MLB National League Pennant, Division Future Odds: Braves, Mets Threatening Dodgers
The MLB All-Star Game is almost and it’s the perfect time to check in on the National League futures market at SI Sportsbook.
Here are the current odds for the NL pennant.
2022 NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT ODDS
Los Angeles Dodgers +210
New York Mets +333
Atlanta Braves +500
San Diego Padres +600
Milwaukee Brewers +750
St. Louis Cardinals +1100
San Francisco Giants +1300
Philadelphia Phillies +1400
Miami Marlins +9000
Arizona Diamondbacks +50000
Chicago Cubs +50000
Cincinnati Reds +50000
Colorado Rockies +50000
Pittsburgh Pirates +50000
Washington Nationals +50000
Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
The Dodgers remain the NL pennant favorites and their +210 odds have only slightly increased from their opening odds of +220. Los Angeles is second in MLB and leads the National League in run differential, runs scored per game (5.00) and ERA (2.91), behind only the World Series favorite Yankees in all three categories.
The reigning World Series champion Braves have not moved from where they opened at +500 odds.
The two biggest movers? The Mets, who jumped from +750 odds to the second-best odds at +333, and the Brewers, who have fallen to +750 odds after opening at +500.
The Mets continue to find ways to win and have the second-best record in the NL at 51-31. Max Scherzer returned this week and Jacob deGrom looks to be returning soon, setting them up for more potential success.
The Brewers’ rotation that was so stellar in 2021 is not as sharp as it was last season, posting a 3.91 ERA in 2022 compared to a 3.13 ERA last year.
The Padres have moved slightly from +650 opening odds to +600, and are still good value as they have even briefly led the NL West this season. Fernando Tatis Jr. has yet to take the field this season and he could be a spark that helps them down the stretch.
The Phillies, though they remain an offensive juggernaut, have fallen from +1000 odds to +1400 after losing reigning NL MVP Bryce Harper for an extended stretch. If you’re a Phillies fan, you could pull this lotto ticket.
Now, let’s break down the division races.
Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
NL EAST ODDS
Mets -160
Braves +140
Phillies +1800
Marlins +15000
Nationals +100000
There’s not a lot of value in the Mets, so I am passing at -160 odds.
I’d rather take a chance on the Braves at +140 odds, who only trail the Mets by 2.5 games and still have 15 games left against the division leaders. I can see the Phillies playing their way into a wild card, but I am passing on them for the division title.
NL CENTRAL ODDS
Brewers -225
Cardinals +163
Pirates +20000
Cubs +25000
Reds +40000
I’m staying away from the heavy juice on the Brewers and I am sticking with my preseason pick of the Cardinals!
The Cardinals had +220 odds entering the season and they still represent some value at +163 odds, as they only trail the Brewers by three games. The veteran presence of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado coupled with young rookie talent like Nolan Gorman and Juan Yepez has the Cardinals with the sixth-most runs scored in MLB.
They just have to keep their pitching on track but, then again, so do the Brewers. Cardinals’ pitching has allowed an average of 3.98 runs per game, while the Brewers have allowed 4.15. The Cardinals have the advantage in run differential too, so, yeah—I’m taking the Cards at plus-money odds over the SI Sportsbook favorites.
Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
NL WEST ODDS
Dodgers -400
Padres +300
Giants +1200
Rockies +50000
Diamondbacks +50000
Padres all the way! Sure, the Dodgers probably win this but no one is laying $400 to win $100. That’s silly. I’d rather lay $100 and win $300 when the Padres pull the upset!
OK, maybe they won’t upset the Dodgers, but I’m all in +300 odds. Why not?
Joe Musgrove (8-2, 2.25 ERA) is pitching great, and Manny Machado is having an NL MVP-caliber season and is tied for the league lead with a 4.3 fWAR. They’ve already led this division this year and we have yet to see Tatis yet. Let’s go, Friars!
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