South Africa vs. Canada Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for World Cup Round of 32

Canada is favored against South Africa in the first match of the Round of 32. | Perry Nelson-Imagn Images

The group stage portion of the 2026 World Cup is in the books, and 32 teams remain alive to win the greatest international tournament in sport.

The Round of 32 will begin immediately on Sunday with a match between Canada and South Africa. Many people believed Canada would face South Korea after the Canadians clinched the No. 2 spot in Group B, but South Africa had other plans, pulling off one of the biggest upsets of the tournament to steal South Korea's spot.

Let's dive into the odds and my best bets for Sunday's win-or-go-home match.

South Africa vs. Canada Odds and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

To Advance

• South Africa +260
• Canada -350 (77.78% implied probability)

Moneyline

• South Africa +490
• Canada -145
• Draw +270

Total

• OVER 2.5 (+116)
• UNDER 2.5 (-142)

South Africa vs. Canada How to Watch

• Date: Sunday, June 28
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Los Angeles Stadium
• How to Watch (TV): Fox/Tele/Fox One
• South Africa record: 1-1-1
• Canada record: 1-1-1

South Africa vs. Canada History and Tournament Results

These two teams have faced each other just once on the international stage. South Africa defeated Canada by a score of 2-0 in an international friendly in 2007.

South Africa

South Africa started its tournament losing 2-0 in the opening match against Mexico. They then scored a late goal to play Czechia to a 1-1 draw. Finally, they beat South Korea by a score of 1-0 in one of the most surprising results of the group stage.

Canada

Canada began its tournament playing to a 1-1 draw to Bosnia & Herzegovina, then followed that up with a 6-0 win against Qatar. Canada fell short to Switzerland by a score of 2-1 in its final match of the group stage.

South Africa vs. Canada Best Prop Bet

• Cyle Larin Anytime Goal (+180)

In today's edition of my Best World Cup Bets Today, I made the case for betting on Cyle Larin to score for Canada:

I haven't been impressed by Jonathan David in the two games outside of his hat trick against Qatar. In my opinion, Cyle Larin has been the more consistently effective striker for Canada across its three group stage matches. He has also scored two goals already, while collecting nine total shots and four shots on goal. In my opinion, he presents a better value to score at +180 compared to David at +160.

South Africa vs. Canada Prediction and Best Bet

I think Canada is going to win this match by 2+ goals. I broke down why in today's edition of my Best World Cup Bets Today:

Believe it or not, it's Canada that's currently leading the entire World Cup in expected goal differential per 90 minutes played at +1.77. They have been a strong force in all three matches, but have struggled to convert their chances in two of their three matches. Now, they get to face a South Africa team that has an expected goal differential pr 90 minutes of -0.25, one of the worst marks amongst teams that advanced to the knockout stage.

Canada is listed as a -340 favorite to advance, but are north of 2-1 odds to win the match in regulation by more than a single goal. I think there's plenty of value there for us bettors.

Pick: Canada -1.5 (+210) via FanDuel

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