Making Moves | December 8, 2025

A big winning weekend for the show. Woo! Welcome to today's episode of Making Moves with Mac presented by FanDuel. It is Monday, December 8th, and we gotta get you ready for Monday Night Football between the Eagles and the Chargers and also recap the weekend. That was all that and more coming up. Let's take a look at the top headlines in the National Football League after the majority of week 14 is in the books. Still 1 game to go tonight. Uh, but the Kansas City Chiefs, uh, the defending AFC champions, now significant long shots to make the playoffs after losing to the Houston Texans on Sunday Night Football last. Tonight Fanel has their odds to make the playoffs set at 390, which is, if you translate that over to implied probability, they have just a 20.41% chance, uh, of making it to the NFL postseason. Scott, do you know what the record is right now? Their? Yeah, the Chiefs, 67. Losing record for the Kansas City Chiefs, they would have to win out to get to 10-7, and even then at that point, 10-7, probably not gonna be good enough. They're gonna need some help from, uh, some other teams. They're gonna need , uh, probably the Jaguars to probably lose a few games, maybe the Bills. They need someone to basically lose out if they want to get to the postseason. And on top of that, they need to win out themselves. So, uh, do you know what this weekend was? No. 67, December 670, it was , I didn't even notice, wow, what a treat. Uh, the Ravens' playoff odds have also fallen after they lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers, uh, this past weekend, and they're now set at +172, uh, to make the playoffs. They will knock it in a wild card spot, but that AFC North, uh, is still up for grabs. So, uh, as of right now, it looks like we might have an AFC playoffs without Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, or Joe Burrow after the Bengals lost to the Bills. So, uh, Bills fans might be now or never. Kind of everything is coming up. Bills. Josh Allen's like the only. Uh, kind of experienced quarterback, uh, in the playoffs, uh, this year. Um, not the best quarterback cause I get maybe that goes to Drake May who might be the MVP, uh, but yeah, uh, it's kind of now or never it feels like for the Bills. Everything's coming up. Buffalo. Uh, speaking of MVP, Matt Stafford has now taken over as the favorite to win, uh, NFL MVP. Uh, him and Drake May have kind of flip-flopped back and forth. Drake May, uh, and the Patriots were on a bye this week. Uh, he has fallen down to 2 to 1, Matt Stafford. After his strong performance, uh, in the Rams blowout win against the Cardinals up to -160 now to win the NFL MVP, uh, and that makes a lot of sense. -160 is, by the way, an implied probability of 61.5%. Makes a lot of sense. You have the narrative. I've talked about this guy who's been an all-time great Super Bowl winner, uh, but has somehow never won NFL MVP. Uh, so that kind of storyline is, is gonna be worth a lot, uh, at the end of the season. So he's -160, uh, for last night's game. Uh, the Buccaneers are still -330 to win the NFC South despite losing to the New Orleans Saints, uh, over the weekend. Uh, so the Panthers are run by, uh, so now the Buccaneers and the Panthers have the exact same record at 7 and 6. but, uh, the Buccaneers still significant favorites at -3:30. It is interesting to note that only 4 games left on the schedule for both those teams, but two of them are against each other. Uh, so it's most likely gonna come down to how that series goes. If one of those two teams can, uh, win both of them, then they're obviously gonna, uh, probably be in a, a great spot to make the NFL playoffs and win the NFC South. My Falcons, after losing to the Seahawks this weekend, officially eliminated from playoff contention. Uh, just in case you're curious, the Rams are still significant favorites to win the Super Bowl at 4:30, so I know we're in a season where it feels like there's no team that's kind of a step above the rest. Well, the betting odds certainly indicate that the Rams, uh, are that team at +4:30. Pretty significant gap between them. And the second team on the odds list, who is their NFC West opponent, the Seattle Seahawks at 8 to 1, the Green Bay Packers also at 8 to 1 after beating the Chicago Bears on Sunday. And then you have the Bills and the Eagles at plus 50. Eagles played tonight against the Chargers, Broncos, 10 to 1, Patriots, 11 to 1, Texans, 15 to 1, Jaguars, 19 to 1, Lions, 20 to 1, uh, and so on and so forth. 49ers sitting there at 22 to 1 could be an interesting option as we head into the final stretch of the 2025 NFL regular season. The college football playoff bracket has been released after conference championship weekend on Sunday morning. The college football playoff committee released the 12 teams that will be competing for the national championship, and the biggest surprise of the day was that Miami was selected over Notre Dame. Which doesn't make any sense to me whatsoever. Actually, all the betting odds that Notre Dame was a massive favorite to make the playoffs, uh, Miami was a huge underdog because throughout the entire college playoff rankings over the past month, Notre Dame had been ranked ahead of Miami every single week. Neither team played this past weekend, so nothing changed. But yet despite all of that, when it finally. came down to make the final rankings in the bracket, the committee decided to flip them and put Miami in front. Uh, the reason being was that because BYU lost, that dropped them in the ranking, which then meant Miami and Notre Dame were listed next to each other on the list. And then when teams are actually right next to each other on the list, they then evaluate them differently. And then because they're listed next to each other. Miami beat Notre Dame in week one, they then flipped that and put Miami in front of Notre Dame. So, they evaluate teams completely differently if they're written next to each other on the list. If there's a team that's sandwiched between them, then they evaluate them differently. It makes no sense whatsoever. I feel bad for Notre Dame fans. Uh, Miami, congratulations, you're in the college football playoff. Uh, really, at the end of the day. I don't think either team really has a chance to win the national championship. So it's not really gonna matter at the end of the day. Uh, but the college football playoff committee just arbitrarily making up these random rules that if the two teams are written next to each other, then they evaluate them differently is crazy to me. Regardless, Miami's in the college football playoff as the #10 seed over Notre Dame, despite not getting to their conference championship game. Uh, the ACC champion Duke, uh, who we're gonna talk about here in a moment. Uh, beat Virginia in overtime, uh, but, uh, because of Ota conference losses to Tulane and UConn, they're not in the playoff. Miami is in. It's a very weird college football playoff this year in just the 2nd iteration of the 12-team playoff. Uh, Ohio State lost to Indiana in the Big 10 championship. Credit to me, it called Indiana to pulling off that win, bet them both money line and against the spread. Let's go, let's go. Uh, but despite Indiana getting that win and being the #1 seed, uh, oddsmakers still have faith in the defending. National champion. So, uh, FanDuel still has Ohio State as the 220 favorite to win the national championship. Indiana behind them at 290. So the odds have, uh, tightened, but still, uh, they still believe that Ohio State is the best team in the country. Uh, so now that we have the playoff bracket decided, we know which four teams have a bye. Uh, it is Indiana who is now the number 1 seed. They will face the winner of Alabama and Oklahoma. Uh, Ohio State only fell one spot. They're now the #2 seed. They will face the winner of Miami and Texas A&M. Georgia, who, uh, beat Alabama in the rematch to win the SEC championship, they're the 3 seed. They'll, uh, face the winner of Tulane and Ole Miss. And then Texas Tech, the Big 12 champion, who beat BYU for the 2nd time this season in the Big 12 championship game. They have a bye there, the 4 seed, they will play the winner of James Madison and Oregon. Uh, yes, I did mention James Madison and Tulane. So two group of 5, teams have made it to the college football playoff because Duke upset Virginia in the ACC championship game. Their out of conference losses, uh, had them as the 6th ranked conference champion, uh, which means, uh, Tulane, who won the AAC, and James Madison, who won the Sun Belt, are ranked above them. Both of them made it into the college football playoff as the number 11 and 12 seed. Uh, fans of those teams, I got bad news for you though. Sports books have zero faith in you guys winning the national championship. Uh, James Madison, JMU 400 to 1 to win the national championship. Tulane, 750 to 1, despite only being 3 wins away from winning the national championship. Doesn't matter, don't care. Uh, I guess 4 wins away. 750 to 1 odds for the Tulane Green Wave. Uh, we also saw a significant shift in the odds to win the Heisman Trophy, and kind of what I predicted came true in, uh, for that race as well. I said, whichever quarterback wins the Big 10 champion, uh, championship is probably going to be the overwhelming favorite. That's what we saw. Fernando Mendoza of Indiana now -2500 favorites, so. Still not a lock, uh, but, uh, if the betting market is any indication, uh, he is going to win the Heisman Trophy, a minus 2500 odds that translates to an implied probability of 96.15%. Diego Pavia is really the only other guy who could win it. He's at 12 to 10 to Vanderbilt to win, uh, the Heisman. Uh, trophy . So there you go, that'll be announced here in a few weeks, and the college football playoff doesn't begin until next Friday. So we have, uh, only two college football games to watch and bet on, uh, this week. I think it's Army Navy, and it's some bowl game between Boise State. In Washington. All right, let's take a look at the top headlines for the rest of the sports betting world, starting with MLS. Congratulations to Inter Miami. Unfortunately defeated our Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS Cup on Saturday. It Wasn't really a close match, 3-1 final in favor of Lionel Messi. And Inter Miami, they are MLS champions for 2025. Uh, we had some chances to win a couple of golf bets this weekend, but unfortunately none of them came through. Uh, it was Hideki Matsuyama to win the Hero World Challenge for the second time, uh, at 19 to 1. That was the final PGA official PGA Tour event of the season, but Hideki Matsuyama defeated Alex Noren, uh, the Swede, and they. Playoff, uh, one, with a birdie on the first hole, uh, with a final score of 22 under. So Hideki Matsuyama , 19 to 1. Uh, very hard to bet on Hideki Matsuyama because he either wins an event or he misses the cut. You never really know when, uh, he's gonna be playing at his best, uh, but this is one of those weeks. So congratulations to anyone who bet on Hideki Matsuyama at 19 to 1. Uh, we were a little close, uh, in that event, uh, there for a while. Uh, I know Andrew Novak got off to a hot start. Uh, where did our, oh yeah, Aksha Bia was heading into the final round, like 1 off the lead. He finished 9 under. Uh, he must have had a terrible final round. Heading into the weekend, Akshay Bhatia was in the mix as well. I think he was actually leading even at one point on Saturday morning. So, a little bit surprising there. Uh, but yeah, Hideki Matsuyama won the Hero World World Challenge at 19 to 1. UFC talked about this, uh, on Friday, gave you a couple of bets for it. Uh, should have just parlayed the two underdogs in the co-main event in the main event. Uh, you don't often see that, but a couple of big upsets in the UFC, uh, Peter Jan. Uh, defeated Marab De Vlashvili, plus 340 defeated them in a rematch. You hardly ever see the guy who was dominated the first time he fought to come back and win in the rematch. Plus 340, Peter Jan wins the bantamweight belt. Uh, but we did successfully bet on the underdog Joshua Vanan, uh, in the Comain event. Uh, who is now the flyweight champion, uh, defeated Alexander, uh, Pantoja by round, uh, first round knockout. Uh, so we did cash in on that, on that at 2 to 1. Uh, but yeah, both, uh, underdogs winning the two, championship fights at, uh, this past weekend's UFC action. Uh, the Tampa Bay Lightning, despite losing three straight games, are all the way up to 2 on the odds list, uh, to win the Stanley Cup. They have surpassed the Carolina Hurricanes. They're now 750. To win the Stanley Cup, they're in 1st place in the Atlantic Division. Uh, I believe first place in the Eastern Conference. I don't know. Capitals are first place. So first place in the Atlantic Division, uh, and now second in the odds list to win the Stanley Cup behind only the Colorado Avalanche. You're kind of starting to run away with it now up to 390 to win the Stanley Cup. Uh, we had a big upset, uh, on Saturday and some college basketball action. Uh, I wish I remembered who gave that pick, but Iowa State defeated Purdue. Uh, so bad weekend for Purdue fans because if you cheer for Purdue, you're probably also. An Indianapolis Colts fan, and if you're a Colts fan, uh, your season is kind of over. I didn't talk about that earlier, but, uh, your season's kind of over. So Purdue and Colts fans, terrible, terrible weekend. I'm gonna shout out who gave us, uh, Iowa State, Nick. Uh, if you remember, uh, Twitter question of the day on Friday was your best bet for the weekend. Nick at that kid Nick P at Iowa State Moneyline against Purdue, he called it. Uh, not only did Iowa State win that game, uh, but they crushed him by like 40 points. Uh, so, yeah, Iowa State now undefeated on the season, it could be a national championship contender. I've talked with them a little bit. They love to force turnovers, and I love a college basketball team that can force turnovers. Some NBA news for this week. It is NBA Cup bracket time. I still don't really understand the purpose of the NBA Cup. I know it's, it, it's a mid-season tournament. Teams seem to care about it, like, kind of. They at least, uh, so that's why. So teams do care. Um, I don't know . I mean, I'm not a really a like a diehard fan of any NBA team. Like, do fans of these teams like cheer for their team to win the NBA Cup? Do they care? Regardless, we're past the group stage, we're now on to the knockout, uh, stage, the bracket stage. Uh, so this begins tomorrow . Uh, it is, uh, the Heat against the Magic and 1, Raptors against Knicks. That's a fun one. Thunder against Suns and Lakers against Spurs in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. That begins tomorrow. We have 1 game to go in week 14 of the NFL season. It is an interconference showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles. Uh, the Chargers opened last week as 3-point home underdogs. Then once it was confirmed that Justin Herbert will be playing, uh, tonight, even though he broke his non-throwing hand last week. Uh, the spread has moved down 1.5. They are now sitting as 1.5 point home underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles and two teams currently sitting in a playoff spot. Uh, the over-under for this game set at 41. And a half, so pretty low total, uh, we could be in, uh, for a defensive battle tonight, uh, as you might suspect, Saquan Barkley. Uh, plus 105 favorite to score a touchdown if you want to bet on the touchdown market. I mean, the, kind of the push push kind of hasn't quite been as effective the past few weeks. I don't know if teams have figured out how to stop it. Uh, but Jalen Hurts has slightly longer odds to score a touchdown. Uh, but what is to me the most interesting story of the night, I think there's a couple. I think there's whether or not Justin Herbert will still be able to be effective with a broken non-throwing hand, and, uh, we'll see just how much they're gonna ask him to throw the ball. Uh, but what's even more interesting is Omarion Hampton. The Chargers rookie running back, first round draft pick, returning from injury tonight. Uh, we haven't seen him play since, uh, when did he last play, October 10th against the Commanders was when he got hurt. Uh, so it's been, uh, over two months since we saw the Chargers rookie running back play. He is set to return from the injured list tonight. Uh, he averaged 4.8 yards per carry in his first four games in a visit. Uh, in his NFL career, so that's gonna provide a nice boost, uh, for the Chargers offense. Uh, will be kind of interesting to see how much they still give the ball to Kamani Vidal, who took over as the primary running back in Hampton's absence. Uh, he averaged, he's averaging 4.5 yards per carry, so slightly less than Hampton. We do expect Hampton to be, uh, overall the primary running back tonight. Uh, but his over-under for his rushing yards is 43. Uh, in the half. So if you want to bet on that, whether you think he's gonna be used or not used, uh, that's the total for his rushing errors in his first game back from injury. Uh, 43.5 for Omarion Hampton . I do have two bets for tonight's game, but if you want them, you gotta stick around till the end of the show. Let's take a look at some NFL teams and players that I'm buying low on and selling high on at this point of the NFL season. We're gonna start, uh, with a team that I can't actually believe I'm gonna buy low on, but I'm gonna do it. Uh, the Carolina Panthers are my first buy low candidate. Uh, to be fair, I do still think they're not quite as good as their record shows, but, uh, this is kind of based on their odds to win the NFC South, and as sports bettors, we should be betting numbers, not teams, is what, uh, smarter people than I always say. Because the Panthers are + 260 to win the NFC South, despite having the exact same record as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and two of their final four games are against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and then they have a game. Uh, against the Saints. Uh, so, and then the Buccaneers have 2 games against the Panthers, one against the Falcons, and one against the Dolphins. Now neither of those 22 teams are great, especially my Falcons, but those aren't layup wins for the Buccaneers necessarily either. So two teams with 4 games to go, and they both play each other twice. If you're gonna give me one of those two teams a plus 260 odds to come out on top of that division, I'm probably gonna take that bet. So, I do still think the Buccaneers are overall the better team. Uh, but I don't think that's priced correctly. I think there's a little bit of value there on the Carolina Panthers to win the division at 260, coming off their bye week, should be a little fresh. Uh, so yeah, I'm gonna buy low on the Carolina Panthers. I'm gonna sell high again on the Chicago Bears. I know maybe it's not the most sell-high spot because they're coming off that loss to the Green Bay Packers, Missouri Bears fans, uh, of course, I knew this was gonna happen. I was gonna bet against you, bet against you, bet against you, bet against you, you're gonna win, you're gonna win, you're gonna win. And then when I flip and then jump on the Bears' bandwagon, that's when you're gonna lose, and that's exactly. Uh, what happened? Uh, so the Bears lost to the Green Bay Packers, and now, remember, they're the 1 seed in the NFC last year. They're now the, or last week. They're now the 7 seed. Uh, and they have a tough, tough, tough remaining schedule. I don't think the Bears are gonna make the playoffs. Uh, 3 of their final 4 games are against the Packers again, the 49ers, which could end up being a game to decide who makes the NFL playoffs, and the Detroit Lions. And the Lions right now on the outside looking in. But if the Lions beat the Bears, uh, both teams would be, uh, 9 and 5, but the Lions would have the tiebreaker if they do finish with the same record because, uh, they've already beaten them once this season. So they're, they're either gonna have to beat the Lions as significant underdogs, or they're gonna have to beat the 49ers and hope the 49ers lose at least one other game, uh, as well. So the Bears, all of a sudden in a tough spot from the 1 seed in the conference to the 7 seed. Uh , and they could fall even further after this next week's action. So I'm gonna sell on the Bears. I just don't think they're that good, and I think with their schedule, uh, the remaining schedule, I think they're gonna end up missing, uh, the playoffs, which you can bet on actually at FameDuel at some plus money odds here. Uh, I correctly gave you, well, not correctly, we still have time left, but the Colts, I gave you like +235 last week to miss the playoffs. They're now -320 to miss the playoffs. The Bears, plus 172 to miss the playoffs, I think that's gonna be a pretty good bet. Uh, heading through the final 4 weeks. Uh , I'm a bye on the San Francisco Forty-Niners who are coming off their bye-week. Uh, this is a team who, uh, has been dealing with a lot of injuries, so that bye week came at a perfect time for them, and no one's really talking about the Forty-Niners as a contender. Uh, in a year where really the playoffs kind of seem wide open, there's the Rams who are kind of a step above the rest, but still, 49ers are gonna be a very dangerous team heading into the playoffs. They have Super Bowl experience. They haven't won the Super Bowl, but they've been to the Super Bowl, uh, twice over the past handful of years. Uh, Brock Purdy's been to a Super Bowl, Christian McCaffrey's been to a Super Bowl. They're 22 to 1 to win that Super Bowl right now, and what, what I, like I said, is a wide open playoffs outside the Rams. Uh, so the 49ers quietly dangerous, uh, coming off, uh, a bye week, uh, gonna be pretty fresh heading into this upcoming week. So, uh, I'm gonna buy low on the 49ers, a team that no one is really, uh, taking seriously at this point. I'm gonna sell the Buffalo Bills. I know that it's kind of weird for me to do that. Josh Allen, uh, kind of things are lining up for him to finally lead the Bills to the playoffs, but, uh, the Bills' defense is bad, really, really bad. Uh, for them to, uh, kind of go on a deep playoff run, they're gonna need Josh Allen to put up like 40 points almost every week, like he did this past week against the Bengals. I don't know if a team can make a deep playoff run with this bad. Of a defense. So despite them beating the Bengals this past weekend, uh, really the only one cause the two really bad turnovers by Joe Burrow. Uh, I mean, they, if they lose that game, they're on the outside of the playoffs looking in this point. So, I know this is kind of lining up perfectly with Mahomes out of the playoffs, Lamar of the playoffs, Joe Burrow out of the playoffs. But still, it's hard to win a Super Bowl when you have, uh, one of the worst defenses in the NFL . So I'm gonna sell at least the Buffalo Bills defense, but I think the Buffalo Bills as a whole. I'm a buy on Emeka Egbuka. The odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. Now we recommend you bet on Ted McMillan, uh, a handful of weeks ago when he was 430. He is now -150 to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. Him and Emeko Agbuka have kind of flipped odds . Akbuka is now 6 to 1. But if you bet on Ted McMillan a few weeks ago, I think now you bet on Agbuka, and then no matter how this shakes out, you're gonna have a pretty good ticket to win Offensive Rookie of the Year as long as Jackson Dart doesn't come out. nowhere and end up winning that award. Uh, but Abuka and McMillan still have very, very similar stats. So just like Ibuka wasn't deserving of being as big of a favorite as he was a few weeks ago, now I don't think Tech McMillon is being deserving of being a -150 favorite to win that award. So I'm gonna buy in on, on Ibuka. He did a tough drop for a touchdown against the Saints this past weekend. Uh, but 6 to 1 in what I think is still a two-man race between two players who have very similar stats and two players who will play each other twice to close out the year. If Abuca outperforms McMillan in those games, uh, he will flip and I think be back to the betting favorites. So I'm gonna buy in on the Buccaneers rookie wide receiver. I'm gonna sell my Jane Daniels stock. Uh, I don't really know how we can bet on this , maybe in the prop market, uh, if he does return to action. If I was a Commanders fan, I'd be very, very concerned. This is a guy who had one of the best, uh, rookie quarterback seasons in NFL history last year. He has just downright not been good this season at all. I know he's missed a chunk of the year due to an injury, uh, but Marcus Mariota from, from almost every single metric has been the better quarterback for the Commanders. Their offense has been much better when he's under center compared to Jaden Daniels. So I'm selling my Jaden Daniels stock. I don't know how I'm gonna do it. Uh, but I'm gonna find a way to do it. Uh, sophomore slump, to say the least, for the defending, uh, Offensive Rookie of the Year. I'm kind of owed on Jane Daniels. He needs to improve significantly, uh, in year 3, of his NFL career. So those are my top buying and selling candidates heading into, uh, week 15 of the NFL season. As I always do, I'm gonna reach out to my friend and co-worker, Peter Dooha to get his thoughts on the players and teams that I'm buying and selling on, so let's go ahead and hit the lines. Hello? Yeah. I like it. Yeah, betting. Hey, what up, Pete? What's going on, man? How are we doing? Not too bad, not too bad. Falcons have finally, officially, uh, been eliminated from playoff contention, so, uh, that gives me a little bit more peace of mind moving forward . I can stop convincing myself they're gonna somehow do it. Uh, all right, as usual, Pete, let's go through, uh, some candidates for buying and selling on in the NFL. Let's see if we can agree this week as much as we did last week. Sounds good to me. I love it. All right, the Carolina Panthers coming off their bye week, buying or selling on the Panthers? I'm gonna stay consistent here because I've been buying them for a while now. I think they have a real shot to win the NFC South, because the Bucks just don't look like the same team that they did the 1st 6 weeks of the season. They're both 7 and 6. They gotta play down the stretch of the season. Um, if you're looking for a team that it's. I got longer odds to make the playoffs in the NFC. I'd, I'd buy the Panthers because of their path to, to win that division . Yeah, I think I used to disagree with you on that one, but now, like, I'm surprised, plus 260 at FanDuel to win that division despite having the exact same record as the Buccaneers , and they still play against each other twice. So, uh, yeah, I'll flip, and now I'm with you. Uh, let's buy on the Panthers. What about the Chicago Bears coming off their loss to the Packers? Yeah, I, I didn't think that was a, a, a bad loss by, by any stretch. They were in the game the whole way. I, I'll buy them. I still think they're gonna make the playoffs. Um, obviously, they, they're gonna have to hold off Detroit, but Detroit has to play the Rams in week 15, which is a huge game. And you fall to 8 and 6, that, that puts them in a little bit of a precarious spot, um. I honestly think like the teams we have in the NFC right now, uh, that are in the playoffs outside of Carolina jumps Tampa Bay, like that seems like it's gonna be the seven teams. Um, so I, I wouldn't be surprised if they get in. It's probably gonna be as a wild card, um, but again, if Green Bay loses to Denver, like then all of a sudden Chicago's right back in the path of the NFC North. So they got multiple paths to, to make the playoffs. I'll buy them at this point. All right, I disagree with you on that one. I still think the Bears missed the playoffs. Packers, 49ers, Lions through their last 4 games, that's, that's gonna be, that's gonna be tough. It's gonna be tough, but if they win one of them, they're, they're in a great spot because those are the teams they're competing for for that spot, basically. Alright, let's talk about the teams. One of the teams we just mentioned there, the San Francisco 49ers coming off, uh, thereby, same record as the Bears right now, 9 and 4, and they'll face the Bears, uh, here to close out the season at some point. Yeah, I'm, I'm buying at 9 and 4 with Brock Purdy back. Um, I think just that they were huge winners on the buy when you think about it. Like Tampa Bay lost, the Bears lost, the Lions won, but Dallas lost. So like you took out a couple of teams that really had a chance to like, oh, these three teams are. At least 4 teams all went out. San Francisco's in trouble. They're, they're 9 and 4. They've already had to play. They've already played the Rams twice. Um, I, I don't know if they're, they're gonna be able to win the division, but again, they're only a game out in the division, so it's, it's not impossible there. I'm, I'm buying them to make the playoffs. I know they're really banged up, but the offense is still good enough for them to get in. I think a quietly dangerous team at 22 to 1 to win the Super Bowl in a year that does seem like anyone could win it. Yes, I agree. I think there's a lot right now just across the both leagues like, um, where you can make an argument for, you know, whether it's a Houston team that we've seen play really well or the Forty-Niners, um, or even, you know, Buffalo. I know they're, they're higher up in the odds, but isn't a division leader where it just feels like anybody can win this year. There's no real dominant team, it feels like. Well, let's talk about the Buffalo Bills buying or selling on the Bills. I'm, I'm buying on that. You're buying this week. I am. I, well, I, if you're telling me, asking me teams that are in the playoff picture right now that, uh, I don't, I don't love a lot of the teams that are chasing just looking at schedules in both, uh, in both conferences. I'm buying the Bills because I think they're gonna beat the Patriots. That's, that's gonna be my goal. I think they're gonna beat the Patriots in week 15. Um, and then there'll be a game out in the division at that point. Um, so I'm buying them there. I thought beating Cincinnati, that comeback win against Cincinnati was a real nice momentum builder for them because it looked like they were dead in the water in that game. Bills, 1.5 point road favorites in that one. I wanna pitch something to you. I think it was a few weeks ago, Pete, and we were both of us were. Buying in on Tt McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. Well, how about buying in on now Emeka Egbuka at 6 to 1, cause I still think that race is up in the air. I think it's gonna be one of those, one of those two guys. So if we had Ted McMillan a few weeks ago at like north of 4 to 1 odds, do we now buy in on Egbuka at 6 to 1 and hope just it's one of those two guys? Yeah, I don't hate guaranteeing a win there. I don't think Dart's gonna win. I I don't either. I'm surprised his odds are that. He hasn't played enough now, right, right. So I mean, I guess if he plays 12, but even then like you look back at the rookie of the Year quarterback winners and I think Justin Herbert's the last one who didn't play the full season. I think he still played like 15 games. So I, I don't know if, I don't know if 12 games. Gets it done for dart and the Giants stink. It's not like he's, he's put up some good rushing numbers, and it's not like he's keeping them competitive in a lot of games. So, um, yeah, I, I almost don't hate. I'm just hoping you can guarantee a win there with one of those two guys with the prices that we had. Yep, alright, uh, and, uh, final one, Jaden Daniels, who returned from injury for a bit, didn't finish the game there this past weekend. But what are your thoughts on Jaden Daniels as a whole? Are you buying or selling, uh, him as a quarterback? I'm, I'm still buying him as a quarterback. Um, I don't think he should play another snap this year. I just think it would be malpractice for a Washington team. They're eliminated from the playoffs. Like, if they wanted to make the argument that before this week, they could still technically make the playoffs, OK. But now, there's no reason, he's had a hamstring injury, a knee injury, and an elbow injury. Like he's played 7 games. I still think he's a good quarterback. Obviously what he did last year, like I, I don't wanna just throw that out the window because he got hurt. Um, but I do think they, they need to shut him down and maybe there needs to be a conversation with him about protecting himself more because this can't be his entire career. But I still think if you looked like I don't think there's 12 quarterbacks that would take over him. Like I think there's this feeling. I think the ceiling with him is pretty high when you see what he did as a rookie, um, but I just don't think the team around him was very good and the injuries just destroyed, destroyed the season for him. I think they gotta play him. I think they gotta give him reps because he's stunk this year. Marcus Mariota's been better, which is crazy to say. Yeah, I, I just, if it, if it's rep, I would agree with you if he was healthy, I would say you have to give him reps . But if he's not healthy, how good are those reps really gonna be? Like if he's just, if you're throwing him out there and he's at 80%, and you're risking him getting hurt, and he's not even. Comfortable playing. Like, I don't know how valuable those reps would be necessarily, so I don't know. I, I, I think I should just sit him and focus on next year, to be honest. All right, I appreciate it, my friend. Take care. We'll talk again soon. Sounds good, man. Take care. All right, see you. It's time for the part of the show where I wash away my sins from the past week of sports betting, uh, with sorry, not sorry. Now for this week, uh, I actually have very little to apologize for, to be completely honest, a nice change of pace. Uh, my picks on the show actually pretty solid over the past week. So I do have some things I wanna go over. Uh, first of all, uh, one of my upset picks, which, uh, lost, uh, last weekend was on the Bears, uh, but I'm actually not sorry for jinxing. The Chicago Bears. Uh, this is a team that I've become enemies with throughout the season. I kept betting against them, betting against them. I got emails. I remember that one guy who sent me both a LinkedIn message. I, I think I talked about that on the show. Sent me both a LinkedIn message and an email telling me I was wrong about the Bears. I said, hey, fine, all right, I'll bet on your Bears this weekend. And then we all saw what happened. I ended up being right after all. So I'm not sorry for jinxing the Chicago Bears. You Bears fans asked me to do it, and I did it. Uh, I'm also not sorry for hating. On 9, JJ McCarthy. Yes, very good performance by JJ McCarthy, uh, this past weekend, but one good start to not era 8 starts where he was terrible. So, uh, Vikings fans, I'm not ready to apologize yet, uh, for claiming JJ McCarthy is a terrible NFL quarterback. Uh, maybe if he plays well in the last 4 games for the Vikings, maybe then I will apologize. I'm not ready to apologize for that take about 9 just quite yet. You know what, I am though sorry for. My survivor picks. So looney in the loony bin for that, you know what, 2 loonies for 2 bad survivor picks. All season long I've done very good on the Friday episodes where I give you my survivor picks for this weekend, if you have been tailing them. You are probably still alive, uh, in your survivor pools this week, uh, but this past week, I said either take the Buccaneers, or if you don't have the Buccaneers, uh, take a shot on the Cleveland Browns, uh, as just slight favorites over the Titans. Both of those. Teams lost as a result. I am out of all of my survivor pools now. I have no entries left. Uh, I did a 12-way split for the pot, uh, in one of my pools. So, uh, technically I won that one, but not nearly as much money as I could have won if I would have went, uh, with a different team. So I am sorry for my survivor picks, finally, 14 weeks into the season, uh, I gave out a couple of losers there. Uh, I am not sorry, uh, for Chiefs fans, uh, cause the Chiefs look like they're going to miss. The NFL playoffs, this whole thing I've been seeing from Chiefs fans is crazy. This is a team that was historically not good, weren't really winning championships, weren't going on deep playoff runs. All of a sudden they got Patrick Mahomes, they won a ton of Super Bowls, won like 3 Super Bowls already . And they're acting like the world is collapsing just cause they're gonna miss the playoffs this year. I, it's hard for me to feel bad for Chiefs fans. Enjoy your 3 Super Bowls. Enjoy the fact you still have the best quarterback in the NFL, uh, with Patrick Mahomes. Big deal. You gotta miss the playoffs one year, you guys are gonna be back better than ever next year. So I'm not sorry for Chiefs fans, cause likely not gonna make the NFL playoffs, uh, this year. I am sorry, uh, for another week of losing parlays. I've been stuck on the parlay peak on the foreleg. This weekend, uh, lost Browns Money line and lost Virginia Moline, so, uh, I only lost two of the four legs, uh, for the parlay peak. I'm now what, 2 weeks, I think I've been trying to get the four-leg parlay. It's been several times, there's been one playoff. We were 5 yards away on Jackson Dart's rushing total last week. Uh, there was another one last week that we were just like a yard or two short. Uh, so regardless, um, I'm still losing the four-leg parlays. My goal of winning the entire parlay peak by the end of 2025, uh, it looks like it's not gonna come true, but I'm still gonna try, I'm still gonna try my best. And then finally, I'm not sorry, so I don't even know, I'm gonna keep these loonies. How about that? I'm keeping them, I'm putting them on my pocket. Uh, only two things I'm sorry for. I'm not sorry for going 1 and 2 in the combat corner of my UFC picks this past weekend, yes, losing the record, but 1 and 2 with the winner being a 2 to 1, uh , odds meant that we walked away from the UFC event, even money. Uh, did not lose, didn't win anything, uh, but 2 to 1, that covers 2 losses if you're doing flat 1 unit bets. Uh, so, as I always say. In sports betting, if you're not losing, you're winning, which means if you walk away after betting on the event, uh, not down any money, but not up any money, that's a good weekend. So I'm not sorry for going 1 and 2 in combat corner this past weekend, but there you go, only 2 apologies. That's a record, uh, for sorry, not sorry. Uh, I'm sure when we come back next week, I'll have some more things to apologize for. Winning weekend on the show with my picks over Saturday and Sunday. Uh, let's do a quick recap before I give you my best bets for Monday night's sports action. Uh, we cashed in on Indiana plus 4.5 at -115 against Ohio State. Now, I did give them as an upset Money line pick earlier in the. Week. I wasn't brave enough on Friday to go with them winning outright. I should have, but I had a better payout as they, uh, defeated Ohio State in the Big 10 championship. But a win is a win. I'll take them. I'll take cash in it at + 4.5. It was the benefit of that. It was a little bit more sweat-free for those of you who are watching. Uh, the game, uh, also won on Tuatakavioa, uh, under 29.5 pass attempts. I think he only had like 21. Uh, that was a great bet. Uh, credit to me, uh, kinda, yeah, yeah, uh, well, and they're up by so much that they didn't even have to throw the ball. Uh, the Jets were just terrible. Uh, so under 29.5 , uh, 29.5 past tense for Tua, that came through. Uh, did not win on Bills Bengals under 53.5. That was the only loser from this past weekend. Gotta tell you, when I saw the snow, uh, when I turned on that game on the TV and I saw the snow, I thought that that was gonna be great, but, uh, sometimes you forget, uh, snow and kind of bad conditions actually kind of affects the defense even more, uh, cause reacting, uh, having to catch your footing while trying to react to what the offense is doing is actually kind of more difficult than just making the moves on offense, so. Uh, I mean, that went way over. That was like a million points were scored in that game. Uh, but then we did win on Sunday Night Football, Texans plus 3.5 against the Chiefs. Another situation, uh, where I gave out that as a money line pick earlier in the week, uh, but I did not take the money line for the sake of the show over the weekend, uh, for the playing it safe segment. Regardless, I'll take the plus 3.5, uh, relatively sweat-free throughout. Uh, so 3 and 1 on the week for a profit of $41.15. That brings us back over $100 of profit, $117.26 heading into, uh, this week. Um, all right, uh, let's get into my plays for tonight . Starting with Monday Night Football, I got two bets for Monday Night Football tonight. I'm gonna take the Chargers plus 2.5 against the Philadelphia Eagles, uh, minus 115. Uh, the Chargers, uh, I'm surprised actually they're getting points at home against this Eagles team. An Eagles team. That has kind of imploded, uh, down the stretch of the season, the past few games. Their offense has a ton of issues. And if you remember last week's game against the Bears, uh, it was like watching a high school football game. The Bears' running backs weren't getting touched 5 yards down the field, at least, racked up 250 yards on the ground. Uh, and I think the Chargers are gonna be able to do the same thing, especially with Omarion Hampton back in the lineup for the Chargers. Now they have a. Two-headed monster, uh, in the backfield. So I think they can just keep the ball on the ground, run the ball against this Eagles defense. And the Eagles' offense is broken. Uh, they got to get rid of their offensive coordinator, very predictable offense, uh, and they have not been able to move the ball at all, really, over the past few weeks. Even the Cowboys, a couple of weeks ago, 21 points early, and then nothing the rest of the game, the Cowboys' defense. One of the worst in the league. Uh, so, uh, I think they're gonna struggle against this Chargers defense. Like I said, I'm a little bit surprised the Chargers are set as underdogs, especially, uh, playing on their home field. So I'll take the 2.5 points at -115 with the Eagles. Uh, I will also take the, uh, under 31.5 pass attempts for Justin Herbert. Uh, I think this was my number 7 ranked. Player prop in last week's player prop countdown, so I'm gonna bet on it again. The exact same odds as it were last week. The odds on this bet have not moved at all. Under 31.5, uh, past Deson -104 for the same reason why I'm taking the Chargers. I think they're just going to run the ball, keep the ball on the ground, especially with Omarion Hampton back in the lineup. And let's not forget, Justin Herbert is nursing an injured non-throwing hand. He got surgery on it last week, so I don't even think the Chargers are gonna want him throwing the ball, uh, very often. So I think they're just gonna keep the ball out of his hands, only get him to throw the ball when necessary, and hopefully just be able to keep the ball on the ground throughout the game. Uh, so I'll go under 31.5 pass attempts at -104 for Justin Herbert. Uh, switching over to some hockey action. I got two plays in the NHL. Uh, the Tampa Bay Lightning, -120 against the Toronto Maple Leafs. I will fade my Maple Leafs again, who, uh, thank you for not bringing it up, uh, yet, uh, Scott, uh, no, no, no Bell, no Bell. Uh, the Maple Leafs. Uh, loss to the Montreal Canadiens, uh, in a shootout on Saturday night. So the Maple Leafs now host the Tampay Lightning, and the Tampay Lightning, far better than, than, than the Maple Leafs in almost every metric. You look at expected goals, high danger scoring chances, Corsi, Fenwick, goaltending. Uh, I think the only thing the, the Maple Leafs have a slight edge in is shooting percentage, but other than that, the Lightning have been the far better team. There's a reason why they're now. Second on the odds list to win the Stanley Cup. Whereas the Maple Leafs are a broken hockey team. Clean house, fire everyone, trade everyone, keep Neylander and Nise, and that's it. Trade everyone, including Austin Matthews. I'm done with Matthews. Uh, so I'm gonna fade the Maple Leafs. I'm surprised the Lightning are only -120 favorites against this disaster of a hockey team. Give me the Lightning, -120. And then to wrap things up with my picks, I'll take the LA Kings at -102 against the Utah Mammoths . The Kings have quietly been a very, very good team. If you remember actually a few weeks ago, uh, I told you to bet on the Capitals because a lot of their advanced metrics were good, but their shooting percentage numbers were down. The Kings are kind of in that similar boat, very good in advanced metrics, close to the top 5 and expected goals and high dangerous scoring chances. Their shooting has held them back at times though this season. Uh, but if they can round their shooting into form, and we see a lot of variances when it comes to shooting, it's a little bit more of a rollercoaster stat throughout the season. Uh, if the Kings' shooting gets hot or even really just, uh, kinda has some positive regression to being an average shooting team. The Kings are gonna be a good team to invest in, so I'll take them on a team, a Utah team that I think is a little bit overrated in the betting market at this point in the year. So I'll go Kings, -102. Those are my four bets for tonight, but let's take a peek in the safe to see what I have to bet with. $100 for tonight. Uh, all right. Uh, I kind of liked it, and I think I kind of just for tonight, I think I wanna, usually I weigh a little bit heavier towards the hockey players, but I really like these two NFL players. I, I, I have a lot of faith in the Charters. I really like Justin Herbert under his past attempts. But also NHL has been my strong suit. So I think we're gonna keep things simple tonight. We're gonna go $25 across the board, $25 on Chargers plus $2.5.25 dollars on Justin Herbert, under 31.5 past attempts, $25 on the Lightning, $25 on the Los Angeles Kings. Those are my best bets for tonight. This has been Play It Safe, presented by FanDuel. Stick around, cause we still gotta try, please, to take the next step on the parlay peak. All right, it's time for the parlay of the day as I try my best to take the next step on the parlay peak. Two-leg parlay, 3-leg parlay already hit. We're trying to take the, get the four-leg parlay here. My dreams of reaching the mountaintop by the end of 2025 are starting to dwindle. Uh, we gotta hit this four-leg parlay sooner rather than later for me to have any shot at this point, so let's try to hit a four-leg parlay for tonight. I'm going to do a Monday. Night Football, same game parlay. Uh, and if you like long odds, tonight's is a little bit, uh, has some longer odds, which doesn't bode well for me actually hitting it. Uh, but if you want a bigger payout, hey, maybe this is the one, to tail. So we're gonna start with the Chargers, but we're gonna buy a point. I wanna bring it up above that magic number of 3, so we're gonna take the Chargers plus 3.5 against the Eagles for the first leg. Uh, we're also gonna do Jalen Hurts touchdown. Now, this is why the so long because a Hurts touchdown is actually uh kind of a contrarian play compared to if I'm gonna bet on the Chargers, why am I betting Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown? You know, they're kind of like opposite plays, but at the end of the day, the Eagles are gonna score at some point in this game. So who are you gonna take, Sawan or are you're gonna take Jalen Hurts? I'll go with Hurts. I think maybe we'll get a, uh, push push tonight, uh, anytime touchdown ATD, uh, which is at +105. Uh, so that's, uh, for you Eagles fans, that's a little something for you, but the other two legs are gonna be pro. Chargers bets, uh, I'm gonna take. Uh, the Chargers running back, uh, Kamani Vidal, plus 20 or 25 or more rushing yards, 25 plus rushing, even though Omarion Hampton is back in the lineup tonight, still 2 months off with an injury, I think they're gonna ease him into the lineup. up tonight. I still expect Vidal to get at least half the carries. Uh, so we're just gonna ask for him to get 25 rushing yards. If he gets half the carries for the Chargers tonight, 25 rushing yards shouldn't be too much of a problem, especially taking on an Eagles run defense that was horrific last week against the Chicago Bears. And then finally, we're gonna go Quentin Johnston. Uh, I'm just gonna go, uh, that's a 2, that's not a Q. Q, come on, it started so nicely. Start out, yeah, what am I doing? I literally wrote a 2. Quentin Johnston, 15 + yard. Reception. Now, thankfully, we have decided to put these on a graphic, so you can read them yourselves here by pointing, pointing to it right there. Uh, we just need one catch from Quentin Johnston, uh, to be 15 yards or more. We know he's kind of the team's deep threat. He got off to a really strong start to the season. He's been a little bit more quietly of late. Uh, I don't think he's gonna get a ton of receptions, uh, but I do think one of them will be at least 15 yards down the field. Uh, so that is a 4-leg parlay. Now the odds for that come out to, plus 646. So usually these four-leg parlays have been around 4 to 1, a little extra, there are for the people. Uh, of course, odds are subject to change, but that is my Monday Night Football, same game parlay. That is, uh, the parlay of the day. This has been. Making Moves with Mac presented by FanDuel. Thank you all so much for tuning in today. Best of luck to all of your bets tonight, and I will see you all tomorrow.