Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Tuesday, Aug. 11

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in the midst of a tight race for a wild-card berth in the National League. They're currently in a spot at 64-56, but are only one game ahead of the San Diego Padres heading into this week's action.

This week serves as a great opportunity for them to further boost their record as they take on the 46-73 Colorado Rockies in a three-game set. They already cruised past them 9-0 in the series opener on Monday night.

Let's dive into Tuesday night's NL West showdown.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Run line

Rockies +1.5 (-142)
Diamondbacks -1.5 (+118)

Moneyline

Rockies +156
Diamondbacks -168

Total

OVER 9.5 (-102)
UNDER 9.5 (-120)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

Colorado: Tomoyuki Sugano, RHP (11-5, 4.51 ERA)
Arizona: Mitch Bratt, LHP (1-1, 3.90 ERA)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks How to Watch

Date: Tuesday, August 11
Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
Venue: Truist Park
How to Watch (TV): DBACKS.TV, Rockies.TV
Rockies record: 46-73
Diamondbacks record: 64-56

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Best MLB Prop Bet

Tomoyuki Sugano OVER 3.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+118) via DraftKings

In today's edition of Betting $100 Every Day for a Year, I broke down why I'm betting on the Rockies' starter, Tomoyuki Sugano, to give up 4+ earned runs:

Tomoyuki Sugano is the biggest regression candidate on the mound tonight. He has a 4.47 ERA but a 5.39 FIP and a 7.22 xERA. Despite playing for the Rockies, who have the least pitcher-friendly ballpark in baseball, Sugano has a 5.13 ERA when pitching on the road this season, which is another concerning factor ahead of tonight.

Tonight, he has to face a Diamondbacks offense that's eighth in the Majors in wRC+ over the past 30 days. Let's take the plus-money bet on him to give up 4+ earned runs.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Best Bet

I can echo what I wrote above about the Rockies and turn that into a bet on them to win this game by 2+ runs.

Sugano is due for some heavy regression based on his underlying numbers, and now he has to take on a hot Diamondbacks lineup. The Colorado offense hasn't been good enough to support Sugano if he gives up a few runs. They rank 25th in the Majors in wRC+ over the past 30 days.

We still have to wait and see what the Diamondbacks have in Mitch Bratt, but he has a 3.90 ERA through his first six career starts, and he has allowed just one earned run in his last 12.0 innings pitched.

Let's bet on the Diamondbacks on the run line.

Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+118) via FanDuel

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