College football 2014-15 bowl projections: Predicting the playoff field, New Year's Six and more after Week 10.
Our latest bowl projections feature the same College Football Playoff field as last week, albeit with a twist.
After Florida State’s 42-31 comeback win over Louisville on Thursday night, the Seminoles are looking more and more like the No. 1 team in the country. That’s where we have them slotted this week, and that’d likely give the ‘Noles the Sugar Bowl spot in the semifinal, with No. 2 Mississippi State heading out to Pasadena. The rest of the New Year’s Six, however, look quite different than our projections from a week ago.
Before moving forward, a quick reminder on how this all works. The selection committee fills the two semifinal bowls based on its final rankings. It then rounds out the four non-playoff New Year’s Six bowls, while fulfilling certain contractual obligations, such as pitting an ACC team against an SEC/Big Ten/Notre Dame team in the Orange Bowl. The remaining teams are then fed into each league’s contract bowls. If a league doesn’t produce enough bowl-eligible teams, bowls can invite replacement teams from other leagues.
This season the ACC, Big Ten and SEC have each pooled a select number of bowls together and will decide where to place teams. While the Big 12 and Pac-12 use a more straightforward method -- the Pac-12’s No. 2 choice would go to the Alamo Bowl, the No. 3 to the Holiday Bowl, etc. -- the process for the other three Power Five leagues is less structured. For instance, the ACC’s No. 2 choice will go to the Russell Athletic Bowl, but teams Nos. 3-6 can land anywhere among the Sun, Belk, Music City/Taxslayer or Pinstripe bowls.
Keep in mind, “Pac-12 No. 2” doesn't mean the Pac-12’s second-place team. Fan travel and geographical location factor into bowl selection as much as conference standings. Thus, leagues aren't obligated to fill bowls based on records.
|Peach||Dec. 31||Atlanta||TBD vs. TBD||Auburn vs. E. Carolina|
|Fiesta||Dec. 31||Glendale, Ariz.||TBD vs. TBD||Ole Miss vs. Kansas State|
|Orange||Dec. 31||Miami||ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/ND||Duke vs. Alabama|
|Cotton||Jan. 1||Arlington, Texas||TBD vs. TBD||Notre Dame vs. Mich. St.|
|Rose (semifinal)||Jan. 1||Pasadena, Calif.||TBD vs. TBD||Miss. State vs. Oregon|
|Sugar (semifinal)||Jan. 1||New Orleans||TBD vs. TBD||Florida State vs. TCU|
|New Orleans||Dec. 20||New Orleans||MWC vs. Sun Belt||Colo. State vs. Ark. State|
|New Mexico||Dec. 20||Albuquerque, N.M.||MAC vs. MWC||La. Tech vs. Nevada|
|Las Vegas||Dec. 20||Las Vegas||MWC vs. Pac-12||Boise State vs. Stanford|
|Idaho Potato||Dec. 20||Boise, Idaho||MAC vs. MWC||NIU vs. San Diego State|
|Camellia||Dec. 20||Montgomery, Ala.||MAC vs. Sun Belt||W. Michigan vs. S. Ala.|
|Miami Beach||Dec. 22||Miami||AAC vs. BYU||Memphis vs. BYU|
|Boca Raton||Dec. 23||Boca Raton, Fla.||C-USA vs. MAC||Rice vs. C. Michigan|
|Poinsettia||Dec. 23||San Diego||MWC vs. Navy||Utah State vs. Navy|
|Bahamas||Dec. 24||Nassau, Bahamas||C-USA vs. MAC||Middle Tenn. vs. Akron|
|Hawaii||Dec. 24||Honolulu||C-USA vs. MWC||UTEP vs. Air Force|
|Heart of Dallas||Dec. 26||Dallas||Big Ten vs. C-USA||Minnesota vs. Marshall|
|Quick Lane||Dec. 26||Detroit||ACC vs. Big Ten||Pittsburgh vs. Rutgers|
|Bitcoin||Dec. 26||St. Petersburg||AAC vs. ACC||Houston vs. Virginia|
|Military||Dec. 27||Annapolis, Md.||AAC vs. ACC||UCF vs. UNC|
|Sun||Dec. 27||El Paso, Texas||ACC vs. Pac-12||Louisville vs. Arizona|
|Independence||Dec. 27||Shreveport, La.||ACC vs. SEC||NC State vs. Washington*|
|Pinstripe||Dec. 27||Bronx, N.Y.||ACC vs. Big Ten||BC vs. Maryland|
|Holiday||Dec. 27||San Diego||Big Ten vs. Pac-12||Wisconsin vs. USC|
|Liberty||Dec. 29||Memphis||Big 12 vs. SEC||WVU vs. Tennessee|
|Russell Athletic||Dec. 29||Orlando, Fla.||ACC vs. Big 12||Clemson vs. Oklahoma|
|Texas||Dec. 29||Houston||Big 12 vs. SEC||Okla. St. vs. Texas A&M|
|Music City||Dec. 30||Nashville||ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC||Miami vs. Georgia|
|Belk||Dec. 30||Charlotte, N.C.||ACC vs. SEC||Ga. Tech vs. S. Carolina|
|San Francisco||Dec. 30||Santa Clara, Calif.||Big Ten vs. Pac-12||Iowa vs. UCLA|
|Citrus||Jan. 1||Orlando, Fla.||Big Ten vs. SEC||Nebraska vs. LSU|
|Outback||Jan. 1||Tampa, Fla.||Big Ten vs. SEC||Ohio State vs. Missouri|
|Armed Forces||Jan. 2||Fort Worth, Texas||AAC vs. Army||Cincinnati vs. Cal*|
|TaxSlayer||Jan. 2||Jacksonville, Fla.||ACC/Big Ten vs. SEC||Penn State vs. Arkansas|
|Alamo||Jan. 2||San Antonio||Big 12 vs. Pac-12||Baylor vs. Arizona State|
|Cactus||Jan. 2||Tempe, Ariz.||Big 12 vs. Pac-12||Ohio* vs. Utah|
|Birmingham||Jan. 3||Birmingham, Ala.||AAC vs. SEC||Temple vs. Florida|
|GoDaddy||Jan. 4||Mobile, Ala.||MAC vs. Sun Belt||BGSU vs. UL-Laf.|
* -- Replacement team