Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

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Playing the back half of their AFC East season series, Buffalo rolls into Hard Rock Stadium to battle Miami at 1:00 p.m. ET on Nov. 14, 2019. The Bills are trying to keep their Wild Card playoff hopes alive while the Dolphins are looking toward the 2020 season.

Spread: Bills -6 (-110), Dolphins +6 (-110)

Moneyline: Bills (-270), Dolphins (+210)

Total: OVER 40.5 (-110), UNDER 40.5 (-110)

Bills’ Season to Date

On the road for a second straight week, Buffalo (6-3) heads to Miami following a 19-16 Week 10 loss in Cleveland. Although he had two rushing TD in the loss, sophomore QB Josh Allen remains a work in progress. Allen completed just 22 of 41 passes for 266 yards and did not have a TD pass last week.

Bills’ Betting Record: ATS 5-3-1 OVER/UNDER 2-7-0

Bills’ Leaders on Offense

QB Josh Allen: 1,919 pass yards with 10 TD and 7 INT

RB Frank Gore: 501 total yards with 2 TD

WR Josh Brown: 680 receiving yards with 2 TD

TE: Dawson Knox: 247 receiving yards with 1 TD

Dolphins’ Season to Date

Following a 0-7 start, Miami (2-7) has won two straight after it defeated the Colts 16-12 on the road in Indianapolis during Week 10 action. The Dolphins defense, which entered the game with just three interceptions over eight games, picked off Colts backup QB Brian Hoyer three times to help secure the victory

Dolphins’ Betting Record: ATS 5-4-0 OVER/UNDER 3-6-0

Dolphins’ Leaders on Offense

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick: 1,364 pass yards with 8 TD and 8 INT

RB Kalen Ballage: 155 total yards with 2 TD

WR DeVante Parker: 469 receiving yards with 4 TD

TE Mike Gesicki: 276 receiving yards with 0 TD

Dolphins vs. Bills Recent History Favors Buffalo Slightly

Buffalo scored 22 fourth-quarter points to beat Miami 31-21 at home during Week 7 action this season. Following a Miami touchdown, which made the score 24-21, Buffalo returned a Dolphins onside kick for a TD with 1:38 left on the clock. Miami posted a 21-17 home win during Week 13 last year.

Bills vs. Dolphins Final Thoughts and Pick

Despite the loss to the Browns, Buffalo still owns the first Wild Card position in the AFC playoff race. That said, this is a near “must-win” game for the Bills, as their next six games feature four teams that have winning records. Buffalo failed to cover as a huge 17-point favorite in the first meeting.

Talk that Miami is tanking, in order to receive the 2020 NFL draft No. 1 pick, has subsided some. Miami was able to get past the Jets and Colts, who were both dealing with several key injuries. The Bills are healthy, they are starting to feature stud rookie RB Devin Singletary more and they are in the playoff hunt.

Pick: Bills -6

Season Record: 1-12