Making Moves | December 2, 2025

4 and 0 on the night, baby, ring it.

What a night for my picks.

Welcome to today's episode of Making Los with Mac presented by FanDuel.

It is Tuesday, December 2nd, and we gotta get you ready for week 14 of the NFL season, conference championship week in college football, and we have Tuesday Golf Corner coming up.

All that and more, let's go.

Let's take a look at the top headlines in sports betting today, starting with, uh, the NFL Week 14 is officially in the books after the Patriots won and covered against the New York Giants, uh, last night, and thankfully for my bets, uh, the over did finally hit there in the 4th quarter.

Uh, 37 point first half.

Thought we were gonna cruise to the over.

No points in the 3rd quarter, made a little bit of a sweat, but a late field goal by the Patriots sealed it for us.

Uh, and the Patriots are now, unfortunately for me, who hates, uh, Boston sports teams, the Patriots plus 420.

Don't ring it, no rigging it.

Patriots, plus 420 favorites to win the AFC championship.

What a, what a world it must be for Patriots fans and Boston sports fans in general.

Unbelievable.

Plus 420 for the Patriots, but it is pretty close atop the odds to win the AFC championship.

Broncos, 2 plus 470, Bills, third plus 480.

Little bit of a drop off and then you have the likes of the Colts, the Ravens, the Chiefs, uh, a little bit more of a drop off than the Texans, the Chargers, the Jaguars.

So, uh, if the odds are any indication, it's the Patriots, Bills, or Broncos who are gonna represent the AFC.

Uh, in this year's Super Bowl, uh, and obviously a big role in who's going to represent the AFC probably is going to be whichever team gets the number 1 seed, cause that plays a big role now in the NFL playoffs with only one team getting a first-round by, uh, and also the team that gets a first round by will also have home field advantage in the divisional round in the AFC Championship game.

The Patriots are -110 favorites to get the number 1 seed.

The Broncos close behind them, uh, at +135.

So it's likely gonna be one of those two teams.

It would take.

Uh, a lot of things going right for the likes of the Bills who are 14 to 1, or the Jaguars who are 18 to 1, to get the number 1 seed in the conference.

So it's probably going to, uh, be New England or Denver, uh, which is gonna make things tough.

That means we're probably gonna get some, I guess even if Buffalo gets it, we're probably gonna have some cold playoff games this season in New England, Denver, or Buffalo.

We're probably a mixture of the three.

Uh, bad news for Giants fans, your live projected win total all the way down to 3.5. Uh, this has been a hellish season for the New York Giants.

Uh, the good news is, I guess the over is juice, so, uh, the sports books do expect you to get at least 2 more wins.

That's not gonna help your draft position.

Uh, but the Giants, uh, do have a couple of winnable games to close out the year.

5 games left, uh, 4 games left for the Giants cause they're on bye this week.

Uh, they got the Commanders, Vikings, Raiders, and Cowboys.

So yeah, they might be able to squeeze out a couple of wins, but, uh, the good news for Giants fans, you don't have to watch your team play this week.

You're on bye because week 14 is the final week of bye weeks this season.

We are officially, my friends, in the final stretch of the 2025 NFL regular season.

Drake May, and I talked with us yesterday, I said if Drake May has a good game, he's probably, no, Novell, Novell.

I said Drake May's probably gonna take back over as the favorite to win NFL MVP and that's exactly what happened.

Pretty solid performance by Drake May last night.

He is now, uh, the -125 favorite to win NFL MVP.

Matt Stafford has dropped down to +125.

Uh, I still think Stafford kind of has a bit of an advantage here.

Uh, as long as he plays well, he has the narrative backing him.

An old quarterback who has a Super Bowl, he's been MVP caliber his whole life, has never won a Super Bowl.

I think that does actually significantly play a role in how the voters, uh, decide to vote.

So if you want to jump on Matt Stafford now is probably your chance, uh, at plus money at +125.

But if Drake May continues to outplay him, uh, in the final, uh , 5 weeks of the season, 4 weeks for the Patriots, they have a bye this week, uh, then he could certainly win that award.

Uh, Dak Prescott, 16 to 1, Jordan Love at 16 to 1 are the only other MVP candidates, but it's largely a two-man race unless those guys, uh, if the Cowboys make the playoffs, go on a run, win out, maybe Dak Prescott.

I can't really see Jordan Love winning it at this point though.

Uh, next up, we got, uh, Mike Vrabel, uh, some updated odds from last night as well.

Mike Vrabel was already the favorite to win Coach of the Year, but now, uh, his odds have shortened even further.

He is now up to -195 to win NFL Coach of the Year.

It'd be the second time in his career that he's won it.

He won it in 2021 with the Titans, if I'm guessing the correct year.

Uh, might be some value in Ben Johnson plus 250.

Uh, Bears do have a tough schedule to close things out, but if the Bears do continue to win games, including upsetting the Packers in Green Bay this weekend, and if they're able to clinch the 1 seed in the NFC, uh, I wouldn't be surprised if it's Ben Johnson, uh, who wins it.

So, uh, might be, uh, some value there sprinkling on Ben Johnson a + 250.

But it's largely a two-man race between one of those two coaches.

Mike McDonald is 3rd on the odds list of 650, but I, I think it's probably, unless the both the Patriots and Bears, uh, implode in the final five weeks, uh, then it's probably gonna be one of those two guys.

If they do implode, Mike McDonald of the Seahawks could sneak in there and win the award.

Uh, but likely not, especially with the Rams still in first place in the NFC West.

Uh, anyone who bet on Jackson Dart to win Offensive Rookie of the Year last night was not a good game for you Jackson Dart believers.

Uh, he was second on the odds list to win Offensive Rookie of the Year.

He is still tied for second, uh, but his odds have dropped.

He's around +55 heading into last night, uh, + 155.

He's now down to 290, tied with Emeka Ibuka.

Plus 290.

Our guy who we bet on a couple of weeks ago at north of 4 to 1 odds, Tet McMillan, uh, the betting favorite at 110.

Uh, it is still a four-man race though.

Yes, there we go, they can do some bell for that.

It's a good bet we placed a couple of weeks ago.

Yep, bet for Tet.

Uh, so it is a four-man race though, uh, certainly.

Not, uh, Tet's to lose quite yet.

Uh, still less than 50% chance of winning.

It's gonna come down to Tet, Emeka, Jackson Dart, or Tyler Warren.

The tight end for the Colts is still in the mix at 550 to win Offensive, uh, Rookie of the Year.

Let's take a look at some other awards races now that, uh, week 14 is completely.

Uh, in the books, uh, Jonathan Taylor was a significant favorite to win Offensive Player of the Year just a few short weeks ago.

Uh, I think I did recommend betting Jackson Smith Njigba, I think, uh, at one point here a few weeks ago.

He is now a very, very slight favorite at -115.

Uh, but, uh, Jonathan Taylor is right behind him at -110.

Uh, so it is officially a coin flip between the Seahawks star receiver and the Colts running back.

Neither player actually performed well in week 13.

I think Jackson Smith and Jigwe only had like 2 catches for 29 yards or something.

I know a lot of fantasy players who have him on your team, you are upset about that.

Uh, and Jonathan Taylor, uh, didn't have a good game against the Texans either, so, uh.

But they've done enough this season where no one else really has a shot.

The next closest name on the odds list is Christian McCaffrey at 40 to 1.

Uh, so this is, uh, this award is going to eventually go to either JSN or the Seahawks or Jonathan Taylor.

Of the Colts, uh, Miles Garrett continues to run away with Defensive Player of the Year, now -1500 to win the award.

How many sacks is he up to?

Uh, cause he is, I know, going after the NFL, uh, record for most sacks in a single season.

He's well on his way here.

He has 19 sacks in the season, so what, he only needs 3 more sacks, 34 to break it.

Is it 4 to break it.

You might get that all this weekend, uh, cause the Browns are taking on the Tennessee Titans this weekend, uh, who allow the most sacks per game.

They give up 4 sacks per game.

So Miles Garrett, I mean, cause there's always a thing with records nowadays, you're like, oh, players have an extra game to break it.

I don't think he's gonna need the extra game.

He might not even need 16 games to break it.

So, uh, Miles Garrett, of course, if he's gonna, if he's gonna break the sack record, he's obviously gonna win Defensive Player of the Year.

If you have a spare $1500 laying around, and you want to win $100 you can lay that $1500 on Miles Garrett at minus $1500.

Probably wouldn't recommend it, uh, but, uh, it is there, you can still bet on it, and I actually do think that's kind of a, a, a long price, cause I don't see how Miles Garrett doesn't win at this point, if he's gonna set the record for, unless he gets hurt, I guess is the only, uh, kind of risk you have.

Uh, or if he doesn't get a single sack the rest of the season, but I, I doubt that's gonna happen.

Uh , Jalen Walker, I gave out last week to win Defensive Rookie of the Year.

Might be a little bit too late for Jalen Walker, didn't really do much against the Jets this past weekend.

Carson Schweisinger is now the -700 favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year.

It's a real shame the Browns probably gonna have the Defensive Rookie of the Year and the Defensive Player of the Year, and not even sniff the playoffs because of how bad their offense, uh, has been.

Uh, so Defensive Rookie of the Year, maybe Jalen Walker, you'd have to get hot here to close out the year.

Uh, but I think it's too little, too late for the Falcons' pass rusher.

Abdul Carter, who was the favorite throughout the entire season, dropped all the way down to 19 to 1, missed the first drive last night for an undisclosed reason, uh , for some reason, uh, yeah, did get his first sack, uh, 1.5 sacks on the season now for the guy who was supposed to be by far the best defensive player in last year's, uh, draft class.

And then the final award to update on Dak Prescott and Christian McCaffrey of flip-flop.

Back and forth to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

It is now Dak Prescott, the -175 favorite, Christian McCaffrey, plus 130.

That award is also a two-man race, uh, with Prescott, especially now that he's kind of leading the Cowboys on a late-season run here.

-175 to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

Let's do some rapid fire on some other headlines around the sports betting world, starting with Lane Kiffin, who was obviously the news of the weekend, left Ole Miss.

Man, this guy has a flair for drama, doesn't he?

Left Ole Miss for LSU.

Uh, he made a big stink that, uh, Ole Miss wouldn't, uh, let him coach , uh, throughout the rest of the playoffs, uh, which to me makes a lot of sense.

I wouldn't let him either, if he's gonna leave.

Uh, uh, as a result, Ole Miss, uh, their odds, uh, to win the national championship have dropped, maybe not as far as you might think.

Uh, they're around 20 to 1 to win the national championship before all of this drama happened.

Uh, now down to 25 to 1.

Uh, the issue is they weren't actually really looked at as a legitimate contender to win the national championship.

I mean, they're not in the SEC championship game .

They're not a top two team in that conference.

They're not as good as Indiana, Ohio State, maybe not even as good as Oregon.

Uh, so Ole Miss still in the playoffs.

Uh, I believe it's their defensive coordinator who was taken over as the head coach.

Uh, no Lane Kiffin, but, uh , you still have hope, Ole Miss fans, it would be quite the story if the Rebels now do go on a deep playoff run in the college football playoff.

Uh, they're odds sitting at 25 to 1.

Uh, heading into conference championship weekend, which, uh, they won't be playing in cause they're not in the SEC championship.

Next time we'll see Ole Miss will be in the first round of the college football playoff.

Uh, over the past 24 hours, I actually wasn't gonna talk about this, but we've seen some rapid movement in the odds to win the Heisman Trophy .

Uh, I brought this up yesterday and I said that, uh, Diego, uh, Pavia got in the Heisman Trophy, uh, conversation.

He was up to 4 to 1 over the weekend.

Woke up this morning, up to 160.

He's now the co-favorite.

Uh, yeah, I don't know, I don't know what's going on.

Uh, a lot of, uh, big bets, uh, putting some significant money here on Diego Pavia.

It's not like there's any news that broke, uh, between yesterday and today surrounding the Vanderbilt quarterback.

So, the only reason for this change in the odds is Uh, there are some big betting syndicates or some big sharp bettors who are pounding Diego Pavia to win the Heisman Trophy up to 160.

He's now the co-favorite alongside Fernando Mendoza, who is still the co-favorite with Pavia, and then Julian Sean has now fallen, uh, to third on the odds list, at +195.

A little bit confusing for me.

Uh, cause, uh, we've kind of seen Diego Pavia, like, that's it, we're not gonna see him anymore.

He's not gonna play in the SEC championship game.

Vanderbilt likely to not make the college football playoffs, so we won't see him play again between now and when the Heisman, uh, Trophy voting happens.

So, uh , yeah, if that's any indication.

Vanderbilt quarterback, very, very, very much in the mix to win the Heisman Trophy.

I still think it's gonna go to the quarterback that wins the Big 10 championship.

If it's Indiana, I think it's gonna be Fernando Mendoza.

If it's Ohio State, I think it'll be Julian Sayan.

But, hey, uh, I'm not a professional better.

I'm not a sharp guy who's putting tens of thousands of dollars on the Heisman Trophy race.

Someone out there is, and they're betting big on Diego Pavia.

So that is something interesting that we gotta keep an eye on, uh, moving forward.

Uh, speaking of some college sports awards, uh, Cameron Boozer, uh, has taken a significant leap to win the Wooden Award as the best player in the country for college basketball.

Uh, up to, uh, + 190 to win the award for the best player in the country, uh, Cameron Boozer, the son of Carlos Boozer, uh, and was named after Cameron Indoor Stadium, uh, which he now plays at.

That's why his name's Cameron.

Up to 2 to 1.

Uh, he has been fantastic, uh, so far this season.

Uh, Duke plays a big game tonight against Florida.

I actually have a pick for that game, but if you want it, you gotta stick around till the end of the show.

Uh, but.

Aaron Boozer is averaging 22.9 points per game, 9.8 rebounds, 3.9 assists, 1.2 blocks, 1.7 steals.

He has been unbelievable for the Blue Devils to start, uh, the season.

So good reason why he, uh, is now the plus 190 favorite to win.

Uh, that award.

FanDuel has also released some odds to be the first overall pick in next year's NBA draft.

Uh, and the betting favorite right now, Darren Peterson at even money.

Uh, so despite Cameron Boozer being the favorite to win the Wooden Award, he's 3rd on the odds list to go number 1 in the NBA draft.

It is Darren Peterson, and then AJ.

Debana Debana Debana, he's the BYU kid, the freshman there who's had a very good start to his college basketball career.

So, uh, interesting market, if you, uh, have a hunch on that, you can head over to FanDuel and bet on that.

Darren Peterson, uh, the even money favorite to be the number one overall pick in next year's NBA draft.

Let's switch over to the ice.

The Colorado Avalanche have a chance.

To sweep, uh, the top three individual player awards.

Uh, Nathan McKinnon, now the odds-on favorite over Connor McDavid to win the Hart Trophy for the NHL MVP, uh, -140.

Uh, Cale McCar, now an overwhelming favorite to win, uh , Best Offensive defenseman at -550.

And, uh, they also have a chance to win the Vezna Trophy, uh, as the top goaltender in the NHL.

Now that is the one that is still a little bit of a long shot.

Logan Thompson's the favorite at 220.

But Scott Wedgwood, uh, has surprisingly had a very good year for the Colorado Avalanche, up to 22 to 1 to win the Vesna Trophy.

His name was basically not even on the odds list to start the season.

Uh, he wasn't really even looked at as a primary goaltender in Colorado, but now he is a primary goaltender.

He's played very well, up to 22 to 1.

So the Colorado Avalanche were already the odds-on favorite to win the President's Trophy, uh, the overwhelming favorite to win the Stanley Cup, now might sweep.

The top 3 player awards as well.

What a season for the Avs.

They're not gonna win Rookie of the Year.

Uh, that's probably gonna go to Matthew Schaeffer, uh, of the New York Islanders, the, you know, uh, which makes sense because if you're a team as good as the Avalanche, you probably don't have a rookie who's contributing, uh, that much.

Uh, shout out to Arsenal, uh, shout out to my barber, who's a massive Arsenal fan.

Uh, I got my haircut this past week.

I don't know if you guys noticed.

Yeah, I don't know if you guys noticed, uh, but the, uh, entire time I was there, my barber was bragging about how good Arsenal is because, uh, and he let me know they're now the champ they are favorites to win, uh, the UEFA Champions League, they had a big win this past week.

Who was it that Arsenal beat this past week?

Uh, but now they're already the favorites to win at the EPL.

Uh, they beat Bayern Munich, uh, this past week, a 3-1 victory for them, which now leads them to being the favorites to win the UEFA Champions League, a + 340.

My barber is obviously English, he says, Arsenal's gonna win the EPL.

Arsenal's gonna win the Champions League, and England's gonna win the World Cup.

He said, if that happens, I'll never see him again.

He'll be celebrating for the rest of his life.

So, shout out to Arsenal, favorites to win both the EPL and the UCL, uh, heading into this weekend's footy action.

All right, let's look ahead to this weekend's football action.

It is conference championship week in.

College Football.

It is week 14 of the NFL season, but let's start with some conference championship games.

We got 5 big ones to watch this weekend .

Remember, college football playoff, uh, births and seeds are on the line, especially in the Big 12 championship between BYU and Texas Tech.

Now, Texas Tech is gonna, is gonna be in the college football playoff regardless whether or not they win the game.

Uh, they are.

13.5 point favorites against BYU.

They've already beat up on them once already this season.

Massive game for BYU because if BYU wants to make the college football playoff, they have to win this game.

If they don't, uh, then they will just have to look ahead to bowl season.

Uh, if they do win this game, if they upset Texas Tech as a 13.5 point underdog, BYU will get in.

Texas Tech will.

Also get an at-large bid, which is going to steal an at-large bid, uh, from someone else, maybe like a Notre Dame, maybe, I don't know, Ole Miss, probably not, but one of those teams will be on the outside looking in if BYU steals that spot by getting an automatic bid by winning the Big 12.

But Texas Tech has already beat them once this season.

I like Texas Tech laying the 13.5 points there in the Big 12 championship game.

Moving on to the SEC it was a very fun SEC season, we had a lot of different teams in the mix.

Vanderbilt, uh, led by Diego Pavia, Ole Miss was in the mix there, obviously with Lane Kiffin, he's not there anymore.

Texas A&M was undefeated up until the final week of the regular season, uh, but after all that chaos, at the end of the day, we get the same SEC championship game we see every single season.

Nothing fun ever happens, it's Georgia, again, slight favorites against Alabama, again, who cares?

I wanna see different teams in the SEC championship.

Regardless, not really a very important uh game for both teams.

Maybe the winner of that game might get a first round by in the college football playoffs, so I suppose that is on the line, but both of them will be in the college football playoff regardless.

Uh , I do like.

Georgia in this spot.

Uh, I think they're a slightly better team than Alabama.

I think the odds are relatively fair with Georgia set as a 2.5 point favorite, uh, but I just really don't like Alabama.

Uh, I'll take Georgia in that one minus 2.5. Big 10 championship game is going to be a fun one.

These are the two teams who've been top 2 ranked in the country for almost the entire season.

They did not face each other in the regular season, so for the first time this year, we will see Ohio State take, take on Indiana.

Two undefeated teams, and the winner of that game will have the number 1 seed in the college football playoff.

Winner will have a first-round bye.

Uh, we don't know if the loser's gonna get a first-round bye or not.

Uh, last year, in the previous years of the, uh, 12-team championship, uh, the top 4 seeds had to be conference champions.

That's not true anymore.

So there is a world, especially if it's Ohio State, if they lose, uh, I wouldn't be surprised if they're still a 3 seed or 4 seed and get the first round.

But that's not my decision to make.

That's obviously up to the college football playoff committee.

The winner will certainly be the #1 seed in the college football playoff.

I'll tell you what, I love Indiana in this spot.

I know Ohio State has a pedigree of the defending national champions, but when you look at the overall metrics for both these teams this year, they're right next to each other.

I think Indiana, uh, has a very real chance to pull off the upset in that game .

I will certainly take the 4.5 points with the Hoosiiers, and now this is where things.

Interesting.

I talked about this yesterday, but somehow, some way, there has been complete chaos in the ACC this year, which has led to Duke making it to the college or to the ACC championship game despite having losses on the record to Tulane and UConn.

Duke has a chance to win the ACC, but if Duke wins this game, if they beat Virginia, they will still not make it into the college football playoff because of those out of conference losses.

They will not.

Be a top 5 ranked conference champion.

That opens the door for James Madison, who I don't have written here.

James Madison is a massive favorite in the Sun Belt championship against Troy, so that opens the door for James Madison.

Now, if Virginia wins, and they are a 3.5 point favorite, Virginia will make it to the college football playoff.

They'll be ranked high enough that'll effectively kick out James Madison, and that'll mean that the 5th team in , uh, with an automatic bid will be the winner of the AAC.

It is North Texas.

Uh, against Tulane, and that one I love North Texas.

I actually think North Texas is a very good team , one of the best offenses in the country.

Their defense has to step up here in this game, and especially in the college football playoff if they make it there, but their offense has been truly one of the very best, uh, in the country.

Uh, ACC pick, I do think it's Virginia.

I mean , it's, it's shocking to me that Duke somehow made it the championship game.

It would be very fun if Duke wins.

It throws complete chaos in the playoffs.

We have two groups.

5 teams will make it, it'd be very fun.

Uh, the, the lover of underdogs is rooting for that, but at the end of the day, Virginia is a better team.

There's a reason why they're the favorites.

I'll take Virginia in the ACC.

So my predictions, Texas Tech in the Big 12, Georgia in the SEC, Indiana in the Big 10, Virginia in the ACC, North Texas wins the AAC and is the Group of 5 team, uh, to compete in the college football playoffs.

So we got some fun games coming up for conference championship week.

Hello friends, welcome to this week's edition of the Tuesday Golf Corner.

Last week, uh, my golf picks weren't really in the mix whatsoever, so let's see if I can do.

Uh, a little bit better, uh, with my golf picks this week.

At least, uh, we'll try to give you a little bit of a sweat on the weekend, on Saturday and Sunday.

So we got two events.

Uh, the PGA Tour has its last official event of 2025.

Uh, they still have the Grant Thornton Invitational, which is like a, uh, mix of coed event in a couple of weeks with, uh, women and men, but this is the last official PGA Tour event of the year.

Uh, it is.

The World Hero Challenge.

We also have a DP World Tour event, but I'll get to that in a moment.

Let's start with the World Hero Challenge.

Uh, a bit of a unique event.

Only 20 golfers in the field this week.

It is a Tiger Woods, uh, sponsored event .

It takes place in the Bahamas.

Uh, and Scotty Scheffler is the 140 favorite.

He has won this event in back to back years.

In the two years before that, he finished in 2nd place.

So, uh, he.

As a result, he's now the 140 favorite.

So, probably gonna win again, cause he hasn't finished worse than 2 in 4 straight years at this event.

Uh, and he is by far the best golfer in the world, and he continues to be.

Uh, but I'm not gonna tell you to bet on Scotty Scheffler.

Let's look at some other golfers.

Now, I will say, uh, you can bet the winner without Scotty Scheffler Market.

Uh, you'll take a little bit of a hit on your odds, but maybe you wanna do that.

Uh, so you can avoid the scenario where Scotty Scheffler wins by 6 strokes and no one has any fun.

Uh, so let's start with my first bet to win.

Uh, it is Akshay Bhatia, who is at 25 to 1 this week, a little bit shorter, odds around 20 to 1, if you want to bet the winner without Scotty Scheffler, which means, by the way, if you don't know this, it just means the golfer either has to win or finish second place to Scotty.

So you have to treat it as if he's not in the field.

Uh, so Akshay Bhatia 25 to win if you do include Scotty Scheffler in the field.

Uh, the Albany Golf Club in the Bahamas is all about birdies.

It's a very easy course, especially if it doesn't get any wind.

Uh, so we need guys who can rack up birdies and bunches, which is, uh, exactly what Akshay Bhatia does.

I have a soft spot for Akshay Bhatia, he's a fellow lefty, uh, but he's one of the best iron players on the PGA Tour, which makes sense, cause to get birdies, you have to hit the ball close to the hole.

And that's exactly what Akshay Bhatia does.

He can be a little bit wayward with his drive at times, uh, but that shouldn't hurt him too much, uh, at the, uh, Albany Golf Club.

Uh, he's 2nd in the field and Strokes gained approach over the past 6 months, 2nd to, you guessed it, Scotty Scheffler.

Uh, so let's hope his irons are dialed in, uh, here this week.

It's also worth noting he did finish 4th at this event last year, so good course history here as well.

So I'll take Akshay Bhatia 25 to 1 for my first best bet for the Hero World Challenge.

My second best bet.

Uh, I'm gonna take the golfer who has one of the longest odds in the field.

I'll take Andrew Novak.

Uh, a little bit of an underrated golfer.

Should he, should he be, you know, top 10 on the odds list?

Certainly not, but I do think there's some value there on him at 40 to 1 to win this week.

He doesn't have the name recognition as, uh, some of the other golfers or the pedigree.

Uh, but he is coming off an impressive T7 finish at the RASM Classic a few weeks ago.

He posted a T25 finish at the Tour Championship.

Uh, and when his game is on, he can compete, uh, with the best of.

The best .

He proved that at the FedEx Saint Jude Championship in the FedEx Cup playoffs when he finished T6.

Uh, so if he plays as well as he did two weeks ago, he could be in the mix on the weekend.

I just think there's a little bit of value on the guy who has some of the longest odds in the field.

So I'll take Andrew Novak, 40 to 1 if you, uh, bet on it, including Scotty Scheffler.

It's gonna be around closer to 35 to 1 if you bet the winner without Scotty Scheffler.

Market.

Let's move on to the DP World Tour event.

Uh, last week was the PGA Australian Championship.

This week is the Australian Open.

Uh, so another event in Australia, a little bit of a stronger field this week, led by none, none other than Rory McIlroy, um, who once called the Australian Open the 5th major.

I don't know why.

I don't think you can call, uh, this event a major based on who's actually playing here, but Rory McIlroy is, he's the + 470 favorite.

I'm not gonna bet on Rory McIlroy.

Uh, my best bet for the Australian Open is see Woo, Kim, at 14 to 1.

See Woo Kim leads the field in strokes game T to green over the past 6 months.

Better than Rory McIlroy, better than Ryan Fox, who's in this field, uh, better than anyone else.

Uh, so the guy who is leading the field.

And strokes gained T to green over the past six months, 14 to 1.

That certainly seems like a good bet to me, especially considering he has been in elite form lately.

T4 at the RSM Classic, hasn't finished worse than 21st in six straight starts.

So I will take C, woo, Kim, at 14 to 1 .

And then we'll take a little bit of a long shot here on the Australian Elvis Smiley to win his home country's Open.

Coming off a, a strong T19 finish at last week's Australian championship.

Uh, he also finished T2 at the French Open in September, so he's played some good golf lately.

Also 13th in the field in total strokes gains, so that includes both Tea Green and, Uh, on the greens is putting, so 13th in, in the field and, uh, true, total strokes gained over the past three months, uh, but he is far further down the odds list than just 13th.

So I think he has some value here at the 45 to 1 price point, Elvis Smiley.

So, uh, my two picks for the Australian Open, see, woo, Kim, I just wanted to do that again.

14 to 1 and Elvis Smiley at 45 to 1.

Those are my top four bets for this week's edition of the Tuesday Golf Corner.

Good luck, my friends.

We're in the final stretch of the NFL season.

Let's look ahead to the week 14, Slayton, if you're talking about games that are, that are gonna have an impact on the NFL playoffs, this week is the week for you.

A lot of big games, important games, starting with Thursday Night Football between the Dallas Cowboys and the Detroit Lions.

This game is effectively, in my opinion, a loser goes home game.

The Lions have kind of allowed, uh, this season to slip through their grasp.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys off to a.

Bad start, made some acquisitions at the trade deadline, have won a few impressive games in a row, coming off two wins against the two teams who were just in the Super Bowl this past season.

Uh, so they have all the momentum behind them, but they are still set as 3-point road underdogs against Detroit.

The Lions trying to save their season.

Not only have they been losing games, but their divisional opponents have been winning games.

The Packers beat them this past weekend.

The Bears coming off a bigger win against the Eagles.

The Bears somehow, some way, number 1 seed in the NFC right now.

Uh, I'm gonna take the points of the Cowboys.

Sometimes momentum is important heading into this game.

Cowboys, those, uh, acquisitions they made at the trade deadline, very important.

Quentin Williams has turned their run defense into one of the better run defenses in the NFL and the Lions just got injuries after injuries after injuries after injuries.

Defensive backfield complete.

Completely banged up, which is gonna, uh, play a big role when they try to defend the probably the best wide receiver duo in the NFL between CD Lamb and George Pickens.

Uh, their top three tight ends are hurt.

Aman Rass Saint Brown now probably gonna miss this week.

It's a disaster in Detroit.

I'll take the 3 points for the Cowboys in what I think is gonna be a loser goes home game.

Then we got the Colts, you talk about a team that's imploding.

Uh, the Colts were running away with the AFC South, uh, in the mix for the #1 seed in the conference, and now all of a sudden they've lost the lead in the division.

The Jaguars are technically right now 1st place in the AFC South.

Uh, they both do have the same record at this moment in time though, so the winner of this game will be in 1st place in the division and in the driver's seat to win the division overall, now that we just have 5 games left to go.

Uh, the Colts are a very slight favorite, 1.5 point favorites on the road, but I'm gonna take.

The Jaguars getting 1.5 points on, uh, on their home field.

The Jaguars have been playing a lot better football of late, 1st and net yards per play over the last 3 games.

And the Colts' defense has regressed.

Teams have figured out a way to slow down Jonathan Taylor , and.

Daniel Jones is somehow playing on a fractured leg.

I don't know how that works, but apparently he's doing it, uh, but he's not doing it well.

Uh, so once again, injuries and momentum, working against the Colts just like the Lions, I will take the Jaguars as slight, uh, home underdogs.

Packers and Bears.

I apologize to Bears fans yesterday.

Uh, sometimes I've just gotta put my hand up.

Accountability.

I was wrong.

Uh, it's time for me to jump on the Bears bandwagon.

I don't know how they do it, but they find ways to win games, whether it's against a good team, a playoff team, a team that was just in, just won the Super Bowl, or if it's a bad team like the Bengals or the Commanders.

The Bears find ways to win games.

They do it by, uh, forcing turnovers.

They have the best turnover differential in the NFL.

Uh, they do it with an improved offensive line.

Uh, you're welcome for giving you guys.

Drew Dahman from the Falcons, he's been fantastic at center.

The Bears can run the ball, they have a great new coach in Ben Johnson.

I'm done doubting the Chicago Bears.

I will take the Bears, not, not only to cover the spread, but maybe even pull off the upset, but you gotta wait till tomorrow to get my upset picks of the week.

Uh, and then finally, we have the Texans and the Chiefs.

Chiefs can't afford to lose another game, if they lose one more game, they will be virtually eliminated from the NFL playoffs.

What a world .

For a team that has won 9 straight AFC West titles that made it at least to the AFC Champion championship game in every year that Patrick Mahomes has been the starter, now all of a sudden they're 1 loss away from not even making it to the NFL postseason.

I don't know if that's just fatigue from back to back to back to back to back deep playoff runs.

I don't know if it's just their luck has regressed a little bit, now they're on the wrong side of variances almost every single game, but the fact remains, if they lose to the Texans, their season.

It is effectively over.

Meanwhile, the Texans only 1 game back from the AFC South.

They've won 4 games in a row, 5 games in a row, and their defense has been the best in the NFL so far this season.

Maybe the Chiefs win, but I do not want to lay 3.5 points on this Kansas City team.

They just don't have the magic they've had in years past .

I will take the team with the best defense in the NFL.

I will take the 3.5 points with the Houston Texans on the road.

We got a fun one, strap in for NFL week 14.

Where is off the betting path taking us today?

Stop.

Argentina.

We're gonna bet on some Argentinian basketball, Argentine basketball, I believe is how you would pronounce it, Argentina.

Uh, I've done pretty well betting on these random niche international basketball leagues.

I think I'm 4 and 1, betting on them.

Uh, so let's, uh, keep that trend going.

I'll go to a country I haven't bet on yet, uh, which is, like I said, the Argentine LNB.

Uh, now, once again, I have the bad habit of betting on teams that I can't pronounce, so I'll do my best here, but I'm gonna take, and this is a Wednesday afternoon game, I'll take Pharoh, Carrill, Aasta, Buenos Aires.

-9.5, that's a mouthful of a team named -9.5 and -113 against Union de Santa Fe.

Uh, pretty easy handicap here.

Uh, we have the best shooting team in the league, taking on the worst shooting team in the league.

Ferro Carril Oesta, Buenos Aires has the best field goal percentage in the league at 54.5%. Union de Santa Fe has the worst effective field goal percentage at 47.9%. If you look at some more advanced metrics like net rating, we have Pharoh, Carrill, Bosa, Buenos Aires, leads the league in net rating at +10.

1, while Union de Santa Fe, 16th in the league in net rating at -8.1. So yes, big spread, a lot of points, uh, but I think they should be even bigger favorites we have.

One of the best teams in the league, actually the best.

Team in the league taking on, uh, definitely a bottom three team, definitely the worst shooting team in the league.

Uh, so for some Argentine basketball action on Wednesday afternoon, I will bet on Pharaoh, Carrill Josa, Buenos Aires, -9.5, -113 for today's edition of Off the Betting Path.

4-0 night last night, 4 game sweep, uh, second one in what, the past two weeks, I think we've had, uh, so, in the last week, yeah, so, uh, yeah, after we went a hot streak, cold streak, and now we might be back onto a hot streak.

Uh , a profit of $115.

57 might be our best profit for a single show as well, since I had $120 to bet with yesterday.

Uh, we cashed in on the two NHL plays.

Uh, I've been red hot in the NHL this season, uh, and the two NFL plays, uh, which is a little bit of a surprise.

They haven't been as hot, uh, in the.

NFL, but we hit the over 46.5. It took a little bit of a sweat, but we got there over 46.5 between the Giants and the Patriots, and thanks to some 4th quarter rushing errors, we also got, uh, over 63.5 rushing errors for Trayvon Henderson.

So, 4-0, 4 bets, 4 wins.

That brings our season profit up to.

$100 and $146.

50 which makes me feel a little bit more comfortable once we're over that $100 mark.

I kinda have like, uh, some cushion, just in case we have a bad night, we'll still be in the profits.

So, 4 bets for tonight, uh, no more action.

Action is done, so this is actually the first night in a long time that we don't have any football to watch and bet on at either the NFL or the college football level, so I have Two bets in the NHL, one in college basketball, and I have an NBA player prop, uh, as well.

So , uh, let's get into them.

Starting in the National Hockey League, I will take the Tampa Bay Lightning, who are -146 favorites against the New York Islanders.

I've talked about the Islanders a lot, uh, so far this season.

Uh, they play just terrible defensive hockey.

Uh, they have the 4th highest expected goals against the 3.47 per 60 minutes.

Uh, also have the second highest high danger score.

Chances allowed at 13.99 per 60 minutes.

Uh, and that's bad news against the Tampa Bay Lightning, who has truly been one of the best teams in the league this season.

Uh, and the Lightning are second in expected goals 4 per 60 minutes.

So we have a very good offensive team taking on a very bad defensive team.

Uh, significant favorite here, but I still think there's some value on this price.

So I'll, I'll lay the -146 price tag on the Tampa Bay Lightning against the New York Islanders.

If you're looking for someone that's a little bit closer to plus money, consider the Washington Capitals tonight.

A -104 against the Los Angeles Kings.

I've talked about the Capitals as well, the past couple of weeks, uh, in terms of, uh, them being a team that I think you should buy some stock in.

I think it's a great time to invest in the Capitals.

Their record, I don't think has caught up to how well, uh, they've played.

Uh, they have now worked their way up.

To being fifth in the expected goal differential per 60 minutes, uh, so far this season behind only the Avalanche, Hurricanes, Lightning, and Golden Knights.

So their underlying metrics are very, very good.

Uh, and the LA Kings have had some shooting troubles this season.

They're scoring on just 9.

33% of their shots on goal.

Uh, that is the third lowest mark in the, in the NHL, uh.

And that's not gonna help them tonight cause they will take on probably Logan Thompson, who is the betting favorite, uh, to win the Vezna Trophy.

Now, as of this morning when we're shooting this, uh, goaltender matchups aren't confirmed yet, so we don't know for a fact that Logan Thompson's playing in, uh, tonight, but he's expected to.

And if he does, uh, that's gonna be a tough challenge for a Kings team who has already struggled to put the puck in the back of the net.

This season.

Moving on to college basketball, we got Duke, Florida.

Uh, today and tomorrow, I haven't mentioned this, uh, on the show.

I probably should have at the top.

Uh, we have the ACC against SEC Challenge, uh, which is a fun thing they do early in the college basketball season every year.

Uh, on Tuesday and Wednesday, we have a ton of ACC teams taking on a ton of SEC teams for, for some out of conference action and Kind of gives us a good taste of how good each of these conferences are gonna be.

We will refer back to the ACC and SEC Challenge when, uh, March Madness gets here in a few months.

Uh, but one of those games tonight is Duke taking on the defending national champions, the Florida Gators.

Duke is a big favorite, uh, but I'm not afraid to lay this many points on the Blue Devils.

I'll take Duke -7.5, -108.

Uh, against the Gators, uh, the Gators, uh, struggled offensively so far this season.

203rd in the country, in effective field goal percentage, just 78th in floor percentage, which means they score at least one point on only 52.8% of their possessions.

They are, uh, a shell of their national championship winning selves, uh, from last year.

So, uh, if they didn't win the national championship last year, I think the spread would be even bigger.

Meanwhile, Duke, unbelievable in just about every single area.

If you look at their Ken Palm rankings, they're 3rd in net rating, 13th in effective field goal percentage.

I've already mentioned Cameron Boozer, who's the favorite to win the Wooden Award.

Uh, arguably the best player in the country so far this season, so I will back Duke.

I will lay the 7.5 points, minus 7.5 minus 108 against Florida.

And then if you're looking for a little NBA player prop, I got one for you tonight.

Shayden Sharp, under 1.5 3-pointers made at -114.

He plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.

Uh, his, uh, three-point shooting has not been good this year.

He has scored on just 25.2% of his three-point shots.

He averages 6.4 three-point shots per game, but.

Uh, the Blazers might be telling him to stop shooting so many threes, cause like I said, 25.4% three-point field goal percentage, and over his last two games, uh, his amount of three-point attempts have dropped off significantly.

Only 3 three-point attempts the last two games, so they're probably telling him, hey, buddy, you're shooting 25% from beyond the arc, relax, uh, with those deep shots.

Uh, it's also not gonna help him tonight that he's taken on a Raptors team that has defended the perimeter extremely well this season.

Tied for the best opponent 3-point field goal percentage in the NBA.

Teams are just shooting.

Uh, shooting 32% from beyond the arc against the Toronto Raptors.

Uh, so with all of that in mind, I will take Shayden Sharp under 1.5, 3 pointers made minus 114.

OK, let's take a look in the safe.

Uh, I'm gonna assume we're back to $100.

Uh, there it is, $100.

Our good friend, Sir Robert Borden, who could forget?

Robert Borden, and then insulin.

Not a person, just insulin.

It's on the back of a $100 bill that continues to crack me up.

All right, um, uh, I've been, uh, I think we just keep it simple tonight.

I've been very good in the, in the NHL this season.

Overall, I'm up over 12 units just on the NHL.

Uh, so we will go 30 $30 for the two NHL picks.

So that is $30 on Lightning minus $146.

30 dollars on Capitals minus 10.

4 and then 20/20 on the two basketball plays, $20 on Duke minus 7.5 $20 on Shayden Sharp, under 1.5, 3-pointers made.

Let's keep it simple.

Uh, this has been Play It Safe presented by FanDuel.

Stick around cause we still got to do the parlay peek.

Let's hit the four-legger tonight.

We were oh so close to taking the next step on the parlay peak last night.

Ah, hit 3 of the forelegs, all we needed.

Uh, was Jackson Dart, 5 more rushing yards is all we needed.

I thought he was gonna get it on the Giants' last drive, but he, he did not, uh, 5 yards, uh, away, unfortunately, close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.

So we do not take the net.

Next step on the parlay peak, I still have to hit a 4-leg parlay if I want to take the next step.

Uh, so let's get into my picks for tonight.

We're doing a multi-sport parlay tonight.

2 picks in the NHL, 2 picks that I liked, and I considered doing them for playing it safe, uh, but a little bit too big a favorites.

Um, I try to, to stay away from massive favorites from, for playing it safe.

So one of those two teams, uh, is the Red Wings.

Moneyline against the Bruins .

Uh, Bruins, not good this year.

Red Wings, young team, up and coming team, and I've been impressed by how the Red Wings have played there at home against the Bruins.

Uh, Bruins who have been horrific defensively this season .

Uh, so I'll take the Red Wings on the money line.

I'm also gonna take the Panthers to beat my Maple Leafs, the Toronto.

The Maple Leafs are a broken hockey team.

I can't even watch them.

It is unbelievably frustrating.

They can't play defense, they're not getting any good goaltending.

Austin Matthews, he might be already washed.

He might be battling an injury .

I don't, it's not good.

And now they have to take on the Panthers, who eliminated him last year, uh, in the 2nd round of the NHL playoffs.

Uh, Panthers, I think will defeat.

My Toronto Maple Leafs.

I think it's gonna be ugly.

I don't think I can bring myself to watching that game.

Uh, but you know what, I am gonna bet on a Toronto team.

I will take the Raptors on the money line against.

Uh, the Portland Trail Blazers, remember, I can only do odds at -250 or longer.

They just come in that the Raptors are -230 on the money line, uh, so we don't need them to cover the spread, we just need them to beat Portland outright.

And then finally, I'll cap off the four-leg parlay with a player prop, Chet Holmgren.

Of the Thunder, they're taking on the Warriors tonight.

We're gonna take Holmgren, 15+ points.

The Warriors at times have struggled to defend the interior of this season.

I think that'll set up Chet Holmgren to have a solid game.

We don't need him to have it like a triple-double or anything, we just need him 14 points from Chet Holmgren, that leg is -194.

That brings the overall odds for the four-leg parlay to +4.

33.

Come on, we gotta hit it tonight.

I'm trying to take the next step in the parlay peak.

I only have a month.

My goal was to complete the parlay peak by the end of 2025, so I have a month to hit a four-leg, five-leg, six-leg, seven-leg.

I can't waste any more time on the four-leg.

It's time to hit it tonight.

Thank you all for tuning in to today's episode of Making Moves with Mac presented by FanDuel.

Best of luck, best of luck to all of your bets tonight, and I will see you all tomorrow.