Making Moves | December 4, 2025

Guess who gave us a win last night? The Montreal Canadiens. I hate celebrating the Canadians, but credit to them, they gave us a win last night. Welcome to today's episode of Making Moves with Mac, presented by FanDuel. It is Thursday, December 4th, and we gotta get you set up for Thursday Night Football, and it's Thursday, so it's time for the player prop countdown. All that and more coming up. Let's take a look at the top headlines in sports betting today, starting with a couple of signings in the National Football League, uh, not huge game changers, but a couple of veteran depth pieces for some playoff hopeful teams, starting with the Buffalo Bills, who signed Darius Slay, uh, who was, uh, released by the Pittsburgh Steelers, former Philadelphia Eagle. Uh, probably not gonna be the number one corner for the Buffalo Bills, uh, but the Bills' defense has struggled this season, especially, uh, defending the pass, so he could be. A nice depth piece for the Bills who are currently sitting at the number 7 seed in the AFC. Uh, but once again, uh, this is not gonna shift the odds that dramatically. The Bills still 11 to 1 to win the Super Bowl after that signing. Uh, and the other one was the Pittsburgh Steelers who signed Adam Thielen. Uh, Thiellin was with the Vikings most recently. Uh, remember he went Vikings, Panthers, back to Vikings. Uh, he apparently asked for his release cause he wanted to, to, uh, Get, uh, signed by a Super Bowl, uh, potential Super Bowl winning team. Uh, he wanted to go on one more playoff run. So I don't know if the Steelers fit that bill necessarily. Uh, the Steelers outside the playoffs, pretty significant underdogs to make the playoffs. They still could, for sure, they could win the AFC North, uh, with the Super Bowl odds, uh, at 125 to 1 at FanDuel as we record, uh, this morning, and I don't think signing Adam Thielen is going to improve their odds, uh, that much, but it does give Aaron Rodgers, a veteran. Receiver to throw to, uh, but the Steelers are kind of turning into a, uh, retirement home. Uh, some old guys on that Steelers team between, uh, Adam Thielen and Aaron Rodgers and some guys on defense as well. So, a couple of signings of some depth pieces, uh, in the NFL that it is worth noting. Uh, let's move on to college basketball. The SEC has defeated the ACC in the SEC ACC Challenge, uh, 9 to 7. Uh, if you remember yesterday, the ACC was winning after the first day 6 to 2. Looked like the ACC was gonna win the challenge for the first time, uh, over the past few years. Uh, but then last night, uh, the ACC went just quick math, 1 and 61 and 6. 6-3, right? 16, yeah. OK, yeah, so, yeah, so, uh, the ACC kind of fell apart last night, uh, thankfully though, uh, in terms of betting on the games, I don't really care. Uh, if Clemson won because they didn't, but they did cover the spread for us. So ACC might have lost the challenge, but, uh, shout out to the Clemson Tigers for covering the 10.5 point spread against Alabama last night. But at the end of the day, the SEC does win the ACC challenge 9 to 7. Uh, much closer margin, uh, than it was last year when they won it like 12 to 3 or something like that. So, shout out to the SEC. Might be something to keep in mind once we get to March Madness and we see some SEC against ACC matchups in the first few rounds, uh, of the NCAA tournament. Uh, sticking with college basketball. But over to women's college basketball. I do want to shout out the ladies. I specifically want to shout out Sarah Strong from UConn, who is now the -130 favorite to win the Women's Wooden Award. Uh, only what, a month and a half, a month into the college basketball season, she's already the odds-on favorite to win that award. 17.6 points per game, 9.4 rebounds, 5.3 assists, shooting 56.4% from the field. Uh, so not only is UConn. Uh, the favorite to win the women's national championship again, uh, but Sarah Strong, their best player, their forward, sophomore forward Sarah Strong, already the odds-on favorite to win, uh, the women's John Wooden Award at -120. Uh, Azzie Fudd, uh, hopefully I'm not mispronouncing her name. Her teammate is second on the odds list at 6 to 1, and then Lauren Betts from UCLA third on the list at 850. Uh, so a big upset in the NBA last night I want to touch on. The Portland Trail Blazers took down the Cleveland Cavaliers 122 to 110 in Cleveland. Trail Blazers were 10.5 point underdogs in that game, 1 outright, and not only did they win outright , they won by 12 points. So, uh, in theory, kind of covered the spread by, uh, 22 points. The Cleveland Cavaliers, I don't know what's going on with this team. This team was, uh, the significant favorite to win the Eastern Conference heading into the season. They are still right now favorites to win the Eastern Conference, uh, at 310. Uh, but they are the 6th seed right now in the conference. Their odds have dropped a little bit, uh, which is good news for fans. Of the New York Knicks. Maybe this is finally the Knicks' year. Uh, I don't know if they can win the NBA Finals cause the West is stacked this year and it's probably gonna be the OKC Thunder, but, uh, maybe the Knicks finally return to the finals. How fun would that be for the city of New York. Uh, Cleveland falling off, like I said, 310 to win the Eastern Conference. The Knicks second on the odds list. Their odds have improved though, up to 360, and then Detroit, Orlando, Boston, next three teams on the list. Still no respect for my Toronto Raptors, uh, but that's OK. I'll be in the stadium, I'm going to my first Raptors game tonight. Uh, so that's fun. LeBron, gotta go see LeBron. Ticket was expensive, uh, but probably my last chance to see LeBron, so I'm gonna go tonight, cause I figure next year might be his retirement tour, and if he's back in Toronto for his retirement tour, that's gonna be way out of my budget. So, uh, I coughed up the coin. I'm going to the Raptors game tonight. It's time for me to see LeBron James, the GOAT. Uh, finally, we'll wrap up here with some NHL. Uh, the Washington Capitals. Uh, I didn't bet any futures on them a couple of weeks ago. I should have, uh, cause if you've been watching the show, the Capitals were in last place in the Metropolitan Division, like 2 weeks ago, and I said invest in this Capitals team. Their numbers support that they're gonna, uh, see some positive regression. They're gonna get hot, and that's exactly what they've done. They have now won 6 straight games. Including a win last night, they're now 1st place in the Metropolitan Division. So, uh, credit to me for telling guys to invest in the Capitals. I didn't. I mean, I've been betting on the Capitals in individual games. I did not place any Capitals futures, though I wish I should have, uh, I wish I did in hindsight. But, uh, Capitals riding a six-game win streak heading into this weekend. Uh, they're currently the hottest team in the National Hockey League. Week 14 of the NFL season begins tonight with a Thursday Night Football game between the uh Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions. Fascinating game tonight, actually a lot of really great matchups in the NFL this week, uh, starting with tonight's game, uh, cause it is kind of a loser goes home game, whichever team loses tonight. Uh, gonna be out of the playoff pitcher. Uh, both teams are underdogs right now. I would say a little bit more so for the Cowboys. If they lose tonight, their playoff hopes are pretty much gone. If the Lions lose, they still have a chance, but they definitely would have to win their final four games. Uh, the, the margin for error would be extremely slim. So overall though, I do think it is gonna be a loser goes home game. The Lions are 3 point home favorites tonight. Uh, but they are dealing with a lot of injuries. Uh, most notably, Almond Ross Saint Brown, their number one receiver, uh, is out of the lineup, uh, tonight. Uh, their defense, uh, has just been shredded with injuries, so they're gonna have to overcome, uh, some hurt players if they want to win and keep their playoff hopes alive, but the betting market still thinks. They are deserving of being 3-point favorites. Uh, if you like points, you're gonna love the game tonight. Total at 54.5, 1 of the highest totals we've seen in the NFL, uh, this season. So even with the Lions missing their star receiver, still plenty of points expected to be put up on the board. Uh, as you would imagine, Jameer Gibbs is the favorite to find the end zone tonight if you're looking to bet on the touchdown market at -230. Uh, I don't really know if I'd want to lay that price, especially Dave Montgomery's been pretty good on the goal line of late. Uh, I think Gibbs will get a lot of yards, but minus 230 to score, uh, I don't know if I'd want to lay that price personally. Uh, but like I said, with Aman Rass Saint Brown out the lineup, what I think is the most, uh, fascinating player prop for tonight is Jason Williams. His over-under for his receiving yards is 83.5. Uh, he's been kind of an up and down player. I think two weeks ago he didn't get a single catch, uh, but then sometimes he's like the most explosive player on the field. Yeah, last week he was very good, but then two weeks before that, I don't think he got a catch, so. Uh, with Almond Ross Saint Brown, oh, now he has to kind of be the primary receiver. Can he step into the primary receiver role? Can he do enough, uh, to lead the Lions to the win ? Uh, I think that's gonna be kind of the most fascinating storyline tonight in terms of player props. So, uh, I'm not betting on that player prop. I would lean. Over on that, I think, uh, but I do have two bets for this game. I have a bet on the side, and I do have a player prop, but if you want them, you gotta stick around till the end of the show. It is Thursday, my friends, which means it is time for the player prop countdown where I rank my top 10 player props for NFL week 14. Uh, we did not have this segment last week it's a shortened week because of Thanksgiving, so, uh, we're back for the first time in 2 weeks. Uh, we're going through my top 10 player props. So strap in. Let's go. Number 10 for NFL. Week 14, I'm gonna feed my guy, my best friend forever, my BFF, uh, Bejon Robinson. I'll take the under 65.5 rushing yards for Bejon Robinson at -114. Unfortunately for him, he is the only weapon left for the Falcons. Drake London questionable again, their quarterbacks, Kirk Cousins, uh, so they have no choice but to run the ball. Uh, that means the Seahawks know that they're gonna be able to. stack the box and take away the Falcons' only weapon. And not only that, but, uh, the Seahawks have already been arguably the best run defense in the NFL this season. Fourth in opponent yards per carry, given up just 3.8 yards per rush. Third in opponent rush success rate. First, an opponent rush EPA. So my guy Bijon has a tough matchup ahead of him this week. I'll take the under 65.5 rushing yards at -114. Moving on to my number 9 ranked player prop for NFL Week 14. I'm looking at the Saints wide receiver, the former Denver Bronco, Devon Valley. Over 51.5 receiving yards at -118, he has seen. Uh, an increased role in the Saints' offense in their last two games, uh, in those two games, he has combined for 15 targets, 11 receptions, 130, uh, receiving yards. Uh, now he gets to take on a pretty banged up, uh, injured Buccaneers secondary and a Buccaneer. Secondary that has not been so good this year. The Buccaneers have done a very good job stopping the run, have not done a good job of stopping the pass. So I'm going to, uh, buy in on Devon Avele here, uh, to continue his hot streak for the third straight week, over 51.5 receiving yards at minus 118. I'm looking to Sunday Night Football next. I have two props for this, but we'll start with my number 8 ranked player prop, which is the Texans wide receiver, Jaden Higgins, over 34.5 receiving yards at -110. Uh, now I've been trying to find out who the slot receiver is, uh, for the Texans. It was Christian Kirk, uh, but Jaden Higgins has played more of that role lately. Uh, and I was talking to my friend Sterling Holmes, who covers the Kansas City Chiefs, and he told me. Target whatever slot receiver is playing against the Chiefs because , uh, they have struggled to defend slot receivers all season. So that is why I'm gonna go with Jaden Higgins here. Not only that, but, uh, he has seen his role in this offense, in the Texans offense, increase significantly of late. His route share has gone up 10%, his targets per route has gone up from 0.15% to 0.3. His target share. Has increased 10.5% since week 10. His yards per route has increased from 1.09 to 2.15. Uh, so since week 10, uh, the Texans have utilized Jaden Higgins quite a bit. Uh, now he gets to go up against a Chiefs defense that has struggled to defend slot receivers. So give me Jaden Higgins, over 34.5 receiving yards at -110. My number 7 ranked player prop, uh, for NFL week 14. I'm looking to the Monday Night Football game between the EAGLES Eagles and the Chargers. I'm gonna go Justin Herbert under 31.5 pass attempts. This is my first of two pass attempt related bets this week. This is at -104. Uh, Justin Herbert has only gone over 31.5 pass attempts just once in his last 5 games. And now, as we all know, he is nursing, uh, a hand injury. It is on his non-throwing hand. Uh, I think if it's on his throwing hand, he probably wouldn't be playing. Um, but I do expect, uh, that that's going to lead to the Chargers, uh, and Jim Harbaugh, maybe not asking Justin Herbert to do too much in this game, especially cause they get to take on an Eagles defense who has apparently can't stop the run. Uh, let the Bears get 250 yards on the ground against them last week. The Chargers probably see that, probably think they can just do the exact same and run the football, and I don't expect they're gonna ask Justin Herbert to do too much in this game. So we'll go Herbert, under 31.5 pass attempts at -104. And then, uh, my number 6 ranked player prop for NFL Week 14 will, uh, target the Jets running back Bruce Hall. Uh, we're gonna go his longest rush over 14.5 yards at -110. The Dolphins' run defense has not been good this year. They've allowed the second most runs of 20 or more yards with 12 2nd most runs of 40+ yards with 5. and Bruce Hall had a 25, 23 yard run against them back in week 4. so we're not asking them too much, uh, to have a rush of at least. 15 yards in the rematch. He's also had a rush of 15+ yards in 6 of his games already this season. So my number 6 ranked player prop, Breece Hall, longest rush over 14.5 yards. Stick around. Uh, in just a moment, I'm gonna give you my top 5 ranked player props for NFL Week 14. Alright, let's get into my top 5 ranked player props for NFL week 14. We're gonna start in Sunday Night Football. We're gonna start with Patrick Mahomes and I'm going. Under on his passing yards, 234.5 at -114. How'd you like that move? Pop. Uh, yeah, uh, under. I hate to break it to you though, the graphic was, was up, so, you know, the audience might not have been fooled, but we'll see. All right, whatever. Uh, the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes after take on. The Houston Texans on Sunday night, who have the best secondary in the NFL, first in opponent dropback EPA, 2nd in opponent dropback success rate, 3rd in opponent yards per pass and 4th, in opponent passing yards per game. Teams are only throwing for an average of 174 passing yards per game against them. They've only allowed two quarterbacks to throw for more than 234 yards against them this season. Uh, so I think Patrick Mahomes is gonna struggle against this Texans secondary. I'll take the under on his passing yards at 234.5. My number 4 ranked player prop for this week is on a touchdown score. Uh, now, Dalton Kincaid is questionable. Uh, so we do need him to play. Uh, I've read the reports, he's leaning towards playing. He, I would even classify him as probable at this point. Uh, so if he doesn't play, we'll say just bet on whatever, uh, tight end is starting for the Bills. Uh, I got. Colin Kincaid at 210, uh, because the Bills are taking on the Bengals who, uh, betting on a touch, uh, tight ends to score touchdowns against the Bengals has just been a money-making machine, uh, this season. Uh, they have given up the most touchdowns to opposing tight ends. I think 4 more, uh, receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends, more than any other defense. They've also allowed. The most receptions to opposing tight ends and most receiving yards to opposing tight ends. Uh, so I'm gonna, I'm gonna target Dalton Kincaid. Let's hope he plays, fingers crossed. Uh, he is expected to return. He's already scored 4 touchdowns in just 8 games, uh, this season. And with the Bills kind of struggling to find some consistent, uh, production at the wide receiver position. I think they're, they're gonna lean on their tight ends a little bit more in the final stretch of the season, especially in this game against a defense that just can't defend tight ends. So give me Dalton Kincaid to score a touchdown at 210. We're gonna move on to an AFC North battle between the Ravens and the Steelers. I'm gonna take Zay Flowers over 4.5 receptions at -111. Uh, the Steelers, uh, have given up the most receptions to opposing. Uh, wide receivers this season. Uh, they've allowed the most completions per game overall at 24.4. Uh, so that should set up Zay Flowers to have a big game, the Ravens' number one target. Uh, he's already averaging 5 receptions per game this season, so as long as he hits his season average against the defense that's allowing the most receptions to opposing wide receivers, uh, then this bet will be a winner. So my number 3 ranked player prop is Zay Flowers over 4.5 receptions at -111. My second best player prop for NFL week 14. Bears fans, don't worry, I am betting on your team to win. Uh, but I do think in the win, uh, I think Kayleb Williams might throw an interception and I really like to bet at +126 odds at FanDuel. Uh , Caleb Williams has had the second highest bad throw percentage in the NFL this season. 2222.5% of his throws are. Considered bad. Now let's ignore who leads in that stat, which might be Michael Penn of the Falcons, but hey, he's hurt, so it doesn't matter anyway. So, the top active quarterback in bad throw percentage is Kayleb Williams. I know he only has 5 interceptions this season, but if he continues to throw, uh, if he continues to have bad throws at a rate of 22.5%, more interceptions will come. So I like this bet at +126 against the Packers. And then finally, that brings us to my number one ranked player prop for NFL week 14. Tua Tuggavioa, under 30.5 pass attempts at -106. I think there's a little bit of an edge here, cause over the past three weeks, uh, the Dolphins have thrown the ball on just 42.77% of their plays. They're on a three-game win streak, but in those games, they have completely switched their offensive game plan. They are now a run first team. They have the lowest pass play, uh, rate over the last three games, uh, by 3%, uh, to the next closest team. So they've just completely abandoned throwing the ball. They have not asked Tua to throw it in those three games. Tua has passing attempts of just 21, 20, and 23. Not even close to his pass attempts total for this game at 30.5. So if the Dolphins continue this strategy, which has worked for them, they've won 3 straight games, they're just gonna run the ball and not ask Tua to do too much. So with all of that in mind. Uh, I'm shocked, I'm surprised, uh, that Tua's passing attempts total is set all the way up at 30.5. Let's hope the Dolphins continue to run the ball and they don't ask Tua to do too much. Number one ranked player prop for NFL week 14, Tua Tuggamioa, under 30.5 passing attempts at -106. This has been the NFL week 14 edition of the player prop Countdown. With NFL Week 14 starting tonight, let's take a look at some of the top betting trends for this week's action. Now, you don't want to make your bets solely based on these trends, but they can serve as a good starting point or maybe even just some interesting tidbits to keep in mind, uh, when the games begin. Uh, so let's start with a trend for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the Cowboys and the Lions. Uh, it's already high total, 54.5 total, uh, and if you like points, uh, this trend is gonna back that overhitting 9 and 3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. Uh, not only that, uh, but these have been two of the best over teams in the NFL this season, actually. The Cowboys have, uh, have the best over record in the NFL, 8-4 to the over. So the over is hitting 66.7% of their games. Uh, the over is 7-5 for the Lions. It's hitting 58.3% of their games. So all signs point to this being a high scoring affair tonight. Uh, Cowboys, best over team, Lions, third best over team, uh, and the overs 9 and 3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. Let's move on to the weekend, the Commanders and the Vikings , uh, we've seen some significant line movement in that game. The Vikings opened as underdogs, now they are set as the favorites. And that one with 9 back in action, JJ McCarthy, put your face paint on. Uh, something's got a budge for both these teams cause they've both been horrific against the spread of late. The Commanders have been 1 and 6 against the spread in their last 7 games. Uh, they did cover, uh, this past Sunday night against the Denver Broncos. Uh, but the Vikings have also been 1-6 against their spread, the spread in their last 7 games. So, uh, if you're looking to bet on a team that has not covered much recently, well, you have two options in this one, cause neither team has, so one of these two teams will improve to. 2 and 7 against their spread in their last 8, the other will fall to 1 and 7 against the spread, uh, in their last eight. The current line, as of recording this morning, has the Vikings set as 1.5 point home favorites to the Washington Commanders. Well, what do you do here if they're both bad against the spread? If they're both bad against the spread, you throw out that trend, uh, and you just look at other things. So it's an interesting trend, but, uh, I would not, uh, place a bet, uh, on either side based on that trend, but, I do like the Vikings unfortunately. Uh, with 9, with 9. 9's facts, baby, 9's back. You're coming around on 9? Like I said yesterday, this week is all about the George Costanza method. If everything you do is wrong, the opposite must be right. So, uh, not only am I betting Bears money line, uh, I'm a 9 guy this week, I'm a 9 believer. I'll have my face paint on tomorrow, let's go. Uh, let's move on to the Seahawks who are taking on my Atlanta Falcons. The Seahawks set as 7. Uh, point favorites, last I checked, is it still at 7? It is still at 7. Down a little bit, some sharp bets betting on the Falcons. They were 7.5 earlier this week. Uh, that's dangerous. Uh, the Seahawks have been the best team in covering the spread this season. You know what they say, good teams win, great teams cover. The Seahawks 9 and 3 on the season against the spread. This typically happens, uh , for a team that's not expected to be good, and then they end up being very good. Usually they're gonna cover spreads, especially early in the season. So they are 9 and 3 against the spread, uh, cover rate of 75%. Scott, do you know what the second best against the spread team is this year? Who If it's a team that wasn't expected to be good, that is good. Rams , Rams actually, so it's, it's a tie between two teams. Rams is 1. Colts, no, Broncos, no. Patriots, no. Patriots 4th. Bears. Bears and Rams both 8-4 against the spread, just one spot behind the Seahawks, and then your New England Patriots 8-4-1 against the spread. They got a push in there. I don't remember what game that was, but they have a push, uh, against the spread. Uh, Steelers and Ravens will face each other, and, uh, like I said, if you like points, you might like the Thursday Night Football game. If you like defense, you might like this AFC North battle because the under 9 and 1 in the last 10 meetings between the Steelers and the Ravens, Mike Tomlin knows how to shut down Lamar Jackson. Uh, John Harbaugh knows how to shut down the Steelers. Uh, and this trend actually I do think, does have some merit to it because it's been the same two coaches throughout this entire streak. Uh, not the same quarterbacks for the Steelers, but it's been the same quarterback for the Ravens for the majority of them. Uh, so, yeah, it might be a low scoring affair there between the Steelers and Ravens. Under has gone 9-1 in their last 10 meetings. The total is set at 43.5 for the game in Baltimore on Sunday. Uh, this weekend's game between the Titans and the Browns is not only a toilet bowl because it's two of the worst teams in the NFL, two of the worst spread records over the past two seasons. 5 and 13, they both are against the spread. In their last 18 games, if good teams win, but great teams cover, bad teams lose, terrible teams don't cover, I guess. Uh, so the Titans and the Browns, truly a toilet bowl game. Uh, but the Browns, 3.5 point home favorites largely because of their defense, Miles Garrett, uh, aiming for 25 sacks this season, uh, which would be the NFL record. I think he has been. Uh, writing the number 25 on his wrist tape, I believe he is. Um, hey, why not go for a record, your team stinks, you're not gonna make the playoffs. Go for individual accolades, go for Defensive Player of the Year, I support it. Uh , so the Browns are 3.5 point home favorites, but like I said, 5 and 13 against the Spurs in their last 18 games, so have been the Titans. Uh, another AFC South battle, the Jaguars and the Colts. Might be surprised to find out how, uh, dominant the Jaguars have been against the Colts in recent years. 9 and 2 against the spread in their last 11 games against the Colts. Uh, so they have done extremely well against Indianapolis. Obviously some coaching changes throughout there, so, uh, this trend might not have quite as much merit as, uh, the Ravens-Steelers trend, but it is worth noting, especially as the Colts are starting to regress, the Jaguars are getting. Hot, leading the NFL in net yards per play over each team's last three games. I like the Jaguars in that spot. I think that trend continues. I think they moved to 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 against the Colts. Uh, they're currently set as 1.5 point home underdogs on Sunday. Uh, low scoring games, the Saints might be another low scoring game, the Saints taking on the Buccaneers. The Under has hit 8 straight games for the New Orleans Saints. Not good, if you like offense, uh, cause their defense has been solid, their offense has been bad, led by Tyler Shuck. Uh, they're also, uh, tied actually for the best under record, 4 and 8. So their 1st 4 games this season, uh, all went over, and then since then, all 8 games have gone under. Uh, the total for their game against the Buccaneers this weekend. Uh, it is currently set at 42.5. So if you want that trend to continue, if you think it will, go ahead and bet the under, uh, in that one. Ian, I know the Dolphins and the Jets are so bad that you didn't even want to talk about them, but we skipped one. We did skip one. You're right, let's reverse. Uh, let's go back to the Dolphins and Jets game, uh, reverse, you know, uh, that's a car going backwards. Uh, uh, the Dolphins have dominated the Jets, uh, in recent seasons, 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games against the JETS Jets. Uh, I don't really have anything to add to that one, to be completely honest. These two teams stink. The Dolphins are 3-point favorites. Uh, I think I took the Dolphins. I think I'm on the Dolphins. It's not gonna be a best bet for me on the show tomorrow, so I can just let you know, I am on the Dolphins, I'm laying the points. They are hot, they have been running the ball a lot lately, uh, and the Jets, uh, do kind of stink. Although they did beat the Falcons. So what does that mean about my Falcons? Nothing good. Uh, all right, now let's leapfrog the Saints one. Now we're going back to the Raiders and the Broncos. The Broncos have won a lot of recent games against the Raiders, but the Raiders continue to cover the spread against them. 13-3 against the spread in the last 16 meetings between the Raiders and the Broncos. Uh, and that held true a few weeks ago when these two teams played on Thursday Night Football. The Raiders covered. In that game, and what was, uh, the ugliest game of the season so far, 10 to 7, if you remember that one. The Broncos managed to win, uh, but the Raiders covered that spread. Uh, they are once again significant underdogs. This time, uh, the game is at a home game for the Raiders. They are set as 7.5 point home underdogs in Las Vegas against the Denver Broncos in an AFC West. Rematch, uh, the, how are the Broncos on the road? Uh, you know what, that's a good question in terms of covering the spread. I don't have that number in front of me. Just in terms of, do they play well on the road. They don't play as well on the road as they are at home. Uh, what I can bring up right now in front of me is net yards per play. Uh, at home they're the third best team in the NFL, plus 1.2 net yards per play on the road. Plus 0.6, uh, which is still top 10, but that's, uh, 0.6 , uh, worse net yards per play. That is significant on the road compared to at home. But Denver obviously playing at elevation as, uh, in all sports have one of the best home advantages, whether it's college football, college basketball, NHL, the Avalanche have a great home ice advantage, and the Broncos have a great home field advantage as well. And then for MLB it's not really a home field advantage, it's actually kind of a disadvantage cause your pitchers get lit up every time you play in a home game. Uh, all right, uh, the Packers and the Bears. Uh, I don't think you guys need me to tell you this, that the Packers have dominated this matchup over the past decade. It feels like 11-1 straight up, 10-2 against the spread in the last 12 against the Bears. Uh, and really that trend is actually even more towards the Packers, because the Bears beat the Packers in week 18 last year, and that was a week the Packers didn't need, so they started all their backups. Uh, so the Bears broke that streak, but they broke up, uh, broke it against the Packers' backups. So I don't really know how much you want to count that. This is the true measuring stick for how legitimate this Bears team is. If they can go into Lambeau and defeat the Packers on the road as an underdog, then the Bears are for real and should maybe even be considered as legitimate NFC contenders, and that win would Uh, do, uh, wonders for their odds to make the playoffs as well. I think that virtually kind of lock up a spot for them in the playoffs. So, big, big, big game in the NFC North between the Packers and the Bears. Uh, the Rams are taking on Arizona. The Cardinals are set as 8.5 point favorites in that one. The Rams are 9-1 against the spread against the Cardinals, the last 10 games in Arizona. Not just the last 10 meetings, the last 10 times the Rams have traveled to Arizona to take on the Cardinals. They're 9-1 against the spread, so. You might be afraid to lay the 8.5 points on a road team in this one, especially road divisional game. Well, don't be, uh, based on this trend, 9 and 1 against the spread. They're not only beating the Cardinals, uh, they're covering spreads when they play in Arizona. And then finally, we'll wrap up with a trend for Sunday Night Football between the Texans and the Chiefs. Another big matchup, huge playoff implications . Uh, another trend that backs towards there being plenty of points, the over 6 and 1 in the last 7 meetings between the Texans and the Chiefs. Uh, whenever I think of these two teams, I think of that playoff game 56 years ago. Remember the Texans got off to Huge lead. I think this might have been the first playoff run for Patrick Mahomes. They got off to like a 21, 24 point lead, and then the Chiefs like stormed back and then beat them like 50 to 28 or something. Uh, that's what I think of whenever I think of the Texans Chiefs. And that, I bet you if you go back 7 games, that game is probably involved in one of those overs because that was, that was a high scoring one. so a big game there on Sunday Night Football this week between the Houston Texans. And the Kansas City Chiefs, over 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between those teams. This has been the top 12 betting trends for NFL week 14 . Hopefully, they help you win some money on Sunday. Where is off the betting path taking us today? It's taken us to. Turkey, we're going to Turkey, or, uh, as I think we're supposed to pronounce now, Turkeya, Turkeya. Uh, I'm still gonna continue to call it Turkey for the time being until I get the proper pronunciation down. Uh, I'm getting excited for some World Cup soccer, so I know I've been betting on some weird basketball league. Uh, lately, but this time we're going to bet on, uh, some Turkeya, some Turkey soccer. Uh, and actually, it's, uh, one league, League One, which is the 2nd division for Turkish soccer. Uh, so not only are, are we betting Turkish soccer, but the one division down. And once again, I continue the trend of picking leagues and countries where there's no chance I can pronounce the proper team name. But, uh, Saturday morning is I believe this game, uh, I'm going to bet on. I mean they can read it. I don't even know if I can try this. Just point to the point down. Can you guys read it? I, I can't do any better than that. Cassio , Cassio Rengusu plus 10, I think that's, that's not bad. + 105 against Cirric Belidiaspor. Uh, that's not too bad actually either. Actually I had, did have decent, uh, with that, but I will take Cassio Renguu, not as good the second time. shorten it, Cassio. Cassio, I like that. Cassio plus 105, slight underdog. It is a three-way money line bet, uh , so be sure if you want the plus money odds, you can get it at, uh, minus money odds if you wanna just do 2. Way, uh, and of course, the difference is, uh, if it ends in a draw, uh, if it's a two-way bet, you get your money back. If it's 3-way, which my bet is if it's a draw, it loses. So I need Cassio to win this game. Uh, they have some expected goal stats, which is what I like to use to handicap soccer. Uh, Cassio has an expected goals this season through the 1st 15 matches, uh, plus 1.4. Whereas their opponent, Cerec, I'm just gonna call him Cerec, uh, fourth last, uh, in this league and expected goal differential minus 0.39. And they played above that, they, uh, actually have an actual goal differential of even 1.33, 1.33. Uh, but some of those expected numbers. The underlying metrics show they're not quite as good as the record. Uh, so I think we're gonna see some regression to the mean between these two teams. I will take the plus money on Kesio Renguhu, plus 105 against Serrek Belideiesor in some Turkish one league soccer on Saturday morning. Another 2 and 2 night last night with my picks for a very small loss. Uh, we'll take it at this point, uh, but just to recap my plays from last night, the Montreal Canadiens. I'm never betting on the Canadians again, although I might, they did win for us last night. All right, we get it. The Canadians got a win for us. Les Aviton -102 against the Jets. It did take uh a shootout, uh, got sweaty there at the end. Uh, 2-2 tie went into overtime. Uh, the Canadians actually had a great chance. Did you watch the game? Had a great chance to end it in overtime, buddy, uh, I forget who it was , uh, broke his stick on a wide open net. Uh, so I thought, oh, there's my luck. Uh, they're not gonna lose this game, but they did end up winning, uh, in a shootout against the Winnipeg Jets. So that was a winner for us. Uh, the Anaheim Ducks, uh, might have been the worst loss I've had so far in the show. Touchdown. You're right, yeah, touchdown to 0, 7-0. The Ducks lost to the Utah Mammoth. Uh, thankfully, uh, you know. You don't lose more money if the team you bet on, uh, gets blown out of the water. So, uh, a loss is a loss. It's the same no matter what. But yeah, 7-0. Uh, the Ducks lost the Hammond last night. Yikes. Uh, for basketball, we did hit Clemson plus 10.5 against Alabama. They're actually tied late in the game. They ended up losing by 6. That's good enough to cover the 10.5 point spread. Steven Adams looked great. He had 8 rebounds, I think with 10 minutes left in that game. Uh, only needed 1 more to cash it up plus 104, could not get that 9th rebound. Uh, so that was a close loss, but, uh, a loss nonetheless. So 2 and 2 on the night, slight loss to the juice, uh, so the slight loss of $2.41. I can tell you, I can handle a loss of $2.41. That brings our season to date record, uh, to still a profit of $140.40. 8 cents. Uh, the goal when we started the show in September was to get to the end of 2025 in the green. We're there right now, how many shows do we have left, like 20 shows left? Less, maybe 18 shows left, 17 shows left, we're there, uh, but, uh, knock on wood, I don't wanna jinx it, uh, heading into tonight, 4 plays. For tonight, uh, of course, we have Thursday Night Football, so 2 of them will be in the NFL and then I have 2 plays in the National Hockey League, cause that's the sport I've done well betting on the most. So let's start though in the NFL. I'm gonna take the Cowboys plus 3 minus 110. Now, normally, I would consider betting on the Lions because this is a perfect buy low spot on the Lions, sell a high spot on the Cowboys, but what have I been saying all week? If everything you do is wrong, the opposite. Must be right. So I will take the Cowboys here, and I do think there's plenty of reasons to like the Cowboys, especially the fact that they're getting 3 points. Uh, one of the main reasons being just how injured this Lions team is. Their secondary is completely decimated, and now they're missing their best receiver in Aman Raw Saint Brown. Their offense has already struggled at times this season, and now they're gonna be missing their star receiver. They're by far their number one primary target. That's gonna hurt them, uh, against the Cowboys' defense that has been much better. Uh, since the trade deadline, since they acquired the likes of Quinnin Williams from the Jets. So, uh, I will take the 3 points with the Cowboys in that one at -110. I'm also gonna take a little bit of a niche player prop here. I'm gonna go Cavante Turpin, uh, the Cowboys speedster. His longest reception over 11.5 yards at -128. Uh, this goes back to the fact that the Lions' secondary is. Extremely injured tonight. Uh, Terry and Arnold, Dan Jackson, Ennis Rakestraw Junior are all members of the secondary who are all on IR. Brian Branch is questionable. Kirby Joseph is out. Uh, so with their secondary being this banged up. That could lead to some matchup issues for the Lions, especially against the Cowboys speedster Cavonte Turpin. I think they might try to attack the safeties, which there's a good chance it'll be two backup safeties playing in the defensive backfield for the Lions. So I think the Cowboys target their speedster. I wouldn't be surprised if he hauls in a big catch right down the middle of the field. So I'll take Cavonte Turpin, longest reception over 11.5 yards at -128. Let's switch over to hockey. Uh, I'm gonna fade my Maple Leafs. Um, it's crazy that I moved to Toronto, uh, a few months ago, and I'm gonna go to a Raptors game before I even go to a Maple Leafs game cause this team is a disgrace. I don't wanna give the Maple Leafs any of my money to go watch a game. Uh, and I'm gonna bet against them tonight. They are in Carolina tonight against the Hurricanes. Not only am I gonna take the Hurricanes to win, I will take their puck line, which means they need to win by at least 2 goals. Uh, I'm just gonna list off really quick a couple of advanced metrics to show you just how bad the Maple Leafs are compared to the Hurricanes. Let's look at Corsi percentage, which is an advanced metric. Hurricanes, 1st in the NHL, Maple Leafs, 31st, 2nd last. Fenwick percentage, Hurricanes. First, Maple Leafs, 31st. Expected goal differential. Hurricanes, 2nd, Maple Leafs, 27th. The Maple Leafs are a disgrace to hockey, and the Hurricanes are everything the Maple Leafs are not. They play disciplined hockey, they play great in their own end, they can create high danger scoring chances, they get great goaltending. I think they will, uh, just completely destroy and steamroll the Maple Leafs tonight. I'll take the Hurricanes minus 1.5 on the puck line at plus 118. And then I will take the Minnesota Wild, uh, against the Flames minus 113. The Flames are the worst shooting team in the NHL. They have a shooting percentage of just 7.82%, which is 1.5% worse than the next worst shooting team. And now they have to take on a Minnesota Wild team, uh, who gets some fantastic goaltending, second-best team save percentage in the NHL. At 91.39%. Now, when I made this pick, the goaltending, uh, goaltender was not yet announced, uh, just gonna still not announced, but still, it doesn't really matter cause both goalies have been great. Uh, I either have Philip, uh, Gustafsson, uh, Gustafsson, uh, playing, who has an above 900 save percentage, or I'm hoping, uh, they start that rookie, uh, who's been unbelievable for them. Walstet, Jasper Walstead, who I talked about yesterday, uh, who already has like 4 shutouts and 9 starts to the season. They just shut out the Oilers a couple of nights ago. So, uh, I'm gonna back the Wild, uh, team with great goaltending against the worst shooting team in the NHL, Wild, -113 against the Calgary Flames. All right, let's take a look in the safe to get my $100 bill. Oh my God, it's $1000. No, just kidding, it's still, it's still $100. Still $100. Everyone relax. We have $100 to bet on tonight. Um, how do I want to divvy it up? Do I just stick with hockey as, as the bigger of the two bets? Is there one bet that you like the most of all of them? Let's get your opinion. Well, let's do a collab bet. Any of them. You don't love any of them. OK, well that doesn't help. Uh, alright then, if that's the case, maybe I'll just go back to the classics. Do we know if the Great Wall of Sweden is playing? Uh, do we know if he's in? We don't know. We, as, uh, as of my source right now, they have not announced their starting goalie. I think it's probable to be Gustafson. So not, not our Walte guy, not, not the Great Wall of Minnesota. Well, Gustafson, they're paying a ton of money too, so like he's their starter, and he has played well, um, so you don't really want to yank him and make him the backup for a rookie just after a hot start, I mean, if he keeps getting shutouts, they're eventually gonna have to make the movement, but they're gonna continue to start Gustafson. Let's fade the Leafs then. OK, so, I like that. Fade the Leafs, bet the Habs last night, fade the Leafs tonight. What a world this is that I've been doing this. Ah, I'm a bad fan. All right, I do wanna make one play more than the rest, so yeah, I'm gonna. Make the Hurricanes to cover on the puck line, $40 minus 1.5 plus $118 that's $20 on the other 3 plays, $20 in the wild, $20 in Cafante Turpin. Longest reception over 11.5 yards, and $20 in Cowboys plus 3. Those are my best bets for tonight. This has been Playing It Safe, presented by FanDuel Sportsbook. Stick around, cause we still gotta take the next step on the parlay peak. We need a four-leg parlay for tonight. We were so unbelievably close to taking the next step on the parlay peak last night. Still only 2-leg, 3-leg. Last night we had a 4-leg. Josh Hart got his rebounds. Jamal Murray cruised past his points. He had like 50 points last night. 52. Uh, Alex Ovechkin got, got, uh, scored the first goal of the game. That was easy. All we needed was Cuttergachier of the Ducks to get 3 shots on goal. That's it. Wasn't supposed to be that hard. Finished with 2. One shot short of hitting the four-leg parlay. Unfortunately, close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades, it does not count when it comes to parlays. So we move on to tonight as I try to get a four-leg parlay. We have primetime football to bet on, so I will do a four-leg, same game parlay for tonight. Uh, and don't worry, uh, tonight's parlay is gonna be shown on, uh, a graphic as well, cause nobody can read my handwriting. I'm still gonna write though, uh, just. For funsies. Uh, so we're gonna start with the Cowboys, uh, I already like them plus 3, as you know, uh, but I'm going to buy a few points here. We're gonna go Cowboys plus 6.5. I wanted to get the touchdown, but the touchdown was like -300 odds, we gotta stick to -250 or longer. So that's a -210. Uh, I'm also gonna take the under, but we're gonna buy some points on the under as well. We're gonna tease that all the way up to 59.5. Might be a high scoring game, but getting to 60 points seems like a lot even for these two teams. That's at -230. We're also gonna take Dak, who is the favorite right now to win Comeback Player of the Year. He's in the mix and it kind of the conversation for MVPs, 3rd on the odds list to win MVP. 250+ passing yards for Dak Prescott against this banged up Lions second. that's at -188. Uh, and then finally, uh, Jamir Gibbs, uh, with no Aman Rass Saint Brown, I think they're gonna try to get Jamir Gibbs the ball more as a receiver in this game and maybe let David Montgomery take over a little bit more of the rushing, uh, role in that offense. So Jamir Gibbs, uh, 30+ receiving yards, 30+ not rushing, 30+ rece. yards. All right, that comes out 2 plus 4:30 for a Thursday night, 4 leg, same game parlay. Don't worry, you don't have to read my writing. I think there's a graphic down below. Ironically, this is like . Some of your better handwriting. Yeah, well, yeah, it's not bad. I, I, I'm starting to write a little bit, uh, shorter words. Three of those words are are kind of legible. Yeah, that one, that one's tough, the receiving yards, but, uh, regardless, plus 4:30 parlay for tonight, let's please, please, please take the next step. On the parley peak. Thank you for tuning in to today's episode of Making Moves with Mac presented by FanDuel. Before we wrap things up, just a quick programming note, uh, tomorrow, Friday, we will not be airing at our normal time. SITV will be showing the WDF World Darts Championship, uh, with it, which is awesome. We're huge darts fans on making moves with Max. So the air, the show will air, uh, tomorrow night, so you'll still be able to find it. I'll be giving you all my best bets for Saturday and Sunday football action, both college football and in the NFL, but, uh, the normal airing time you will see WDF World Darts Championships. So maybe you can find some odds on that, uh, but as we wrap things up, Scotty, how about a little bet between me and you? Let's have a little darts to celebrate SITV showing some darts action. All right, let's do a bet. Uh, for tomorrow's show, uh, you say a number, if I hit it, I get an extra $20 a bet with tomorrow. Uh. Uh. 1818, top right, no, no, no, 55. Tomorrow is December 5th. Tomorrow is December 5th, all right, I like it. 5 alive. Do I get triple and double if I hit triple or double? Yes, OK, deal. No. 14 double. Oh well, there's the show. Thank you all for tuning in. We'll see you all tomorrow night.