49ers May Be Forced Into Risky Strategy Against Rams

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Week 1 against the Los Angeles Rams in Australia is finally here for the San Francisco 49ers. From the very beginning, they've been approaching this as a must-win game.
And rightfully so. Flying 16-plus hours just to lose would be horrible. It's also a divisional game, which adds fuel to it being a must-win.
The 49ers have placed themselves in a nice position to defeat the Rams, but it's still easier said than done. Los Angeles will be a fierce opponent, even without Aaron Donald.
Their offense will be tough for the 49ers' defense, led by NFL MVP Matthew Stafford. As usual, getting pressure will be the key to disrupting him, especially since he's a statue.
However, the 49ers might not have an effective pass rush. Nick Bosa could be a shell of himself, and if he isn't, it's difficult to envision anyone else stepping up aside from Osa Odighizuwa.
If the 49ers can't get pressure by rushing four, it'll force Raheem Morris to dial up the blitz. Last season, he called a blitz at the second-highest rate (37.4%) with the Atlanta Falcons.
He's fond of doing it and will have no issue if the 49ers can't generate pressure. But it's a very risky strategy to utilize against Stafford and the Rams.
Stafford scoffs at the blitz. He led the league with 33 passing touchdowns against the blitz, a mark nearly double that of the next-closest quarterback (Caleb Williams, 17) last season, per Next Gen Stats.
Not to mention, he has the seventh-quickest time to throw (2.58 seconds) and the sixth-lowest pressure-to-sack conversion rate (10.9%). Blitzing him will likely be moot.
Morris will have to be very wise about the timing of when he calls them. He'll be leaving his defensive backs on their own against Puka Nacua and Davante Adams.
He'll need to have ultimate trust that if the blitz can't get there, his defensive backs will hold up fine in coverage. That's a tall task.
Calling a blitz could allow big plays, or worse, a score. But if the 49ers can't get to him with their defensive front alone, he'll feel forced to do it.
It's an extremely difficult call to make. I don't think Morris will call the blitz a bunch, even if the pass rush is struggling to get to Stafford.
He'll probably be more inclined to play it safer and force Stafford into a mistake with disguised coverage. At least that won't lead to a ton of big plays.
In any case, I don't like the 49ers' chances on defense. If they perform well, it will show how elite their preparation was for this game.
Unless the pass rush surprisingly has a solid outing.

Jose Luis Sanchez III has covered the San Francisco 49ers daily for FanNation since 2019. He started off as the lead publisher for FanNation's All49ers, then switched positions to become the Deputy Editor in 2020. Sanchez writes, edits, and produces videos daily for All49ers. He also co-hosts a show on YouTube with All49ers lead publisher Grant Cohn weekly. Prior to FanNation, Sanchez started his writing career back in 2016 for the school newspaper at Skyline college where he covered all sports team in the Bay Area. Following that from 2017 to 2019, he found a role as a contributor for FanSided's news desk along with their site's Just Blog Baby covering the Las Vegas Raiders and Golden Gate Sports every professional Bay Area sports team. Atop all of that, he was able to graduate with a Bachelors degree in Communication Studies at San Francisco State University in 2020. Sanchez is committed to ensuring he delivers transparent analysis and straightforward opinions that resonates with readers to get them thinking.
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