Stats and Trends for Super Bowl LVIII Player Props: Tight Ends
Super Bowl LVIII is almost here, as the San Francisco 49ers face the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of Super Bowl LIV. While we still have our fantasy postseason leagues at stake, there’s going to be a ton of wagering on the big game including player props. With that in mind, I did some research on the stats and trends that you need to know about some of the biggest names and the most popular props that will be played. That includes the tight ends, Travis Kelce and George Kittle. Here’s some info you’ll need to know before placing your own bets!
Note: Stats include the regular and postseason. Player props from SI Sportsbook.
Super Bowl fantasy player rankings
Travis Kelce Props
Receptions: 6.5
Kelce has posted at least seven catches in seven of his 18 games (39%), but he’s hit that mark in two of his three postseason contests. In the 10 games where he has played in 50 or more snaps, Kelce has had seven-plus catches just four times.
The 49ers have allowed seven or more receptions to opposing tight ends just twice. That seems like a tall task for Kelce to reach, but maybe it’s not so tall. Kelce has averaged 8.2 targets per game. The Niners faced just three tight ends who had eight or more targets, and those tight ends combined for 27 receptions.
Geoff Burke/USA TODAY Sports
Receiving yards: 70.5
Kelce has recorded 71 or more receiving yards eight times in his 18 games (44%). He has hit that mark in each of his last three games, however, during which time he has averaged 87.3 yards. Kelce averaged just 65.6 yards in his previous 15 games.
The 49ers have allowed tight ends to beat them for 71 or more yards three times, and just two have had more than 56 yards against them since Week 8. Among the four tight ends who had at least eight targets, however, three of them (Trey McBride, T.J. Hockenson, Sam LaPorta) finished with at least 86 receiving yards.
Anytime touchdown: -150
Kelce scored a touchdown in seven of his 18 games (39%) on the season, but he has scored at least one touchdown in two of his three postseason contests.
The 49ers defense allowed a meager four touchdown catches to opposing tight ends in their 18 games. None of the four tight ends who have seen eight or more targets against them this season have also found the end zone in that game.
George Kittle Props
Receptions: 3.5
Kittle has posted at least four catches in just seven of his 18 games (39%), and he’s also failed to hit that statistical mark in five of his last eight games overall.
The Chiefs have allowed four or more receptions to tight ends eight times. Kittle has averaged 5.6 targets per game, and that could be a way for him to hit this mark. Among the 10 opposing tight ends to see at least five targets against Kansas City this year, five (50%) were able to produce 58 or more yards through the air.
Receiving yards: 47.5
Kittle has recorded 48 or more receiving yards 11 times in his 18 games (61%). He has also reached that statistical mark in five of his last seven games overall.
The Chiefs have allowed tight ends to beat them for 48 or more yards just six times. Since Week 5, just three have hit that mark. The most a tight end had in that time is 83 yards, which was Donald Parham Jr. in a meaningless Week 18 game.
Anytime touchdown: +120
Kittle scored a touchdown in just five of his 18 games (28%) on the season, and he’s hit the end zone just once in his last five games dating back to Week 14.
The Chiefs allowed four touchdown catches to tight ends, and just one (Hunter Henry) has found the end zone against them in their last five contests overall.
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