Arrowhead Report

AFC Odds Shouldn’t Ignore Chiefs, Parkins Says

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the season with an expectation of 11.5 wins, 3rd-best in AFC.
Oct 7, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) looks at plays with offensive coordinator Matt Nagy, center, and head coach Andy Reid against the New Orleans Saints during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Oct 7, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) looks at plays with offensive coordinator Matt Nagy, center, and head coach Andy Reid against the New Orleans Saints during the first half at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

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The Kansas City Chiefs are like in-laws. Love them or hate them, you can’t ignore them. And while most hate them, especially during the regular season, FS1 host Danny Parkins loves the Chiefs all year long.

“How are the Bills and the Ravens bigger AFC favorites than the Chiefs?” Parkins said on Monday’s edition of Breakfast Ball. “Am I the only one who remembers that they won 15 games last year with all those problems on offense, and made it to, what’s that game called?”

It’s called the Super Bowl, where Kansas City has represented the AFC in five of the last six seasons. Parkins isn’t the only one who believes that the recently published odds about winning the next Lamar Hunt Trophy are irreverent and irresponsible, with regard to Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

Since head coach Andy Reid took the reins of the Chiefs in 2013, he’s guided Kansas City to the playoffs in 11 of 12 seasons, including appearances in each of the last seven AFC Championship Games.

“That's a 13-4 team if I've ever seen it,” Parkins said.

But just like investing in the stock market, where past performance is no guarantee of future results, the disclaimer with the Chiefs is an assortment of chinks in their armor.

Pulverized in their 40-22 Super Bowl loss to the Eagles, the Chiefs allowed six sacks of Patrick Mahomes, the most ever in a game. During the regular season, Kansas City allowed 36 sacks of the two-time MVP, most in his career.

To put those numbers in context, from 2022-24, the Chiefs have allowed a 4.8-percent sack rate per pass attempt, second in the NFL during that span behind Buffalo (4.1 percent). That’s how bad last season was for the Kansas City offensive line.

Jaylon Moore, who has 12 starts in four years while backing up Trent Williams in San Francisco, was the Chiefs’ answer in free agency to their left-tackle position that saw four different starters in 2024. After the season, Kansas City traded its best of those four, Joe Thuney.

During the offseason, Tom Brady and the Raiders added another Super Bowl-winning coach and Pro Bowl quarterback to the AFC West, Pete Carroll and Geno Smith. In other words, each of the Chiefs’ three division foes has a head coach with Super Bowls on their resumes. Smith and Justin Herbert have combined for three Pro Bowl selections, and Denver’s Bo Nix could be the most dangerous of those three.

But Kansas City has seen this movie before. In 2021, Brady and the Bucs also delivered a painful Super Bowl thrashing. Reid simply removed one Hawaiian shirt and donned another, went to work and started a run of three straight Super Bowls.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Zak Gilbert
ZAK GILBERT

Since his freshman year at the University of Colorado, Zak Gilbert has worked 30 years in sports, including 18 NFL seasons. He's spent time with four NFL teams, serving as head of communications for both the Raiders and Browns. A veteran of nine Super Bowls, he most recently worked six seasons in the NFL's New York league office. He now serves as the Kansas City Chiefs Beat Writer On SI

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