Storm vs. Aces Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for WNBA Commissioner’s Cup

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The Las Vegas Aces have won three games in a row, and they are favored by 16.5 points on Monday night in a matchup with the rebuilding Seattle Storm.
Dominique Malonga (concussion) is back for Seattle, but the Storm are just 3-9 in the 2026 season and have one of the worst offenses in the W.
They rank dead last in the league in points per game, which is going to be an issue against a Las Vegas team that has reigning league MVP A’ja Wilson and ranks fifth in the league in offensive rating.
The Storm have lost five games in a row and two of their three wins in 2026 are against a two-win Connecticut Sun team. Can they hang around against the defending champs?
Let’s take a look at the odds, a player prop to bet and my prediction for this WNBA Commissioner’s Cup clash.
Storm vs. Aces Odds, Spread and Total
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Spread
- Storm +16.5 (-112)
- Aces -16.5 (-108)
Moneyline
- Storm: +850
- Aces: -1450
Total
- 161.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Storm vs. Aces How to Watch
- Date: Monday, June 8
- Time: 10:00 p.m. EST
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
- How to Watch (TV): USA Network
- Storm record: 3-9
- Aces record: 7-3
Storm vs. Aces Injury Reports
Storm Injury Report
- Ezi Magbegor – out
- Taylor Thierry – out
- Lexie Brown – out
- Taina Mair – out
Aces Injury Report
- Chennedy Carter – questionable
- Dana Evans – out
Storm vs. Aces Best WNBA Prop Bets
Aces Best WNBA Prop Bet
- Jackie Young OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made (-127)
Jackie Young is shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc this season, and she’s really gotten hot after a slow start.
Young is 13-for-22 from beyond the arc in her last three games, hitting two or more shots from deep in each of them. She’s now made two or more 3s in five of her 10 games in 2026, averaging 4.9 attempts per game.
The Storm are No. 1 in the WNBA in opponent 3-point percentage, but I think this line is too low for Young, who is clearly finding her footing after struggling through her first seven games of 2026.
Storm vs. Aces Prediction and Pick
Earlier today, I shared in WNBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why bettors should fade the Seattle offense in this matchup:
It’s been a rough offensive season for the rebuilding Seattle Storm, even with former No. 2 overall pick Dominique Malonga back in action after missing time with a concussion.
The Storm rank:
- 15th in offensive rating
- 15th in assist-to-turnover ratio
- 13th in effective field goal percentage
- 12th in turnover percentage
- 15th in points per game
Seattle is averaging just 75.0 points per game in 2026, and now it takes on the defending champion Aces, who rank seventh in the league in defensive rating.
Seattle has scored 72 or fewer points in five games in a row, including four games where it failed to reach 70 points. I simply cannot trust this team, especially since it is shooting under 40 percent from the field as a group.
Pick: Storm Team Total UNDER 72.5 Points (-115 at DraftKings)
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Find Peter Dewey's WNBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.
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Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
Follow @peterdewey2