- Blake Bortles, Joe Flacco and Jay Cutler may be the least confidence-inspring trio of quarterbacks in the fantasy football world, but there's reason to believe in all of them this week.
Week 10’s stream produced a shining star at quarterback and tight end. C.J. Beathard was the fourth-highest scoring quarterback with 25.02 fantasy points, and his teammate Garrett Celek’s 12.7 points in standard-scoring leagues were good for second among tight ends. Week 11 brings the end of bye weeks, with just four teams resting up before the final push of the NFL regular season. As fantasy owners, we should be preparing for our own playoff runs, rostering the players necessary to elevate our teams from the bubble, or gathering depth for teams already on track for a playoff berth.
For streaming purposes, 4for4’s Schedule-Adjusted Fantasy Points Allowed (aFPA) is a metric we rely on heavily to determine weekly matchup strength. As the season progresses and more data is available, aFPA becomes more and more reliable, using rolling 10-week data. Targets and efficiency metrics are also considered when coming up with weekly streamers.
To provide advice that you can actually use, candidates for streaming must be available in at least 50% of Yahoo fantasy leagues.
Blake Bortles, Jaguars at Browns (34% owned)
While it didn’t look too pretty in real life thanks to two fourth quarter interceptions, Bortles’s Week 10 performance was decent in the fantasy realm. He threw for 273 passing yards on a season-high 51 attempts, and added another five rushes for 34 yards.
We may see another spike in Bortles’s passing attempts in Cleveland, as the Browns run defense is much tougher than their secondary, ranking 19th in running back aFPA, and dead last in quarterback aFPA. This matchup sets up favorably for the Jaguars passing game.
Joe Flacco, Ravens at Packers (12% owned)
Here’s another one in the not-so-sexy column. Still, Flacco could certainly provide enough fantasy points to help get teams off the playoff bubble. In his last start but before the Ravens Week 10 bye, he posted 261 passing yards and two touchdowns, translating to 18.44 fantasy points. He did throw a couple of picks to bring his total down a few points, but it was still one of his best performances of the season.
Green Bay has had its share of struggles this season, allowing the last three quarterbacks they’ve faced to throw for a combined 989 yards and four touchdowns. Danny Woodhead has the potential to return in Week 11, which could provide a spark and a new look to Baltimore’s offensive scheme.
Jay Cutler, Dolphins vs. Buccaneers (19% owned)
Three’s a charm in uninspiring quarterbacks this week, as Cutler rounds out the streaming trio. Despite a beat down by the Panthers on Monday night, the Miami signal caller managed to put up serviceable numbers, throwing for 213 yards and two touchdowns.
Week 11 brings a much better matchup, with the Buccaneers ranked 25th in quarterback aFPA. Cutler has the weaponry to pick apart the Buccaneers, with a healthy Devante Parker, Jarvis Landry and the new running back tandem of Kenyan Drake and Damien Williams catching balls out of the backfield. In Cutler’s past two contests, he was able to spread targets around the offense, with seven different players getting some love. The potential is there for a solid fantasy performance on Miami’s home turf Sunday afternoon.
Martellus Bennett, Patriots vs. Raiders (Mexico City) (34% owned)
This week’s roster lottery winner is tight end Martellus Bennett. The circumstances of Bennett getting cut by the Packers because of “failure to disclose” an injury, then landing with the Patriots and playing days later are curious, but that’s not germane to our discussion. He caught three passes for 38 yards in that game, carving out a role alongside Rob Gronkowski and Dwayne Allen.
This week, New England heads to Mexico City for an AFC showdown with the Raiders. Oakland has allowed some big games to tight ends this season, including 20.4 PPR points to Julius Thomas in Week 9 and a pair of 13-point performances from Travis Kelce (Week 7) and Hunter Henry (Week 6). Bennett has to share the stage with one big tight end, but has the potential to sneak in a solid point total this week.
Jermaine Gresham, Cardinals at Texans (4% owned)
The Cardinals tight end has reached the end zone in two straight games, and had a season-high five receptions for 64 yards in Week 10. Arizona gets a Texans defense in Week 11 that’s ranked 21st in tight end aFPA. Gresham has seen an uptick in targets with Drew Stanton under center, and that should continue, even if Stanton gives way to Blaine Gabbert this week..
Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars at Browns (3% owned)
Lewis has popped up on the fantasy radar with a couple of relevant games this season, and he has the right matchup to do so again this week. The Browns rank 32nd in tight end aFPA, allowing a schedule-adjusted 19.1 PPR points per week to the position. The Browns have given up seven touchdowns to tight ends this season, including two-score performances by Tyler Kroft in Week 4 and Jesse James in Week 1.
Cincinnati Bengals, at Broncos (29% owned)
Denver’s offense has been anemic this season, ranking 23rd in net total yards. In a shock to precisely no one, Brock Osweiler has not turned it around. Since taking over the starting quarterback duties in Week 9, he has thrown just two touchdowns against three interceptions. The Broncos have allowed the most schedule-adjusted points to fantasy defenses this year, surrendering 14.7 fantasy points weekly.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Bills (9% owned)
Buffalo is coming off two straight losses, faces a cross-country road trip in Week 11, and will be turning to Nathan Peterman for his first career start. All that, combined with Joey Bosa, makes the Chargers defense worth streaming. Bosa currently boasts the fifth-highest sack total in the NFL with 9.5, and Melvin Ingram is right behind him with 8.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Ravens (39% owned)
The Packers defense ranks 24th in fantasy points, but this matchup is too good to ignore. The Ravens rank 30th in total offense this year, with just the Dolphins and Bengals posting fewer net yards. Even with Danny Woodhead expect back, there is a noted lack of playmakers in the Baltimore offense. This should be another good game for a defense coming off a strong performance against the Bears last week.