Liberty vs. Fever Prediction, Odds, Best WNBA Prop Bet for Tuesday, Aug. 11

Don’t look now, but the New York Liberty are getting hot, winning four games in a row ahead of Tuesday’s clash with the Indiana Fever.

Indy is one of the best teams in the WNBA this season, ranking No. 1 in offensive rating and third in net rating. Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell have formed arguably the best guard duo in the league, and one of those stars is worth a look in the prop market on Tuesday night.

Meanwhile, the Liberty have yet to get healthy this season with Satou Sabally missing a ton of time after she signed with the team in free agency. She’s listed as out on Tuesday as she continues to work her way back from concussion protocol.

The Liberty have been up and down in 2026, but they are a team with championship experience and three elite players in Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu.

Oddsmakers have the Fever favored in this matchup, but New York has improved to 9-8 straight up on the road in 2026. Can it pull off an upset on Tuesday?

Let’s dive into the odds, a player prop to bet and my prediction for this Eastern Conference battle.

Liberty vs. Fever Odds, Spread and Total

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Spread

Liberty +4.5 (-115)
Fever -4.5 (-105)

Moneyline

Liberty: +142
Fever: -170

Total

191.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Liberty vs. Fever How to Watch

Date: Tuesday, Aug. 11
Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
How to Watch (TV): ESPN
Liberty record: 20-13
Fever record: 20-12

Liberty vs. Fever Injury Reports

Liberty Injury Report

Leonie Fiebich -- out
Satou Sabally -- out

Fever Injury Report

Caitlin Clark -- probable
Grace VanSlooten -- questionable

Liberty vs. Fever Best WNBA Prop Bets

Fever Best WNBA Prop Bet

Kelsey Mitchell OVER 2.5 3-Pointers Made (-174)

Earlier today, I shared in my WNBA Best Bets column – Peter’s Points – why I love this prop for Mitchell, who has been money from beyond the arc in 2026:

This season, Mitchell is shooting 43.5 percent from 3-point range, and she’s made at least three shots from beyond the arc in 20 of her 32 games.

The four-time All-Star has been even better as of late, knocking down three or more 3-pointers in 17 of her last 19 games while shooting over 49.0 percent from 3. She’s also averaging over 26 points per game during that stretch.

Over that 19-game period, Mitchell had a 4-for-6 game from beyond the arc against this Liberty team, which has struggled defending the 3-ball in 2026.

The Liberty are 11th in both opponent 3s made per game and opponent 3-point percentage.

Mitchell is averaging 2.9 made 3s on 6.7 attempts per game in 2026, and she’s a great bet to clear this number for the 18th time in 20 games.

Liberty vs. Fever Prediction and Pick

The Liberty have improved to over .500 on the road this season, but they’ve still covered the spread in just three of their 16 road games.

That makes this a tough matchup against an elite Indiana offense that handed New York a 20-point loss the last time they played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

The Liberty have moved up to fourth in the league in net rating thanks to their recent win streak, but they’re still behind the Fever, who have been even better at home 2026.

Indiana has a plus-9.4 net rating at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and it is an impressive 11-6 overall in those games. I lean with Indy to snap the New York winning streak on Tuesday night.

Pick: Fever Moneyline (-170 at DraftKings)

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Find Peter Dewey's WNBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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