Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev Prediction, Odds for Men’s Wimbledon Final

No man not named Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz had won a men's tennis Grand Slam since the 2023 U.S. Open until Alexander Zverev pulled it off at this year's French Open. Zverev managed to do it without having to face either Sinner or Alcaraz, but now, if he wants to win a second straight major tournament, he'll have to do it by beating Sinner in the Wimbledon Final on Sunday.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for Sunday's Grand Slam final.
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev Odds and Total
Moneyline
- Jannik Sinner -490 (83.05% implied probability)
- Alexander Zverev +365
Total
- 38.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev How to Watch
- Date: Sunday, July 12
- Time: 11:00 a.m. EST
- How to Watch (TV): ESPN
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: History and Wimbledon Performance
These two have faced each other 14 times before. Sinner is 10-4 in those matches, including winning nine straight. The most recent match was this year's ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Final, which Sinner won 61 62.
Jannik Sinner
Sinner is looking for his second straight Wimbledon title after defeating Alcaraz in last year's final. En route to the final this year, he defeated Miomir Kecmanović, Nuno Borges, Jenson Brooksby, Shintaro Mochizuki, Jan-Lennard Struff, and Novak Djokovic. The only two sets he has lost were against Kecmanović in the first round.
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon has historically been Zverev's worst major tournament. Entering this year, he had a win percentage of just 64% at this event, with his best finish being a fourth-round appearance. This year, his wins en route to the final have come against Alexander Blockx, Valentin Royer, Marcos Giron, Jiri Lehecka, Taylor Fritz, and Arthur Fery. He has lost just two sets all tournament, one to Blockx and one to Lehecka in the Round of 16.
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev Prediction and Best Bet
You're a brave soul if you're betting on Zverev to pull off the upset. The health questions surrounding Sinner after his first-round match have seemingly been answered, as he has played flawless tennis since then, and now he gets to face an opponent he has had plenty of success against in the past. Sinner defeated Zverev in straight sets in a Grand Slam already, doing so in the final of last year's Australian Open.
I'm also not ready to forget Zverev's history at this event. Sure, he has gone on a run in this year's tournament, largely against inferior opponents, but his career win rate of 64% at Wimbledon is concerning ahead of a match with Sinner.
I'll back Sinner to win this one in straight sets on Sunday.
Pick: Jannik Sinner Wins 3-0 (+140) via FanDuel
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Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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