Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Premier League Table After Shock Liverpool, Chelsea Defeats

Saturday was a huge day in the race for Champions League qualification.

A miserable weekend for Liverpool. | Shaun Brooks/CameraSport/Getty Images

While the Premier League’s top two are off fighting for the Carabao Cup, those behind them have been trying to boost their chances of a top-four finish and sneaking into next season’s Champions League.

Manchester United got things underway on Friday, with both Liverpool and Chelsea in action on Saturday. None of the European hopefuls ended up winning.

United were held to a 2–2 draw with Bournemouth in controversial circumstances, before Liverpool fell 2–1 to Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea were humiliated by the blue side of Merseyside, coming away from the Hill Dickinson Stadium with a 3–0 defeat to Everton.

Here’s how the Opta supercomputer sees those results impacting the race for European qualification.

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Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Premier League Title Winner

Arsenal are in a strong position. | Vince Mignott/DeFodi Images/Getty Images

Position	Club	Current Points	Expected Points	Title Chances
1.	Arsenal	70	84.80	97.77%
2.	Man City	61	74.47	2.23%

The statisticians are still not looking past Arsenal to go on and win the title at the end of the season.

The Gunners hold a huge lead over Manchester City and will hope to deal a psychological blow to their title rivals in Sunday’s Carabao Cup final, which comes just three weeks before the two giants face off in a Premier League clash that could dictate the destination of the trophy.

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Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Champions League Race

Chelsea’s defeat could have serious consequences. | Robbie Jay Barratt/AMA/Getty Images

Position	Club	Current Points	Expected Points	Champions League Chances
3.	Man Utd	55	66.09	86.25%
4.	Aston Villa	51	64.13	66.68%
5.	Liverpool	49	60.53	27.33%
6.	Chelsea	48	58.63	13.39%
7.	Brentford	45	56.09	3.64%
8.	Everton	46	54.96	1.37%
9.	Newcastle	42	54.12	0.73%
10.	Brighton	43	53.48	0.53%

Man Utd’s slip-up against Bournemouth was tough to swallow for the Red Devils, but in the grand scheme of things, they still had a better weekend than both Liverpool and Chelsea. Michael Carrick’s side are still in an imposing position with seven games left to play.

Aston Villa are also heavy favorites to take the final spot in the top four, boosted by the struggles of the teams behind them. Unai Emery’s side may have dropped off in 2026 but they appear to have done most of the hard work early in the campaign.

Heading down to fifth, England’s strong UEFA coefficient is excellent news for Liverpool, who were not punished for their bleak defeat away at Brighton on Saturday. Arne Slot’s side should still have enough about them to squeeze into the Champions League.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are in freefall.

Liam Rosenior’s side have an incredibly tough run of fixtures ahead and face an uphill battle to even reach fifth, let alone the top four. The supercomputer sees the Blues in the Europa League next season.

Brentford, Everton, Newcastle United and Brighton are all locked in the battle for the Conference League as it stands.

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Supercomputer Predicts 2025–26 Relegation Battle

A nightmare season for Burnley is nearly over. | Izzy Poles/AMA/Getty Images

Position	Club	Current Points	Expected Points	Relegation Chances
16.	Tottenham	30	40.63	12.67%
17.	Nott’m Forest	29	38.58	32.11%
18.	West Ham	29	37.73	48.44%
19.	Burnley	20	26.34	99.90%
20.	Wolves	17	24.94	99.94%

Sunday’s meeting between Tottenham Hotspur and Nottingham Forest promises to be a fascinating one.

Both sides are tipped to survive the drop, but the loser of Sunday’s fixture will face a tough international break, left sweating over their fate in England’s top flight. West Ham United are backed to take the third and final relegation spot, just one point adrift from safety.

Burnley’s miserable defeat away at Fulham on Saturday has hardly changed anything down at the very bottom of the standings. The Clarets are resigned to relegation alongside Wolverhampton Wanderers, and the two sides are now in a race to avoid finishing last.

Given Wolves were on pace to record the single worst season in Premier League history before a drastic upturn in fortunes, Rob Edwards’s side will take that at this stage.

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