Arch Manning Set as Massive Favorite to Go No. 1 in 2027 NFL Draft Odds

Texas quarterback Arch Manning might have been the No. 1 pick in this year’s draft if he left college early. Yes, even above Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza, who went No. 1 to the Las Vegas Raiders. Instead, Manning opted to stay in school for at least one more year.

Oddsmakers believe that’ll be that.

Manning is +150 at FanDuel Sportsbook to be the No. 1 pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, the favorite by a pretty wide margin. Still only a junior, Manning could opt to stay in school again, depending on what happens regarding performance and potential injury. Betting him in this market this early seems silly. Regardless, he’s the favorite.

Oregon quarterback Dante Moore is behind Manning at +550 odds at FD, Notre Dame quarterback CJ Carr is +600 and Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith is +650. Moore would have likely been the No. 2 pick in this year’s draft but opted to return to college instead.

While the 2026 NFL draft was weak from a quarterback standpoint, the 2027 draft could be one of the strongest in recent years. Besides Manning, Moore and Carr, Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin (+1000), South Carolina quarterback LaNorris Sellers (+1100), USC quarterback Jayden Maiava (+1800) and Duke quarterback Darian Mensah (+2000) are all among the Top 10 in odds to be the No. 1 pick.

This year only two quarterbacks were picked in the first round. Next year, a half dozen could go in Round 1.

That’s why you saw so many QB-needy teams opt against drafting a quarterback early this year. They didn’t want to allocate valuable draft capital on a position that could be filled with a higher upside prospect next year. After Mendoza and Ty Simpson were picked in Round 1, the next quarterback drafted was Cardon Beck in Round 3. Only four total quarterbacks were drafted in the first three rounds.

Here are the odds for who will be the No. 1 pick in next year’s draft from FanDuel.

2027 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds

Arch Manning +150
Dante Moore +550
CJ Carr +600
Jeremiah Smith +650
Julian Sayin +1000
LaNorris Sellers +1100
Jayden Maiava +1800
Colin Simmons +2000
Darian Mensah +2000
Drew Mestemaker +2000
Dylan Stewart +2200
Brendan Sorsby +3000
Josh Hoover +3500
DJ Lagway +4000
John Mateer +4000
Trinidad Chambliss +5000
Sam Leavitt +5500
Trevor Goosby +6000
Jordan Seaton +6000
Ryan Williams +6500
Eli Holstein +8000
Beau Pribula +8000
David Stone +8000
Jordan Ross +8000
Cam Coleman +8000
Byrum Brown +8000
Matayo Uiagalelei +8000
Jackson Arnold +8000
Nico Iamaleava+8000
Avery Johnson +8000
Aidan Chiles +10000
OJ Frederique Jr. +10000
A'Mauri Washington +10000
Leonard Moore +10000
Ashton Hampton +12500
Ellis Robinson IV +12500
Kade Pieper +12500
Sammy Brown +12500
Duce Robinson +12500
Justice Haynes +12500
Princewill Umanmielen +12500
LJ Martin +12500
Yhonzae Pierre +12500
Quincy Rhodes Jr. +12500
Mark Fletcher +12500

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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