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How the Brewers Are Preventing Late-Inning Comebacks

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed just one run from the seventh inning onward in their eight postseason games.
Brewers pitcher Aaron Ashby has allowed just four hits and three walks with 11 strikeouts in 12 1/3 postseason innings.
Brewers pitcher Aaron Ashby has allowed just four hits and three walks with 11 strikeouts in 12 1/3 postseason innings. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

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This article is a part of Verducci’s View, a weekly baseball newsletter from Sports Illustrated senior writer Tom Verducci. Every Monday, Tom empties out his notebook over email and covers MLB’s hottest topics, provides in-depth analysis through both text and video breakdowns, looks forward to what’s worth watching during the week and more.

Milwaukee owned the best staff in baseball during the season when it came to depressing slug. They throttled the Dodgers in the NLCS with four-seamers in the rotation and sinkers in the bullpen.

The Brewers have thrown 432 consecutive sinkers without allowing a home run (since Sept. 25).

Highest Sinker Use in LCS, 2008-26

Team

Sinker Use in LCS

1. 2026 Brewers

33.5%

2. 2015 Mets

33.0%

3. 2015 Cubs

32.8%

4. 2015 Royals

32.1%

The Brewers keep the ball in the park late, squelching quick comebacks. They have allowed no home runs and one run after the sixth inning this postseason by leaning on power sinkers:

Brewers Pitching Innings 7-8-9, Postseason

AB

Hits

BA

HR

Runs

Sinker Pct.

77

10

.130

0

1

44%

Aaron Ashby is a big part of how Milwaukee stifles offense late. Roberts made a mistake in not chasing a two-run deficit in Game 3, though in fairness to him, the Brewers’ bullpen has been so good that chasing a deficit seemed unwise. But by turning the game over to Roki Sasaki and Jason Wrobleski rather than his high-leverage relievers, Roberts missed a chance to force Milwaukee manager Pat Murphy to use Ashby.

The lefthander had been throwing in the Milwaukee bullpen, but when Milwaukee added tack-on runs, he sat down. That enabled Murphy to use a fresh Ashby to close Game 4 by getting nine outs. Ashby joined Lance McCullers (2017) and Vida Blue (1972) as the only pitchers with a three-inning save to clinch the pennant.

The Dodgers went 0-for-7 against his breaking pitches in the NLCS. 

“They chased Ashby’s curveball,” Murphy said. “That was key.”

While the Brewers’ sinkers limited late slug, the staff’s breaking pitches flummoxed Los Angeles even more. The Dodgers went 3-for-41 against Milwaukee’s spin, including 0-for-17 against lefthanded relievers Ashby, JoJo Romero and DL Hall.

With elite velocity and spin, the Brewers did a great job of keeping Los Angeles off balance back to front. The Dodgers hit only mid-range velocity pitches.

Brewers Pitching by Velocity, NLCS

Velocity

Pct.

BA

SLG

80–89

33%

.047

.047

90–95

27%

.316

.447

96+

40%

.209

.279


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Tom Verducci
TOM VERDUCCI

Tom Verducci is a senior writer for Sports Illustrated who has covered Major League Baseball since 1981. He also serves as an analyst for FOX Sports and the MLB Network; is a New York Times best-selling author; and cohosts The Book of Joe podcast with Joe Maddon. A five-time Emmy Award winner across three categories (studio analyst, reporter, short form writing) and nominated in a fourth (game analyst), he is a three-time National Sportswriter of the Year winner, two-time National Magazine Award finalist, and a Penn State Distinguished Alumnus Award recipient. Verducci is a member of the National Sports Media Hall of Fame, Baseball Writers Association of America (including past New York chapter chairman) and a Baseball Hall of Fame voter since 1993. He also is the only writer to be a game analyst for World Series telecasts. He lives in New Jersey with his wife, with whom he has two children.