How Our Bold Chiefs Predictions Have Held Up

Before the season began, the Chiefs Kingdom knew that the 2025 schedule would be filled with difficult opponents. When the schedule got released, Kansas City Chiefs On SI created a game-by-game prediction on how we believed the season would pan out.

Entering Week 15, the Chiefs hold a 6-7 record, which didn't seem to be on anyone's bingo card for how the season would pan out. When looking back at the predictions game by game, let's see how accurate we were, along with what actually happened each week up to this point in the season.

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Week 1 vs Los Angeles Chargers

Prediction: Chiefs Win, 1-0

Result: Chiefs lost the season opener in Sao Paulo, Brazil to the Chargers, 27-21.

[US, Mexico & Canada customers only] Sep 5, 2025; Sao Paulo, BRAZIL; Los Angeles Chargers wide receiver Quentin Johnston (1) runs against Kansas City Chiefs safety Jaden Hicks (21) before scoring a touchdown in the second half during a NFL game at Corinthians Arena. Mandatory Credit: Amanda Perobelli/Reuters via Imagn Images | Amanda Perobelli/Reuters via Imagn Images

The Chiefs didn't get their season off on the right foot, despite the prediction being more optimistic. They have a chance for revenge this Sunday as they host their AFC West divisional foe in a Week 15 battle.

Week 2 vs Philadelphia Eagles

Prediction: Chiefs lose, 1-1

Result: Chiefs lose 20-17

Sep 14, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Eagles fans look on after the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images | Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

The Super Bowl LIX rematch seemed hard to believe for the Chiefs to win, even when the schedule came out. The result and prediction matched up, as the Chiefs fell short to the reigning Super Bowl champions. However, in the prediction, the record would've been even at 1-1, when in reality, they fell to 0-2.

Week 3 vs New York Giants

Prediction: Chiefs win, 2-1

Result: Chiefs win, 1-2.

Sep 21, 2025; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyquan Thornton (80) celebrates with tight end Travis Kelce (87) and wide receiver Juju Smith-Schuster (9) after a reception against the New York Giants in the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images | Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Back-to-back predictions panned out for us, but the Chiefs gaining their first win in Week 3 wasn't what was supposed to happen. Reality has a fun way of bringing things into perspective, as the Chiefs began to ramp up.

Week 4 vs Baltimore Ravens

Prediction: Chiefs Win (3-1)

Result: Chiefs Win (2-2)

Sep 28, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews (89) and Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) greet each other on the field after the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

Weeks 3 and 4 looked like the Chiefs of 2024, as they were able to climb back into the standings and bring themselves to a .500 record through four weeks. However, in the prediction, though it was correct, the Chiefs would have had a better record.

Week 5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction: Chiefs Win (4-1)

Result: Chiefs Lose (2-3)

Jacksonville Jaguars safety Antonio Johnson (26) tries to punch the ball out as he tackles Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyquan Thornton (80) during the first quarter of an NFL football matchup at EverBank Stadium, Monday, Oct. 6, 2025, in Jacksonville, Fla. The Jacksonville Jaguars edged the Kansas City Chiefs 31-28. [Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union] | Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Originally, the thought was that the Chiefs would take advantage of a rebuilding/retooling Jaguars team in Week 5, but it was quite the contrary. The Jaguars earned the win and pushed the Chiefs back under .500 through five weeks, despite a more optimistic outlook in the predictions.

Week 6 vs Detroit Lions

Prediction: Chiefs Lose (4-2)

Result: Chiefs Win (3-3)

Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell, right, shakes hands with Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid after 30-17 loss at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri on Sunday, Oct. 12, 2025. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The Detroit Lions fell short to the Chiefs at Arrowhead, as many thought this would be a game that would get the Chiefs back in the swing of things. As weeks rolled on, the predictions became more and more skewed with the product on the field.

Week 7 vs Las Vegas Raiders

Prediction: Chiefs Win (5-2)

Result: Chiefs Win (4-3)

Oct 19, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs defensive back Chamarri Conner (27) tackles Las Vegas Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty (2) during the third quarter of the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

This one was pretty spot on, as the Chiefs destroyed the Raiders in a 38-0 shutout.

Week 8 vs Washington Commanders

Prediction: Chiefs Win (6-2)

Result: Chiefs Win (5-3)

Oct 27, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs safety Bryan Cook (6) tackles Washington Commanders running back Jeremy McNichols (26) during the third quarter of the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

The Chiefs strung together two wins to create some breathing room in their overall record, but things took a turn after these winning ways, which was not predicted, obviously.

Week 9 vs Buffalo Bills

Prediction: Chiefs Lose (6-3)

Result: Chiefs Lose (5-4)

Buffalo Bills defensive end Joey Bosa sacks Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes with linebacker Terrel Bernard coming in to help during first half action against the Kansas City Chiefs at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park on Nov. 2, 2025. | Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The regular season narrative of the Bills beating the Chiefs was predicted and came true in Week 9.

Week 11 vs Denver Broncos

Prediction: Chiefs Win (7-3)

Result: Chiefs Lose (5-5)

Nov 16, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Broncos cornerback Ja'Quan McMillian (29) sacks Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) in the fourth quarter at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Two straight losses to the Bills and Broncos weren't on the prediction slate, but it became a reality that the Chiefs had to struggle with, as they fell back to a .500 record.

Week 12 vs Indianapolis Colts

Prediction: Chiefs Win (8-3)

Result: Chiefs Win (6-5)

Nov 23, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones (17) and Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) meet on field after the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images | Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

The Colts surprised everyone this season by performing well above what was expected, but at the end of the day, the prediction rang true, as the Chiefs landed the victory. The prediction thus far into the season, however, had the Chiefs having more wiggle room than what was reality.

Week 13 vs Dallas Cowboys

Prediction: Chiefs Win (9-3)

Result: Chiefs Lose (6-6)

Nov 27, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) and Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) greet each other after the game at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images | Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

As we near what has become reality, the predictions saw the Chiefs in a better light than what has unfolded this season.

Week 14 vs Houston Texans

Prediction: Chiefs Win (10-3)

Result: Chiefs Lose (6-7)

Dec 7, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) and Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones (95) greet each other after the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

Which brings us to today, as the Chiefs predictions from this offseason couldn't be more off. You win some you lose some in these predictions. But in reality, the Chiefs still have a chance at making the playoffs, but the chances are slim.

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