Inside The Heat

Popular predictive market has Miami Heat as top two landing spot for Giannis

People are putting their money on South Florida as Giannis' next home.
Apr 5, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA;  Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) drives to the basket as Miami Heat guard Davion Mitchell (45) and center Bam Adebayo (13) defend during the second half at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images
Apr 5, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA; Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) drives to the basket as Miami Heat guard Davion Mitchell (45) and center Bam Adebayo (13) defend during the second half at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images | Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

Ever since ESPN's reports last week, the Miami Heat have been thrown multiple times into the discussion surrounding Giannis Antetokounmpo and where he will eventually land if/when him and the Milwaukee Bucks part ways.

Along with the insiders mentioned above, longtime reporter Howard Beck also made some news yesterday when he told Zach Lowe that Antetokounmpo would "really love to land in" Miami "if not in New York."

With the Heat being the team most frequently mentioned alongside the New York Knicks as teams with mutual interest, it seems the public is starting to wager on the possibility.

On Kalshi, a peer-to-peer predictive market, the Heat are listed just behind the Knicks as the team people are putting their money on to be Antetokounmpo's next team, (and the possibility that he ends up staying in Milwaukee).

A multitude of other teams can theoretically offer trade offers with higher-quality draft picks and young players than the Heat. However, there are questions on what type of offers that teams with valuable draft picks and blue-chip players like the San Antonio Spurs and Atlanta Hawks would be willing to offer, and whether or not the Oklahoma City Thunder are even interested.

The Heat, if assuming Bam Adebayo wouldn't be a part of those conversations, could offer a package with two first round picks, (perhaps unprotected or lightly-protected), multiple first round pick swaps, intriguing young players like Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Kasparas Jakucionis, as well as Tyler Herro and Andrew Wiggins.

Meanwhile, the Bucks after getting another evaluation period from their star, have lost 10 of their past 13 games and are now 10-16 overall. Without the two-time MVP, they've won just two of nine, and are one game over .500 with him on the floor.


MORE MIAMI HEAT STORIES

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Longtime NBA insider heard that Giannis "would really love to land" in Miami

Why the Miami Heat were, once again, not able to overcome the Orlando Magic

How the Miami Heat can get in the game for Giannis Antetokounmpo

How the Miami Heat have graded through the first 25 games


For more Miami Heat information and conversation, check out Off The Floor.


Alexander Toledo is a contributor to Miami Heat On SI and producer/co-host of the Five on the Floor podcast, covering the Heat and NBA. He can be reached at Twitter: @tropicalblanket


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Alex Toledo
ALEX TOLEDO

Alex, who was born in Miami, is also a producer, co-host and reporter for the Five on the Floor podcast. He has covered the Heat and NBA since 2019 as a season credential holder. He studied journalism at Florida International University.