Big Ten vs SEC: Kalshi Weighs Who Will Win College Football National Championship

The college football season is one week away, and the National Championship markets are coming up on Kalshi’s college football market. The latest asks which conference wins the championship this season, and it's a tight race at the top between the Big Ten and SEC.

The Big Ten has a slight advantage at 39%, while the SEC sits at 38%. Kalshi grades the market based on the conference of the team that wins the National Championship. A
$10 trade profits $14.58 if the Big Ten wins and $15.21 if the SEC wins.

College football conference to win National Championship - Kalshi

Big Ten 39%
SEC 38%
Any other conference/Independent 12%
ACC 6%
Big 12 5%

Conference dominance

Since the start of the BCS era in 1998 and into the College Football Playoff era in 2014, the Big Ten and SEC have dominated in National Championships. In the 28 years since, the SEC has claimed 15 titles, with Alabama responsible for six of them. The conference as a whole, though, hasn't won a title since 2022, when Georgia went back-to-back.

Although the Big Ten has just five National Championships since 1998, three different conference teams have won the last three in Michigan, Ohio State and Indiana. Ohio State makes up the other two titles in 2002 and 2014.

A look at the board

As things sit, Kalshi’s National Championship board is pretty even, with Big Ten and SEC teams sitting towards the top.

National Championship winner - Kalshi

Notre Dame 13%
Ohio State 13%
Texas 12%
Oregon 11%
Georgia 10%
Indiana 9%
Miami 8%
LSU 6%
Alabama 4%
Texas Tech 4%
Texas A&M 4%

The Big Ten makes up three of the top-six strongest prices on the board, with Ohio State co-favorites to win with Notre Dame, Oregon, and Indiana, while the SEC features Texas and Georgia.

In two of the three games in which Big Ten and SEC teams will meet this season, early college football playoff implications are on the line. In Week 2, Ohio State plays at Texas, and Oklahoma travels to Michigan.

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