NCAA tournament projection: Updated odds for the Sweet 16
The NCAA tournament field has been trimmed from 68 teams down to the Sweet 16. Now which team has the best chance to win it all? This interactive bracket gives you the odds for each team in this year's tournament. It will be updated continually throughout the tournament.
It's no surprise No. 1 overall seed Kentucky, now 36-0, remains the heavy favorite. The Wildcats, which entered the tournament with a 37.2% chance to cut down the nets in Indianapolis, have seen their odds improve. They now boast a greater than 79 percent chance to reach the Final Four, with their odds of winning it all now up to 39.6%. Arizona now has the second-best odds (17.3%), followed slightly by Duke (16.8). Gonzaga is fourth at 12.7%.
UCLA, the highest-remaining seed left in the field (No. 11 seed, South region), is the longest shot in the field -- with just a 1% shot of even reaching Indianapolis.
These win probabilities come from The Power Rank's college basketball rankings, which take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule. The calculation requires crunching more than 10,000 numbers over the course of the season.
To unlock these win probabilities, hover over a circle to see the likelihood that a team wins that game. To see how your team will do, hover over its name.
Special thanks to Andrew Phillips and Angi Chau. Ed Feng's e-book How To Win Your NCAA Tournament Poolis available now.
