Arrowhead Report

Assessing Levels of Risk at Each Position Linked to Chiefs’ First-Round Selection

Kansas City has a plethora of options with its first-round pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
Feb 11, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach arrives before Super Bowl LVIII against the San Francisco 49ers at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Feb 11, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Kansas City Chiefs general manager Brett Veach arrives before Super Bowl LVIII against the San Francisco 49ers at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports | Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

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The 2026 NFL Draft is the most pivotal one in the Patrick Mahomes era, as the Kansas City Chiefs' 2025 season exposed several glaring issues across the roster. Additionally, since the Chiefs have been perennial Super Bowl Contenders since 2018, there is increased pressure to assemble a strong draft class that will keep Kansas City on that track moving forward.

With the No. 9 pick in the upcoming draft, the Chiefs have an incredible opportunity to land a cornerstone player, but that is not a foregone conclusion, as specific prospects could be off the board by the time Kansas City is on the clock.

With all of that being said, we are going to rank the positions linked with the Chiefs' first-round pick, from highest risk to lowest risk.

1. Wide Receiver

Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Carnell Tate (17) runs past Michigan Wolverines defensive back Caleb Anderson (13) and defensive end T.J. Guy (4) during the NCAA football game at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Mich. on Nov. 29, 2025. Ohio State won 27-9. | Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

This year's wide receiver class is polarizing because Carnell Tate, who could be selected within the top five, is the safest player at the position. However, Jordyn Tyson's ceiling is astronomically high, but injuries have followed him throughout his career. USC receiver Makai Lemon is another intriguing option, but he is undersized, and the Chiefs have a rough history when drafting smaller receivers with top-end speed.

If Tate is available, this becomes a much easier discussion for Kansas City's front office, but the odds are that the Ohio State product will be gone before the Chiefs' selection.

2. Offensive Line

Dec 31, 2025; Arlington, TX, USA; Miami Hurricanes offensive lineman Francis Mauigoa (61) gets into position during the 2025 Cotton Bowl and quarterfinal game of the College Football Playoff at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images | Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

Quite frankly, Kansas City should not consider drafting a right tackle inside the top 10, but it could be under consideration for the team. Francis Mauigoa and Spence Fano are the two best offensive linemen in this year's class, and both could be off the board well before the Chiefs are up.

This level of risk has more to do with what Kansas City would be passing up for a position that is not as dire straits as others on the roster.

3. Pass Rusher

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Miami Hurricanes defensive lineman Rueben Bain Jr. (4) against the Mississippi Rebels during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

This should be at the top of the Chiefs' "Wishlist", as the pass rush left much to be desired last season. Since Arvell Reese will presumably be one of the first players taken off the board, that leaves Rueben Bain Jr. and David Bailey as the most realistic options at edge rusher.

There are risks with both players for different reasons, but regardless, Kansas City would be ecstatic if either one is available at No. 9.

4. Running Back

Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love (4) celebrates after getting a first down in the first half of a NCAA football game against Southern California at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 18, 2025, in South Bend. | MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

In general, drafting a running back inside the top 10 is a risky practice, but Jeremiyah Love is arguably the best overall prospect in the 2026 draft. Not only that, but the Notre Dame product is the clear-cut RB1 in this class, and it is not particularly close.

If the Chiefs do no not address running back in free agency, and Love is available when they are on the clock, it could be a foregone conclusion that Kansas City will be taking Love, regardless of the other obvious needs on the roster.

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