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49ers Super Bowl Odds Make Shocking Move Following Deebo Samuel Trade

The San Francisco 49ers' odds to win the Super Bowl next season have improved after the Deebo Samuel trade.
Wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr.
Wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. | Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images

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The San Francisco 49ers made a major trade on Saturday night, shipping out longtime receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. to the Washington Commanders for a fifth-round pick.

The move, which helps San Francisco's cap situation, was expected with the 49ers stating that they planned to move on from the former All-Pro this offseason. After investing $120 million into Brandon Aiyuk and a first-round pick into Ricky Pearsall last offseason, San Francisco needed to make a cut somewhere in its receiver room.

While the move seemingly weakens the San Francisco offense on paper, oddsmakers aren't seeing it that way. After opening at +1500 to win the Super Bowl in the 2025 season, the 49ers' odds to win it all have actually improved after trading away Samuel.

DraftKings Sportsbook now has San Francisco listed at +1400 to win it all in the 2025 campaign. It's possible that oddsmakers think the Samuel move will allow the 49ers to keep some more important players -- or bring in another difference maker -- but it also could be a reflection of replacing some subpar production from Samuel with a new face.

During the 2024 campaign, Samuel made 51 catches for 670 yards and three scores in 15 games. He also was a threat on the ground, carrying the ball 42 times for an additional 136 yards and one score. However, those numbers aren't great when compared to how much San Francisco was paying the star receiver, and it has capable replacements in Aiyuk, Pearsall and Jauan Jennings.

Moving on from Samuel also could make things easier on the 49ers when it comes to extending Brock Purdy, which may be another reason why oddsmakers are bullish on San Francisco's upside in the 2025 season.

It's interesting that the 49ers' odds improved after this trade since Washington's (+1900) remained the same at DraftKings.


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Peter Dewey
PETER DEWEY

Peter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.

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