Where the Vikings stand in the NFC North, playoff picture after loss to Ravens

Minnesota's season is back on the brink following a bad loss at home to Baltimore

Nov 9, 2025; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings fans look on late during the fourth quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images | Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images

The Vikings' playoff hopes took a hit following Sunday's 27-19 loss to the Ravens at U.S. Bank Stadium. The loss is yet another dip in the roller coaster of a 2025 season for the Vikings and drops Minnesota back below .500 with seven games remaining.

The good news is that four of Minnesota's seven remaining games come against NFC North rivals. However, the bad news is that the Bears and Lions are both on six wins this season while the Packers face the Eagles on Monday Night Football to close out Week 10, and could be on six wins as well. Minnesota currently sits two to two-and-a-half games back of their division rivals.

Here's what the NFC North standings look like after of Monday night's Packers' loss to the Eagles:

1. Detroit Lions: 6-3 (1-2 vs. division)
2. Chicago Bears: 6-3 (0-2)
3. Green Bay Packers: 5-3-1 (1-0)
4. Minnesota Vikings: 4-5 (2-0)

Like the division race, the Vikings slipped a bit in the battle for a Wild Card spot, mainly because both the Bears and Packers occupy two of the three available spots. Like the NFC North, the NFC West is ultra-competitive at the top and has an impact on the race for a Wild Card spot.

The Seahawks and Rams both claimed big division wins. Seattle's win boosts the Darnold-led team to the top of the NFC, while the Rams continued to solidify their grasp on the No. 5 seed. The Packers sit in the seventh and final playoff spot, with the 49ers (6-4), Panthers (5-5), and Vikings (4-5) on the outside looking in.

Minnesota's season has gone back to teetering on the edge of playoff irrelevance heading into a tricky home game against the Bears on Sunday. With another home loss for J.J. McCarthy in Week 11, the Vikings would slip at least three games back of the Bears. However, a win puts Minnesota right back to being one game behind Chicago.

The Athletic's playoff simulator dropped the Vikings' playoff chances from 20% last week to now just a measly 11% this week.

Looking forward down the schedule, the simulator lists the playoff percentages for the Vikings with a win or loss for the rest of the games this season. According to the projections, a win in Week 11 against the Bears only bumps Minnesota up to a 13% chance of making the playoffs, while a loss drops the Vikings chances to a paltry 3%.

The two most significant games remaining on the schedule are the Week 12 visit to Green Bay (a 21% chance of making the playoffs with a win) and the Week 13 game at Seattle (22%).

The remaining schedule

• Week 11 vs. (6-3) Bears
• Week 12 @ (5-2-1) Packers
• Week 13 @ (7-2) Seahawks
• Week 14 vs. (3-7) Commanders
• Week 15 @ (3-5-1) Cowboys - SNF
• Week 16 @ (2-8) Giants
• Week 17 vs. (6-3) Lions - Christmas Day
• Week 18 vs. (5-2-1) Packers

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