Buccaneers lose NFC South lead after Week 16 Panthers loss

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers need to win one of two games against the Carolina Panthers to ensure that they'll make the playoffs this year. They had a chance to get one of those games on Sunday against the Panthers, but unfortunately, they blew it.
The Bucs lost that game 23-20 in Carolina, and now, the Panthers need to win their Week 18 game to knock them out of the playoffs entirely. With that win, the Panthers are now ahead of the NFC South, but believe it or not, the Buccaneers control their own destiny.
Here's the rundown of where the NFC South is at:
Buccaneers no longer in lead for NFC South
Team | W | L | T | Pct. | PF | PA | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carolina Panthers | 8 | 7 | 0 | .533 | 287 | 337 | 5-2 | 3-5 | W1 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 8 | 0 | .467 | 347 | 377 | 3-4 | 4-4 | L3 |
Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 9 | 0 | .400 | 307 | 360 | 2-4 | 4-5 | W2 |
New Orleans Saints | 5 | 10 | 0 | .333 | 255 | 338 | 3-5 | 2-5 | W3 |
The Panthers now hold a one-game lead over the Buccaneers. That being said, the Buccaneers still control their own destiny — win out, and you guarantee a spot in the playoffs. That's the simple version, but there is one scenario that is a little bit more complicated.
The Panthers play the Seattle Seahawks in Week 17, and the Buccaneers play the Miami Dolphins. If the Panthers manage to upset the Seahawks and the Buccaneers lose to the Dolphins, the Panthers would win the division outright then and there — Tampa Bay would be two games back of Carolina, so their Week 18 game wouldn't matter.
That's a doomsday scenario, though. The most likely reality is that either both teams win their game, lose their game or the Panthers lose to the Seahawks, who are competing for the No. 1 seed. If those things happen, the path before the Buccaneers is clear — they must beat the Carolina Panthers in Week 18 at home to go to the playoffs, and if they don't, they'll be sent home early for the first time in five seasons.
The Buccaneers will play the Miami Dolphins at 1 p.m on Sunday, while the Panthers will host the Seahawks at the same time at home. With that in mind, the Buccaneers will know their fate after the game either way — either they're still alive with a win over the Dolphins, or they lose to Miami and check the score on their phone in the locker room after.
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River Wells is a sports journalist from St. Petersburg, Florida, who has covered the Tampa Bay Buccaneers since 2023. He graduated with a journalism degree from the University of Florida in 2021. You can follow him on Twitter @riverhwells.
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