Bortles's pass attempts may drop as a result of a bolstered Jags defense.
Bortles put together a monster fantasy season in his second year in the league, finishing fourth among quarterbacks in total points and fifth in points per game in standard-scoring formats. Of all the players on this list, though, he might be the one most likely to fall outside of the top 10 by the time draft season rolls around. Bortles threw 606 passes last year, the sixth most in the NFL. 10 quarterbacks attempted at least 570 passes in 2015, with Brady’s Patriots and Rodgers’s Packers the only teams among them that made the playoffs. The Jaguars took a few necessary steps toward getting back to the postseason for the first time since ‘07, adding cornerback Jalen Ramsey and linebacker Myles Jack with their first two picks. They, along with last year’s first-round selection Dante Fowler, should improve a defense that was ideally terrible for Bortles owners. The team also added Chris Ivory in free agency, pairing him with T.J. Yeldon to beef up the run game. Bortles has an enviable stable of weapons in Allen Robinson, Allen Hurns and Julius Thomas, but he could throw 100 fewer passes this year. He grades as QB1 for now, but it’s no slam dunk.