Possible Bears passing stat fails to impress numbers guy Ben Johnson

In this story:
Ben Johnson was a math and computer student in college, so arguing with him about numbers is pointless.
Anyone worried about Caleb William throwing for 270 passing yards against Detroit Sunday to become the first Bears quarterback to reach 4,000 yards in a season will probably be terribly disappointed by what Johnson said Wednesday at Halas Hall.
Williams is 109 yards from breaking the Bears' franchise record of 3,838. Hitting that 4,000-yard mark is apparently a big thing for numbers geeks and people without lives, but not Johnson.
"I think it's an arbitrary number," Johnson said.
Once Johnson had been reminded of the Bears' history as the NFL's only franchise without a 4,000-yard passer, he didn't exactly alter his stance.
"OK. There are probably some who don’t have a 5,000-yard passer. Right?" Johnson said. "So. It’s just a number."
Told it was a big thing to some people, Johnson added, "Apparently it is. Apparently it is."
Caleb Williams when Ben Johnson allows him to throw the ball pic.twitter.com/7nr5ILnyfu
— Nate Roper (@NateRoper_) December 21, 2025
He's obviously not one.
"Critical factor for me really comes down to turnovers, takeaways," Johnson said. "I think critical downs—so I’m talking third down, fourth down, red zone plays a little part of it. I think those are probably the biggest ones I look at.
"There are games this year when we’ve had great time of possession. There have been other games where we haven’t. I don’t know how much (4,000 yards is involved) with winning to be honest with you. Yeah, I think those are the two things that stand out to me first on the stat sheet."
It's somewhat ironic because it was Johnson who said prior to his first season as Bears coach that the metric expected-points added was the most important determiner in victories instead of turnovers.
Sam Darnold has A LOT on the line this week:
— DraftKings (@DraftKings) December 30, 2025
💰 100 Passer Rating for $500k (99.2)
💰 28 Passing TDs for $500k (25)
💰 4000 Passing Yards for $500k (3850)
💰 67.5% Completion Rate for $500k (67.2%)
And the Seahawks clinch the #1 seed with a win 😳 pic.twitter.com/MfrEJCDXo1
A season with this team has shown him otherwise, as the Bears lead the NFL in takeaways and in fewest turnovers.
Williams wasn't going to take an entirely different path from his coach at this point in the season regarding 4,000 yards. They are, after all, only one game from preparations for the team's first playoff game since 2020.
"In a hundred or however many years, it has never been done, so it symbolizes something," Williams said.
📬Will Caleb Williams hit the 4,000-yard plateau? (Spoiler: He's got a heck of a chance)
— Brad Biggs (@BradBiggs) December 31, 2025
📬4 targets with 600+ receiving yards rare?
📬How can the defense tighten up?
📬Playing time for D-Jack?
📬Lack of runs at SF?
Plus much more in #Bears Mailbag.https://t.co/DRuCjPlFYT
The Bears explained why there have been none to Williams when he came to Chicago.
The explanation didn't included the simple and most honest one—that they didn't have quarterbacks good enough to do it.
"I don’t exactly remember what they told me or what the answer was, but a lot of it comes from the weather and all these different things," Williams said. "And kind of how Chicago has been with running the ball and all these different things.
"I think they ended up choosing right. I have a strong enough arm to cut through the wind, and I’ve been blessed with that."
"Coaching matters and you can't say enough about Ben Johnson. You can see the rise of Caleb Williams."@HermEdwards on Caleb Williams this season pic.twitter.com/Ccszdwmlg1
— Clinton & Friends (@ClintonNFriends) December 23, 2025
It's just not going to be an arm good enough to crack 4,000 yards this year unless he throws for 270 yards, and that's usually a big chunk of passing yards to ask for from most teams, particularly one as reliant on the running game as the Bears.
Detroit's defense hadn't allowed 270 passing yards all year until Jameis Winston threw for 366 against them on Nov. 23. Then, in the next three games, Dak Prescott and Matthew Stafford did it against them. So it is possible.
Last week the Lions allowed 3 passing yards to the Vikings and lost the game, as they were eliminated in the playoff chase. That's right, 3 passing yards.
Caleb Williams has a shot to throw for 4,000 yards this season and to become the franchise's first player to reach that milestone.
— Nicholas Moreano (@NicholasMoreano) December 31, 2025
Ben Johnson should absolutely go for it against the Lions. https://t.co/Xdvvk7IbgK
Nevertheless, it's a mathematical possibility and Johnson the math guy couldn't debate this.
"If it were to happen that’d be great," Johnson said. "But he (Williams) would agree with me when I say that our No. 1 objective is to win this ballgame. Whatever that takes, that’s our goal.
"We’ll see where it’s at at the end of the year. That’s a tertiary goal, if you will."
Bears HC Ben Johnson is asked about incentives to push Caleb Williams to 4,000 Passing Yards in Season Finale vs. Lions pic.twitter.com/iwVafZGDaO
— 🐻⬇️ Captain Caleb (@captaincaleb18) December 31, 2025
More Chicago Bears News
Sign Up For the Bears Daily Digest - OnSI’s Free Chicago Bears Newsletter
X: BearsOnSI

Gene Chamberlain has covered the Chicago Bears full time as a beat writer since 1994 and prior to this on a part-time basis for 10 years. He covered the Bears as a beat writer for Suburban Chicago Newspapers, the Daily Southtown, Copley News Service and has been a contributor for the Daily Herald, the Associated Press, Bear Report, CBS Sports.com and The Sporting News. He also has worked a prep sports writer for Tribune Newspapers and Sun-Times newspapers.