs. Twins Best MLB Prop Bet

• Josh Bell UNDER 0.5 Hits (+154) via Caesars

Josh Bell has faced Seth Lugo of the Royals 15 times in his career, but has managed just two hits for a batting average of .133. If those struggles continue again today, he may struggle to record a hit. That's why I'm going to bet the UNDER on his hits total of 0.5 at +154.

Royals vs. Twins Prediction and Pick

Instead of betting on a side in this game, I think the move is to target the total and bet the UNDER. The Twins enter the game ranking 20th in wRC+ over the past 30 days, while the Royals have been even worse, ranking 29th in that time frame. The two teams have an OPS of .687 and .660 over that stretch.

We also have a solid pitching matchup in store between Seth Lugo and Andrew Morris. Lugo's 3.55 ERA looks even better when you realize he has a FIP of 3.16, which could mean that he has some positive regression ahead of him in the near future.

Let's bet the UNDER tonight.

Pick: UNDER 9 (+100) via Caesars

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