NHL MVP Odds: Connor McDavid Favored to Win Fourth Hart Trophy

The 2026-27 NHL is set to begin on Tuesday night!

It's a wide-open season with plenty of teams hoping to become Stanley Cup contenders, and there's no shortage of storylines to keep track of. One thing that's constant compared to recent seasons is that Connor McDavid will once again enter the season as the betting favorite to win the Hart Trophy as the league's Most Valuable Player.

Let's take a look at the top 20 names on the odds list.

NHL Hart Trophy Odds

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Connor McDavid +250
Nathan MacKinnon +370
Macklin Celebrini +500
Leon Draisaitl +1100
Nikita Kucherov +1200
Kirill Kaprizov +1500
Auston Matthews +1800
David Pastrnak +2200
Jack Hughes +2500
Jack Eichel +3000
Mitchell Marner +3500
Cale Makar +4500
Nick Suzuki +5500
Tage Thompson +6500
Jason Robertson +6500
Mikko Rantanen +6500
Quinn Hughes +7500
Connor Bedard +8000
Cole Caufield +10000
Matthew Schaefer +12500

McDavid is set as the +250 betting favorite to win the Hart Trophy, an implied probability of 28.57%. It would be his fourth career Hart Trophy, having won it in 2016-17, 2020-21, and 2022-23.

Last year's winner, Nikita Kucherov, is fifth on the odds list at +1500. Four of the top five names on the odds list are previous winners. The name that sticks out as a new contender is Macklin Celebrini, who took a significant step forward in his second year in the league. He recorded 115 points with the Sharks last season, which was good for fourth in the league behind McDavid, Kucherov, and Nathan MacKinnon.

If he's able to improve on that performance and help lead the San Jose Sharks to the postseason, he'll be the frontrunner to win the award.

The top three goalies on the odds list to win the award are Andrei Vasilevskiy, Jeremy Swayman, and the 2024-25 winner, Connor Hellebuyck, all listed at 125-1.

At the end of the day, McDavid is the best hockey player in the world, and if the Mike Babcock hiring as head coach works out and if McDavid can remain healthy for all 82 games, it's going to take a herculean effort from any player to keep the Edmonton Oiler from winning his fourth career NHL MVP.

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