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Predicting the 2021 MLB Standings

Projecting MLB team records for the 2021 season.
Predicting the 2021 MLB Standings
Predicting the 2021 MLB Standings

It's Opening Week of the 2021 baseball season, with a full 162-game schedule on deck beginning Thursday. 

Need a quick rundown on where each team stands? Is your team tanking or trying? Spending or scrimping? Here are the projected regular-season standings for each league.

American League East

1. New York Yankees (97-65)

Order, restored: The Yankees should match the AL’s highest payroll with the league’s best record.

2. Toronto Blue Jays (91-71)

A batch of new faces—George Springer, Marcus Semien, Steven Matz—definitely signals a new era for the Jays.

3. Tampa Bay Rays (86-76)

It hurts to trade away Blake Snell, but if any team can succeed when it looks like it shouldn’t, it’s the Rays.

4 Boston Red Sox (80-82)

They may not have actively torn down any more this winter—but they sure didn’t start building back up.

5. Baltimore Orioles (62-100)

It should be yet another looong summer. At least Trey Mancini is back after recovering from colon cancer.

American League Central

1. Chicago White Sox (94-68)

A talented young core will make Tony La Russa’s return season a fun one. He’s back with the Sox after 35 years.

2. Minnesota Twins (92-70)

They weren’t particularly aggressive this winter (Nelson Cruz is back!), but they’re still a good bet to reach the postseason.

3. Cleveland (81-81)

This pitching staff is still a force—but a league-low payroll did no favors this winter for a paltry offense.

4. Kansas City Royals (78-84)

Despite a few notable acquisitions (outfielder Andrew Benintendi, for one), their outlook is bleak.

5. Detroit Tigers (64-98)

The bright spot here? At least they’re better than the Orioles. AJ Hinch also came aboard as manager.

American League West

1. Los Angeles Angels (90-72)

In spring training’s first week, Shohei Ohtani threw 100 mph and hit a 468-foot homer. Can he do it all year?

2. Houston Astros (88-74)

Losing center fielder George Springer will sting, but the Astros are still, well, the Astros.

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3. Oakland Athletics (86-76)

The A's did their best to replace key players who departed, but it still won’t be enough to catch Houston or L.A.

4. Seattle Mariners (69-93)

Fans have the call-up of top prospect Jarred Kelenic to look forward to and ... not a whole lot else.

5. Texas Rangers (63-99)

This is officially a rebuild, and it might be rough for a while. Enjoy the (new) new stadium.

National League East

1. Atlanta Braves (92-70)

They came agonizingly close to beating the Dodgers last year to win the pennant. This year they’ll do it.

2. New York Mets (89-73)

Steve Cohen’s cash can’t buy championships, but it can keep Francisco Lindor around for years to come.

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3. Washington Nationals (88-74)

The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can’t be overlooked.

4. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80)

The bullpen (7.06 ERA in ’20) won’t be historically bad, but the NL’s longest playoff drought should continue.

5. Miami Marlins (71-91)

Phenom righthander Sixto Sánchez makes this team worth watching once every five days.

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National League Central

1. St. Louis Cardinals (85-77)

How do you fix one of baseball’s worst offenses? Easy. Trade for Nolan Arenado.

2. Milwaukee Brewers (84-78)

Relievers Josh Hader and Devin Williams are already giving hitters late-inning nightmares.

3. Chicago Cubs (81-81)

Yu Darvish and Jon Lester have exited. Will Javier Báez, Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo go next?

4. Cincinnati Reds (73-89)

Losing Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer to the Dodgers in free agency squashes their chances of an October return.

5. Pittsburgh Pirates (57-105)

Baseball’s worst team deteriorated even further after trading Josh Bell and Joe Musgrove over the winter.

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National League West

1. Los Angeles Dodgers (101-61)

The champs got better (welcome, Trevor Bauer), but so did several of the teams chasing them.

2. San Diego Padres (97-65)

After winning the winter and revamping their pitching staff, the Padres are still second best in the West.

3. San Francisco Giants (79-83)

The sun is setting on the championship tenure of Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford and Buster Posey.

4. Arizona Diamondbacks (73-89)

They better hope Year 2 of Madison Bumgarner’s stay in the desert goes better than Year 1 (6.48 ERA).

5. Colorado Rockies (58-104)

At least Coors Field is beautiful and star shortstop Trevor Story hasn’t been traded ... yet.